Preseason is finally over. Now we can have some serious discussion on real football. I just don't understand betting preseason. Not condemning you if you do bet preseason.
I don't understand how you handicap players that won't be in the NFL Wednesday. Enough.
1st week is always hard, in my opinion. Go lightly. Free agents, top draft picks, how will they all play together. New coaches, coordinators. But every team is 0-0 and excited.
I'll give my week 1 picks when it gets closer. Today lets talk about futures.
I don't do a lot of futures. The one's I do are long shots. Remember that.
1. Atlanta to win NFC South. +210
NFC South can be anybody's guess. TB lost Brady, Carolina has new QB and lost McCaffrey. NO is favored and I think Carr is an upgrade at QB.
Atlanta: Ridder is in his second year. Things will slow down for him. Coach Smith 3rd year usually a good year. Atlanta has the second easiest schedule. They used free agency to shore up their defense with many veterans. Not good for the future, but good for us this year. DT Campbell, DE Dupree, DB Okudah, Safety Bates, DL Onyemata, LB Ellis. Offensively they had a top 5 OL. RB Robinson is a beast and Patterson and Allgeire are strong complements. They did not address the passing game. Miller and Hollin are OK. London is a good one. TE Pitt should have a come back season.
Interesting stat: In 17 games, the Falcons either won or lost by one score or less in 15 of the 17 games. Only two teams were “in” more games than the Falcons last year: the Super Bowl Champion Chiefs and the 13-3 Buffalo Bills.
Next we will talk about Steelers.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Preseason is finally over. Now we can have some serious discussion on real football. I just don't understand betting preseason. Not condemning you if you do bet preseason.
I don't understand how you handicap players that won't be in the NFL Wednesday. Enough.
1st week is always hard, in my opinion. Go lightly. Free agents, top draft picks, how will they all play together. New coaches, coordinators. But every team is 0-0 and excited.
I'll give my week 1 picks when it gets closer. Today lets talk about futures.
I don't do a lot of futures. The one's I do are long shots. Remember that.
1. Atlanta to win NFC South. +210
NFC South can be anybody's guess. TB lost Brady, Carolina has new QB and lost McCaffrey. NO is favored and I think Carr is an upgrade at QB.
Atlanta: Ridder is in his second year. Things will slow down for him. Coach Smith 3rd year usually a good year. Atlanta has the second easiest schedule. They used free agency to shore up their defense with many veterans. Not good for the future, but good for us this year. DT Campbell, DE Dupree, DB Okudah, Safety Bates, DL Onyemata, LB Ellis. Offensively they had a top 5 OL. RB Robinson is a beast and Patterson and Allgeire are strong complements. They did not address the passing game. Miller and Hollin are OK. London is a good one. TE Pitt should have a come back season.
Interesting stat: In 17 games, the Falcons either won or lost by one score or less in 15 of the 17 games. Only two teams were “in” more games than the Falcons last year: the Super Bowl Champion Chiefs and the 13-3 Buffalo Bills.
NFC North is a tough division. Someone can win this division with a 9-8 record.
Their starting OL did not miss a game all year. Even so, they added good football players to the OL. LT Broderick Jones in their 1st round pick, LG Isaac Seumalo from Eagles, RT Le'Raven and G Nate Herbig. They added Joey Porter Jr. to the secondary, along with Patrick Peterson. I believe Pickens and Pickett will be a dynamic duo. I think Pat Freiermuth is a monster TE and will be a big red zone threat. Harris is a good RB. Tomlin has never had a losing season, so 9-8 is possible.
We are getting 5-1 for our money. Lets roll the dice. Remember, this are long shots.
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Pittsburgh to win NFC North +470
NFC North is a tough division. Someone can win this division with a 9-8 record.
Their starting OL did not miss a game all year. Even so, they added good football players to the OL. LT Broderick Jones in their 1st round pick, LG Isaac Seumalo from Eagles, RT Le'Raven and G Nate Herbig. They added Joey Porter Jr. to the secondary, along with Patrick Peterson. I believe Pickens and Pickett will be a dynamic duo. I think Pat Freiermuth is a monster TE and will be a big red zone threat. Harris is a good RB. Tomlin has never had a losing season, so 9-8 is possible.
We are getting 5-1 for our money. Lets roll the dice. Remember, this are long shots.
