This line opened at Philly -2.5 just as I predicted and thats because of HFA and nothing else. Just as I said, it would never go to 3 otherwise there would be an unrelenting barrage of money rolling in on SF, and the books do not want that. Clearly they do not want that. So lets dive in here and take a look at what should be a fantastic and intriguing championship matchup.
The Phildaelphia Eagles are not quite the same team they were that started the season 8-0. They struggled a bit towards the end, and were exposed on Monday Night in an embarrassing loss against Washington. People are overrating the big win against the New York Giants, as we all know, the Minnesota Vikings were quite possibly the biggest frauds in NFL History but guess what? The NYG were another team almost exactly like that. They had a winning record but a negative point differential. They were not that good. My point is, dont put too much stock in the Eagles big win against them. People were quick to jump on and say they are back, they are badder than ever, well not so fast. They were well rested and the NYG are not that good. The Eagles have a very good secondary and a good pash rush but they can't stop the run. Elijah Mitchell and Christian McCaffrey are ready to run apeshit and Kyle will draw up some schemes to make it near impossible for Philly to stop the Niners run attack. Look for Deebo to get some carries and even Aiyuk to get a carry as they exploit Philadelphias weakness. Also Kyle has many plays he can draw up which are basically another version of running the ball, and has many weapons at his disposal to do just that. Short passes to Kittle, Aiyuk, Deebo, even Juszczyk ( did I spell that right?)
San Francisco has won 12 games in a row and were finally tested against a good Dallas team but other than that its been easy sailing. Demeco Ryans has his defense flying all over the place and everything he touches turns to gold. The Niners secondary is their achilles heal if they have one but even they arent too bad and it will come down to how much pressure they can put on Hurts. Usually in the playoffs Nick Bosa and Arik Armstead come out relentless and I expect that here.
The Niners are a better more complete team, with more experience, with a head coach who is nasty at drawing up plays and utilizing his weaponry. Kyle is absolutely awful at times at clock management but if he can overcome that and not hyperventilate late in this game, I like the 49ers to come out on top in a game that might not even be as close as people think. Brock Purdy has shown no indication of slowing down, he is the real deal. Its laughable that people are saying "he is unproven at coming back" blah blah blah, well hey you dont have to come back if you are never behind. Theres a reason his team is never down. He is consistent, he doesnt make mistakes, he is cool calm and colected and man is he accurate throwing the football.
I look for the differences to be the Niners pass rush, the Niners running game, and Purdys consistency to get the ball to Kittle and company when he needs to. Purdy and Kittle is quite the connection, they have something special ever since Purdy took over as QB.
San Francisco is the better team, hotter, with more talent on both sides of the football. Barring any horrific mistakes they win this game and advance to the SB against Cincinnati Im thinking.
49ers 27 Eagles 20
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