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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    144-92-7 Green Bay @ Chicago writeup and play

    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
    PABBANKS
    MrBator
    moosehunter
    TunaROLL
    andarmac99
    ...
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    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
     
    PABBANKS
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 11:52 AM ET #51

    GIIILBERTOOO

    GD LK,LOTTA BEARS LOVE

    HAVNT PULLED TRIGGER YET WAITING TO SEE IF THE LINE MOVES

    Reply

    GIIILBERTOOO

    GD LK,LOTTA BEARS LOVE

    HAVNT PULLED TRIGGER YET WAITING TO SEE IF THE LINE MOVES

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:09 PM ET #52

    Quote Originally Posted by Gilberto:

    3.A team in the playoffs  that has scored 40+ pts is 2-17 ATS.GB is the team this year.

     

     

    An old lady in front of me in the checkout line at the supermarket mentioned that trend to me two days ago.  Totally out of the blue.  She must have been 90 years old.  That's when I knew the trend didn't mean squat.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Gilberto:

    3.A team in the playoffs  that has scored 40+ pts is 2-17 ATS.GB is the team this year.

     

     

    An old lady in front of me in the checkout line at the supermarket mentioned that trend to me two days ago.  Totally out of the blue.  She must have been 90 years old.  That's when I knew the trend didn't mean squat.

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:16 PM ET #53

    Quote Originally Posted by jroc1247:

    Everyone has already dismissed the Bears. All the talk and the tickets seem to be on GB and Vegas knows this. 

     

     

    That's an exaggeration typical of Bears backers this week who seem to want to convince themselves that they're on the right side because a world full of lemmings is on the other side.  But it's just not so.  There are plenty of people interested in this home dog.  The evil oddsmakers put out a line to ensnare more than enough gamblers on the Chicago side, and it has.   

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by jroc1247:

    Everyone has already dismissed the Bears. All the talk and the tickets seem to be on GB and Vegas knows this. 

     

     

    That's an exaggeration typical of Bears backers this week who seem to want to convince themselves that they're on the right side because a world full of lemmings is on the other side.  But it's just not so.  There are plenty of people interested in this home dog.  The evil oddsmakers put out a line to ensnare more than enough gamblers on the Chicago side, and it has.   

     
    moosehunter
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:18 PM ET #54

    Reply
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:19 PM ET #55

    Quote Originally Posted by Gilberto:

    Lots of Packers love...........actaully I don't recall many if ever there has been so much money bet on a road favorite in a Championship game with this sort of rivalry.

    GO BEARS!!

     

     

    Never mind the money or the rivalry.......when has there ever been a road favorite in an AFC or NFC title game?  Does anyone know when this last happened? 

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Gilberto:

    Lots of Packers love...........actaully I don't recall many if ever there has been so much money bet on a road favorite in a Championship game with this sort of rivalry.

    GO BEARS!!

     

     

    Never mind the money or the rivalry.......when has there ever been a road favorite in an AFC or NFC title game?  Does anyone know when this last happened? 

     
    TunaROLL
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:20 PM ET #56

    WHO YOU ON TODAY BATOR?
    Reply
    WHO YOU ON TODAY BATOR?
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:23 PM ET #57

    Quote Originally Posted by Gilberto:

    The Bears will be motivated as a home underdog as the conference winner will most definatley be looked at as DISRESPECTFUL.

     

     

    What does the highlighted part mean?   

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Gilberto:

    The Bears will be motivated as a home underdog as the conference winner will most definatley be looked at as DISRESPECTFUL.

     

     

    What does the highlighted part mean?   

     
    TunaROLL
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:24 PM ET #58

    LOL
    Reply
    LOL
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:25 PM ET #59

    Quote Originally Posted by Irish08:

    Winner winner, chicken dinner.

     

     

    You're the man, Irish08, but I really wish guys would stop saying "winner winner, chicken dinner."

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Irish08:

    Winner winner, chicken dinner.

     

     

    You're the man, Irish08, but I really wish guys would stop saying "winner winner, chicken dinner."

     
    andarmac99
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:25 PM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    Never mind the money or the rivalry.......when has there ever been a road favorite in an AFC or NFC title game?  Does anyone know when this last happened? 



    Two years ago Philadelphia was -3.5 @ Arizona in the NFC Championship Game.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    Never mind the money or the rivalry.......when has there ever been a road favorite in an AFC or NFC title game?  Does anyone know when this last happened? 