In regards to capping NFLX, the biggest factor imo is how good the teams depth is at QB and how seriously the franchise treats the exhibition process…of course all teams are evaluating their roster, but if you look back there are certain teams that weigh winning more than others.
Good luck on your futures.
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In regards to capping NFLX, the biggest factor imo is how good the teams depth is at QB and how seriously the franchise treats the exhibition process…of course all teams are evaluating their roster, but if you look back there are certain teams that weigh winning more than others.
Totally agree with you about Pittsburgh and winning the AFC North. Only thing that holds me back is that last year Kenny Pickett twice missed games because of blows to the head. I have zero faith in their QB #2 Mitch Trubisky. His presence might be their only team weakness but is a potential season ender. A big, strong dude who can run but he can't read defenses and he has serious trouble hitting open receivers downfield.
Viva Cristo Rey!!!
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@tahoejoe2
Totally agree with you about Pittsburgh and winning the AFC North. Only thing that holds me back is that last year Kenny Pickett twice missed games because of blows to the head. I have zero faith in their QB #2 Mitch Trubisky. His presence might be their only team weakness but is a potential season ender. A big, strong dude who can run but he can't read defenses and he has serious trouble hitting open receivers downfield.
Detroit over hyped, Chicago one year too early. GB good, but not good enough.
Minnesota won a lot of games last year. Everyone is saying they were close games they should have lost. But they didn't!
Cousins is an above average QB. Jefferson is the best receiver in the NFL. #1 pick Addison will give Jefferson some breathing room. Hockenson just got a big contract he should be good.
In free agency they made no big splashes but got a CB and 2 DE under 30. They let go of a few older players.
Hiring of Flores will make a big difference on this defense. They lost a none blitzing coach to an aggressive blitzing coach.
3 long shot division winners.
Now onto week one. Heading up to Reno Thursday to watch week one. I'll have my suggested bets by Wednesday. Good luck to everyone this season.
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Last Division future.
Minnesota Vikings +260
Detroit over hyped, Chicago one year too early. GB good, but not good enough.
Minnesota won a lot of games last year. Everyone is saying they were close games they should have lost. But they didn't!
Cousins is an above average QB. Jefferson is the best receiver in the NFL. #1 pick Addison will give Jefferson some breathing room. Hockenson just got a big contract he should be good.
In free agency they made no big splashes but got a CB and 2 DE under 30. They let go of a few older players.
Hiring of Flores will make a big difference on this defense. They lost a none blitzing coach to an aggressive blitzing coach.
3 long shot division winners.
Now onto week one. Heading up to Reno Thursday to watch week one. I'll have my suggested bets by Wednesday. Good luck to everyone this season.
Week one Selections: Remember, week 1 is very difficult. New coaches, coordinators, free agents and draft picks. Go Slow.
I'm going to start at the end. Buffalo 1st half -1.
Buffalo is a good 1st half team. Not a lot of new players. Jets just the opposite. Lots of new players. Jets could win the game, but they will come from behind if that happens.
Jets scored only 41 first quarter points last year, in 17 games. Less than 3 points.
Last year at Buffalo, Jets were shutout. At NY, Bills lead by 3 at the half and lost.
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Week one Selections: Remember, week 1 is very difficult. New coaches, coordinators, free agents and draft picks. Go Slow.
I'm going to start at the end. Buffalo 1st half -1.
Buffalo is a good 1st half team. Not a lot of new players. Jets just the opposite. Lots of new players. Jets could win the game, but they will come from behind if that happens.
Jets scored only 41 first quarter points last year, in 17 games. Less than 3 points.
Last year at Buffalo, Jets were shutout. At NY, Bills lead by 3 at the half and lost.
The Saints have the easiest schedule of any team. They will face 9 "bottom tier" teams. They play 13 games in domes.
NO at home is the play. I know , I like Atlanta to win the division. Falcons have the 2nd easiest schedule.
Coach Allen drafted Carr in 2014. Carr is a huge upgrade at QB. Jamal Williams is a good RB until Kamara gets back.
D was a top 10 unit last year. They lost some good players, but got good replacements. Cam Jordan is still around
Tenn shored up their OL, but I don't like Tannehill. I think he will be replaced soon. WR are weak. Phillips is out and Burke is banged up. Yea, they got Hopkins.
Farley their CD is out.
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New Orleans -3 (by the 1/2) vs Tenn.
The Saints have the easiest schedule of any team. They will face 9 "bottom tier" teams. They play 13 games in domes.
