🚩🏴🚩PROPS NATION🚩🏴🚩- WEEK 12 (46-29) 61% YTD - FEELS LIKE A GOOD DAY TO MAKE SOME MONEY!!

GOING TO SPORTSBOOK TO LOCK THESE IN BUT WANTED TO GET THE INFO OUT FIRST ON WHAT I'M LOOKING AT 

FAVORITE PLAY OF THE DAY - I FREAKING LOVE THIS ONE - THINKING ABOUT 2-3 UNITS

JEFF WILSON JR. OVER 81.5 RUSH YARDS

-"But coach what about splitting carries with Raheem Mostard?", he isnt playing today with bad knee

-Versus the Houston RUSH DEFENSE has been terrible all season (DVOA 32nd) and I don't know if they have had one game where a guy didn't go over a 100 yards

-Yes Miami likes to throw the ball, but they are now shifting to protecting Tua so they can make a serious run in the playoffs, its why they picked up a workhorse like Wilson.

-On Draftkings I am thinking about betting this and putting a small play on "over +125 for +350" as well

AUSTIN EKELER OVER 95.5 RUSH/REC YARDS

- averaging 19.2 touches and 97.1 total yards, a bad matchup for the Arizona D

-Cardinals are 18th in rushing yards per game, 26th in EPA per rush, and 26th in explosive run rate since Week 6.

-Arizona is 30th in DVOA against receiving backs giving up the tenth-most receptions, fourth-highest yards per reception, and fourth-most receiving touchdowns (tied).

-BOTTOMLINE - EKELER GUNNA EAT TODAY!!

JOSH JACOBS OVER TBD RUSH YARDS (LINE ON HOLD TILL CONFIRMED PLAYING)

-HE POPPED UP ON INJURY REPORT FRIDAY WITH A CALF MUSCLE BUT IM NOT WORRIED ABOUT IT HONESTLY

-averaging 21.7 touches and 118.1 total yards per game

-Seattle Rush Defvense has gotten better since about week 6, but he a volume type back and will get his touches in this one

-If I had to project the line it will be around 81-85 yards, we will wait and see people

OTHER HARD LEANS

Jaylen Waddle ANYTIME TD SCORE (-115) - FEELS LIKE A WADDLE DAY FOR SOME REASON

CHRISTIAN WATSON ANYTIME TD SCORE (+260) - WHY NOT THIS GUY IS WHITE HOT AND HE CAN BEAT PHILLY DEEP

TYLER BOYD OVER 53.5 REC YARDS - GOOD SPOT FOR HIM BASED ON CB MATCHUPS

TUA TAGOVAILOA OVER 2.5 PASS TDS +150

JOSH JACOBS UNDER 3.5 CATCHES 

T. CONKLIN UNDER 3.5 CATCHES

@STLcoach

 tua over 2.5 pass td might be a good hedge on wilson rushing....if he goes under miami probably passed the ball a lot

HOPE YOU HIT!!!!

@dubz4dummyz

LIKE WHERE YOUR HEAD IS AT!

THEY COULD BOTH EASILY HIT, BET WILSON HAS 60 YARDS BEFORE HALFTIME

@Fuse

 THANK YOU, SIR! 

TAKE A SHOT ON THIS WILSON ANYTIME TD, GOT A GOOD GUT FEELING ABOUT IT (+230)

Where did you find 81.5 for Wilson? I’m on the under 86.5 (posted last night) but may go for a middle. That’s a big gap.

Love the Wilson / Ekeler picks. Ridin with ya! Just a note about Conklin, White loves to check down to his TEs and RBs. Conklin could see a breakout game here if that's the case. BOL either way and thanks for sharing

@STLcoach

No it’s not

Thanks for sharing Coach!

it flew up in a matter of like 30 minutes. People are hitting it hard I guess

@STLcoach

 I bet the under last night  

@BradleyU

 One of us will win!

Houston run D is historically bad and even if Tyreek or waddle go off there is room for it to hit

spread is -14

@STLcoach

 What I’m saying is….there’s no way you got 81.5 (1.5 hrs ago). But good luck

@STLcoach

 So, we know Houston Will be playing from behind most of the game. Houston should be playing catch-up throwing the ball. Opportunity for one of Houston’s wide receivers over the Receiving Yards?

@BradleyU

 It was available on draftkings at the time but I have to physically drive to casino to place bets my post says that they aren’t locked in yet. 

I got it at 83.5 and will be posted as official play but those are my leans until I lock them in after going to casino. Thanks for the input though chief . Good luck to ya today 

@BradleyU

 82.5 for me still,,,,1.75 odds tho

@STLcoach

 Oh, gotcha. Well, it’s at 87.5 now. Drive fast

LOCKED-IN PLAYS - looking at couple other ones and will post soon

Ekeler over 96.5 rush/Rec yards

Wilson Jr over 83.5 rush yards (will post ticket when get home)

GL

@STLcoach

 Man, Wilson not getting any big chunks. Gonna need a bug run

not even 40 yards ... fk that noise. 

All around odd game script to say the least, shit happens. Hopefully Ekeler can win it back, looking at a few plays for tonight as well. 

@STLcoach

 Well not looking good. What’s cooking for tonight coach?

@LoveCFB1_

 They could of just tied it up and we would of been golden in overtime.