    Two years ago Philadelphia was -3.5 @ Arizona in the NFC Championship Game.
     
    jroc1247
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:25 PM ET #61

    Good point MR Bator. I just have seen this situation way to many times this year and I think it bodes well for this game as well. I watched replays of both match ups with these 2 teams this year and I think the points at home is the play. I know the Bears got lucky in the first game with Penalties and the JJones turnover but even with out that turnover I still think Bears would have covered that game. May not have won but least push or cover depending where u got the number at. I had Chi town in that game and won ATS and on ML.
    Reply
    Good point MR Bator. I just have seen this situation way to many times this year and I think it bodes well for this game as well. I watched replays of both match ups with these 2 teams this year and I think the points at home is the play. I know the Bears got lucky in the first game with Penalties and the JJones turnover but even with out that turnover I still think Bears would have covered that game. May not have won but least push or cover depending where u got the number at. I had Chi town in that game and won ATS and on ML.
     
    MrCheech
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:28 PM ET #62

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    Never mind the money or the rivalry.......when has there ever been a road favorite in an AFC or NFC title game?  Does anyone know when this last happened? 


    Cardinals vs. Eagles a few years ago.  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    Never mind the money or the rivalry.......when has there ever been a road favorite in an AFC or NFC title game?  Does anyone know when this last happened? 


    Cardinals vs. Eagles a few years ago.  
     
    deweyby3
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:31 PM ET #63

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    Never mind the money or the rivalry.......when has there ever been a road favorite in an AFC or NFC title game?  Does anyone know when this last happened? 

    bator, Gilberto's 10x the capper you are,  you don't even wager any more do you?

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    Never mind the money or the rivalry.......when has there ever been a road favorite in an AFC or NFC title game?  Does anyone know when this last happened? 

    bator, Gilberto's 10x the capper you are,  you don't even wager any more do you?

     
    L8kersFan74
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:37 PM ET #64

    Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:



    Two years ago Philadelphia was -3.5 @ Arizona in the NFC Championship Game.

    (hey, what happened to the fat boy in your avatar that "fucks on the first date")

    Yep...I was at the game! Great game, VERY entertaining!

    Anyhow, and the home dog there (the Cardinals) won the game straight up and went on to play the Steelers in the Super Bowl. Deja vu today???

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:



    Two years ago Philadelphia was -3.5 @ Arizona in the NFC Championship Game.

    (hey, what happened to the fat boy in your avatar that "fucks on the first date")

    Yep...I was at the game! Great game, VERY entertaining!

    Anyhow, and the home dog there (the Cardinals) won the game straight up and went on to play the Steelers in the Super Bowl. Deja vu today???

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:38 PM ET #65

    Quote Originally Posted by badass11:

    Greenbay is the popular choice and has "momentum" coming into the game...........however I don't give much credit to "momentum" at this point and beleive strongly that home field means much more.

     

     

    The two visiting teams in today's championship games have been doing a bang-up job of making the home field advantage look irrelevant in the modern day NFL playoffs.  Here's how playoff home teams have done in the last few years:

     

    2010 - 3-5 ATS so far

    2009 - 6-4 ATS

    2008 - 5-5 ATS

    2007 - 3-7 ATS

    2006 - 4-6 ATS

    2005 - 4-6 ATS

    2004 - 5-5 ATS

    2003 - 3-7 ATS

     

    That's 33-45 ATS.  So much for home field advantage in the playoffs in the 21st century.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by badass11:

    Greenbay is the popular choice and has "momentum" coming into the game...........however I don't give much credit to "momentum" at this point and beleive strongly that home field means much more.

     

     

    The two visiting teams in today's championship games have been doing a bang-up job of making the home field advantage look irrelevant in the modern day NFL playoffs.  Here's how playoff home teams have done in the last few years:

     

    2010 - 3-5 ATS so far

    2009 - 6-4 ATS

    2008 - 5-5 ATS

    2007 - 3-7 ATS

    2006 - 4-6 ATS

    2005 - 4-6 ATS

    2004 - 5-5 ATS

    2003 - 3-7 ATS

     

    That's 33-45 ATS.  So much for home field advantage in the playoffs in the 21st century.

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:42 PM ET #66

    Quote Originally Posted by Snookslayer:



    Home field advantage may be over-rated, but it sure don't hurt.


     

     

    It hurts a lot if you're talking about betting against the spread, and that's what most of us care about, right?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Snookslayer:



    Home field advantage may be over-rated, but it sure don't hurt.


