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***2 OFFICIAL HUGE PLAYS FOR THURSDAY & SATURDAY NFL GAMES***

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Quote Originally Posted by BoyDiamonds:

I love both picks, but don't you think the safest bet is UNDER for thursday??

 

If I had to bet the o/u, it would be the under because of the trend on Thursdays. I for one can not play o/u's because I will lose playing them, I cant pick them at all.

 
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Posted: #28
Yea I understand.... I'm just sooo confused why this line opened up soooooo lowww......

Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

 

If I had to bet the o/u, it would be the under because of the trend on Thursdays. I for one can not play o/u's because I will lose playing them, I cant pick them at all.

 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

 

If I had to bet the o/u, it would be the under because of the trend on Thursdays. I for one can not play o/u's because I will lose playing them, I cant pick them at all.




Yea I understand.... I'm just sooo confused why this line opened up soooooo lowww......
 
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Posted: #30
Prime,

This line is like the 49ers and AZ game. Public heavy on AZ and the line sat there at 3. I think Jacksonville will play the colts tough all the way through. Jacksonville always play Colts tough at home come this time of year. I will be teasing this by 7 pts at take +10 at home along with dallas +14. Good luck. 
 
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Posted: #31
I can't believe you switched both picks.....................How about a hedge bet of Dallas + Jags Reverse?
 
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Posted: #32
PrimeTime....
BOL my friend...
 
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BOL my friend
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by Craftys1nce84:

Prime,

This line is like the 49ers and AZ game. Public heavy on AZ and the line sat there at 3. I think Jacksonville will play the colts tough all the way through. Jacksonville always play Colts tough at home come this time of year. I will be teasing this by 7 pts at take +10 at home along with dallas +14. Good luck. 

 

Agree, I think the jags win outright. Seems way to easy to take Indy.

Good luck PTB.

 
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Posted: #35
bol 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Several things go into creating a line. The Jags & Colts usually play tight games. Also, the Jags need this game to keep the number 6 spot in the wild card race. You can not make this line Jags +7 in this spot, it would be ridiculous. The actual outlaw spread for this game was Colts -6 which I believe you could have played at the Hilton, correct me if im wrong. Publics perception that the Colts clinched homefield & what the coach has said during the week has this line exactly where it should be.

I got this line, however +6, could have got it @ 6.5, but waited 4 extra minutes, thats all it took..The line is not moving, now with the public still all over indy, the movement or lack therogf is interesting don't u think ???still gonna look @ the under as well..good luck PTB...

 
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Posted: #37

New Orleans will be up for Dallas.  This is a big game for Peyton.  Will hammer New Orleans.

 
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Posted: #38
gl buddy
 
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Posted: #39

Adding:

 

3 team 10 point teaser: Colts +7, Saints +3.5, 49ers +17.5 (HUGE bet)

 
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Posted: #40
*****Correction: its the Saints +2.5
 
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Posted: #41
 PTB
 
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NO reminds of NE 07 towards the end of season. The diff is NE scores lots of point and better D. Correct me if im wrong, NE 07 didnt cover from week 14 - 17. Bookies inflate the line, even tomlin said "this is not apalachian state".

Teams will bring their best to knock out the undefeated. This is a perfect opportunity for Cow. Beat undef team, Dec swoon gone, etc.. Take Cow +7.5  GL

 

 
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Quote Originally Posted by patslover:

NO reminds of NE 07 towards the end of season. The diff is NE scores lots of point and better D. Correct me if im wrong, NE 07 didnt cover from week 14 - 17. Bookies inflate the line, even tomlin said "this is not apalachian state".

Teams will bring their best to knock out the undefeated. This is a perfect opportunity for Cow. Beat undef team, Dec swoon gone, etc.. Take Cow +7.5  GL

 

 

I hear what you're saying Pats, but how is this Saints pointspread inflated? I was thinking the line should have been 10 but with the public perception of Dallas & knowing the public likes betting Dallas, the line was adjusted accordingly. I wont be shocked if Dallas sticks inside the number but I just dont see the Saints losing this game. That is why I added the teaser, I see both undefeated teams staying that way after this weeks games.

 
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Posted: #45

Quote Originally Posted by BoyDiamonds:

I love both picks, but don't you think the safest bet is UNDER for thursday??

YES!

 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

 

I hear what you're saying Pats, but how is this Saints pointspread inflated? I was thinking the line should have been 10 but with the public perception of Dallas & knowing the public likes betting Dallas, the line was adjusted accordingly. I wont be shocked if Dallas sticks inside the number but I just dont see the Saints losing this game. That is why I added the teaser, I see both undefeated teams staying that way after this weeks games.

Prime, I'm with you on the Colts -3. You convince me on Cow +7 ystd , before you bought it back and switch. I think you, estes, and 3rd & long are good capers. Cant win everytime, but always stay composed. Having said all that, I think you bought in to the hype dude. And I explain this on saintsfan504 thread, on taking skins +9.5 which I won

To stay undefeated, you need to break or at least match records on any statistical points. Indy did that - won 23 straight, #1 D, etc-so they deserve it, even if the line today is -5 I still bet it on colts

NO is different. They win with squeaky fashion. Thats a sign of a bust. I play Baccarat, its a player banker or tie. I use charts to look for streaks on player/bankers. It doesnt always work.

you didnt want to bet against the streak. But IMO, NO doesnt merit the winning streak and this week might prove it. GL on Colt-3, 3rd & Long also like it

 
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Quote Originally Posted by patslover:

Prime, I'm with you on the Colts -3. You convince me on Cow +7 ystd , before you bought it back and switch. I think you, estes, and 3rd & long are good capers. Cant win everytime, but always stay composed. Having said all that, I think you bought in to the hype dude. And I explain this on saintsfan504 thread, on taking skins +9.5 which I won

To stay undefeated, you need to break or at least match records on any statistical points. Indy did that - won 23 straight, #1 D, etc-so they deserve it, even if the line today is -5 I still bet it on colts

NO is different. They win with squeaky fashion. Thats a sign of a bust. I play Baccarat, its a player banker or tie. I use charts to look for streaks on player/bankers. It doesnt always work.

you didnt want to bet against the streak. But IMO, NO doesnt merit the winning streak and this week might prove it. GL on Colt-3, 3rd & Long also like it

Nice write-up & well noted. I might play a teaser with Dallas & a few other teams on Sunday. Dallas +17.5 & Dallas +14 does sound juicy.

 
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PTB I'm really starting to doubt that the Colts are going to be hungry for this game.  A physical team like the Jags has me thinking the Colts take the night off.  If the line is more than 3 points I'll probably roll the dice on the hungry team.

 

 BOL

 
 
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Colts go for Undefeat season _ Go COLTS
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