NO at home is the play. I know , I like Atlanta to win the division. Falcons have the 2nd easiest schedule.
Coach Allen drafted Carr in 2014. Carr is a huge upgrade at QB. Jamal Williams is a good RB until Kamara gets back.
D was a top 10 unit last year. They lost some good players, but got good replacements. Cam Jordan is still around
Tenn shored up their OL, but I don't like Tannehill. I think he will be replaced soon. WR are weak. Phillips is out and Burke is banged up. Yea, they got Hopkins.
Last bet for week one. Again, I know we are all excited, but relax.
Since I bet Atlanta to win the NFC South, I better take them to beat a division rival. Atlanta -3(buy the 1/2)
Same reasons as above. Lot of veterans on D. Great OL and running game with #1 pick Robinson. I like 2nd year QB's. Pickett in Pittsburg is another good one.
Caroline no longer has McCaffery, Sanders is OK. Edge Burns is out . Also LB Haynes. #1 WR DJ Moore is gone, along with many draft picks. Chark and Thieles will never replace him. I hope this QB is worth it. Is his size an issue? Look at Tre Lance in SF. SF got a 4th round pick form Dallas. Very sad.
Heading to Reno Thursday with the boys to watch some football.. Good luck to everyone this year.
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Last bet for week one. Again, I know we are all excited, but relax.
Since I bet Atlanta to win the NFC South, I better take them to beat a division rival. Atlanta -3(buy the 1/2)
Same reasons as above. Lot of veterans on D. Great OL and running game with #1 pick Robinson. I like 2nd year QB's. Pickett in Pittsburg is another good one.
Caroline no longer has McCaffery, Sanders is OK. Edge Burns is out . Also LB Haynes. #1 WR DJ Moore is gone, along with many draft picks. Chark and Thieles will never replace him. I hope this QB is worth it. Is his size an issue? Look at Tre Lance in SF. SF got a 4th round pick form Dallas. Very sad.
Heading to Reno Thursday with the boys to watch some football.. Good luck to everyone this year.
Last bet for week one. Again, I know we are all excited, but relax. Since I bet Atlanta to win the NFC South, I better take them to beat a division rival. Atlanta -3(buy the 1/2) Same reasons as above. Lot of veterans on D. Great OL and running game with #1 pick Robinson. I like 2nd year QB's. Pickett in Pittsburg is another good one. Caroline no longer has McCaffery, Sanders is OK. Edge Burns is out . Also LB Haynes. #1 WR DJ Moore is gone, along with many draft picks. Chark and Thieles will never replace him. I hope this QB is worth it. Is his size an issue? Look at Tre Lance in SF. SF got a 4th round pick form Dallas. Very sad. Heading to Reno Thursday with the boys to watch some football.. Good luck to everyone this year.
What sports book in Reno do you go to TJ?
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Quote Originally Posted by tahoejoe2:
Last bet for week one. Again, I know we are all excited, but relax. Since I bet Atlanta to win the NFC South, I better take them to beat a division rival. Atlanta -3(buy the 1/2) Same reasons as above. Lot of veterans on D. Great OL and running game with #1 pick Robinson. I like 2nd year QB's. Pickett in Pittsburg is another good one. Caroline no longer has McCaffery, Sanders is OK. Edge Burns is out . Also LB Haynes. #1 WR DJ Moore is gone, along with many draft picks. Chark and Thieles will never replace him. I hope this QB is worth it. Is his size an issue? Look at Tre Lance in SF. SF got a 4th round pick form Dallas. Very sad. Heading to Reno Thursday with the boys to watch some football.. Good luck to everyone this year.
I believe 9 games wins the NFC South. Atl over 9 -130. Atl. win div. +210. The goal is the same. Get to 9 wins. I told you these are long shots.
Buffalo is a 1st half team in my opinion. Jets slow to start games. To me it has more to do with coaches(mostly same patterns as LY) rather than QB. Hacket coached Broncos LY. Different QB, but not fast starts.
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@haymo
I believe 9 games wins the NFC South. Atl over 9 -130. Atl. win div. +210. The goal is the same. Get to 9 wins. I told you these are long shots.
Buffalo is a 1st half team in my opinion. Jets slow to start games. To me it has more to do with coaches(mostly same patterns as LY) rather than QB. Hacket coached Broncos LY. Different QB, but not fast starts.
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