     

     

    It hurts a lot if you're talking about betting against the spread, and that's what most of us care about, right?

     
    andarmac99
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:44 PM ET #67

    Quote Originally Posted by L8kersFan74:

    (hey, what happened to the fat boy in your avatar that "fucks on the first date")

    Yep...I was at the game! Great game, VERY entertaining!

    Anyhow, and the home dog there (the Cardinals) won the game straight up and went on to play the Steelers in the Super Bowl. Deja vu today???



    If Jay Cutler pulls a Kurt Warner today and completes 21/28 passes for 279 yards, 4 TD, and 0 INT like Warner did in that game then it's time for me to hang em up.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by L8kersFan74:

    (hey, what happened to the fat boy in your avatar that "fucks on the first date")

    Yep...I was at the game! Great game, VERY entertaining!

    Anyhow, and the home dog there (the Cardinals) won the game straight up and went on to play the Steelers in the Super Bowl. Deja vu today???



    If Jay Cutler pulls a Kurt Warner today and completes 21/28 passes for 279 yards, 4 TD, and 0 INT like Warner did in that game then it's time for me to hang em up.
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:44 PM ET #68

    Quote Originally Posted by deweyby3:

    bator, Gilberto's 10x the capper you are,  you don't even wager any more do you?

     

     

    I'm just debating a game here, dipshit, I'm not attacking your boy Gilberto.  And yes, I do wager.  I wager a fucking lot.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by deweyby3:

    bator, Gilberto's 10x the capper you are,  you don't even wager any more do you?

     

     

    I'm just debating a game here, dipshit, I'm not attacking your boy Gilberto.  And yes, I do wager.  I wager a fucking lot.

     
    JerryWrasse
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:44 PM ET #69

    Reply
     
    -LB-
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:46 PM ET #70

    Reply
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:49 PM ET #71

    Quote Originally Posted by TunaROLL:

    WHO YOU ON TODAY BATOR?

     

     

    The Packers and the Steelers.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by TunaROLL:

    WHO YOU ON TODAY BATOR?

     

     

    The Packers and the Steelers.

     
    Johnnynumbers
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:49 PM ET #72

    I hate the NFL Gil...and rarely watch, but this one intrigues me today....I like the writeup and the play...DA BEARZZ

    Reply

    I hate the NFL Gil...and rarely watch, but this one intrigues me today....I like the writeup and the play...DA BEARZZ

     
    eazyone
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:51 PM ET #73

    THANKS 4 THE STATS GL BRO
    Reply
    THANKS 4 THE STATS GL BRO
     
    JinnRikki
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:52 PM ET #74

    Reply
     
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:54 PM ET #75

    Quote Originally Posted by Gilberto:

    Greenbay is the popular choice and has "momentum" coming into the game...........however I don't give much credit to "momentum" at this point and beleive strongly that home field means much more.

     

     

    The two visiting teams in today's championship games have been doing a bang-up job of making the home field advantage look irrelevant in the modern day NFL playoffs.  Here's how playoff home teams have done in the last few years:

     

    2010 - 3-5 ATS so far

    2009 - 6-4 ATS

    2008 - 5-5 ATS

    2007 - 3-7 ATS

    2006 - 4-6 ATS

    2005 - 4-6 ATS

    2004 - 5-5 ATS

    2003 - 3-7 ATS

     

    That's 33-45 ATS.  So much for home field advantage in the playoffs in the 21st century.

     

     

    I reposted this because I accidentally quoted badass11 in post #65 when he in fact was quoting Gilberto.  Sorry about that, badass11.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Gilberto:

    Greenbay is the popular choice and has "momentum" coming into the game...........however I don't give much credit to "momentum" at this point and beleive strongly that home field means much more.

     

     

    The two visiting teams in today's championship games have been doing a bang-up job of making the home field advantage look irrelevant in the modern day NFL playoffs.  Here's how playoff home teams have done in the last few years:

     

    2010 - 3-5 ATS so far

    2009 - 6-4 ATS

    2008 - 5-5 ATS

    2007 - 3-7 ATS

    2006 - 4-6 ATS

    2005 - 4-6 ATS

    2004 - 5-5 ATS

    2003 - 3-7 ATS

     

    That's 33-45 ATS.  So much for home field advantage in the playoffs in the 21st century.

     

     

    I reposted this because I accidentally quoted badass11 in post #65 when he in fact was quoting Gilberto.  Sorry about that, badass11.

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