Have had a couple really bad beats early in 2024 but we will bounce back. F Phildaelphia by the way.
Spreads 1-2
Totals 1-0
Money Lines 0-1
Jacksonville and Trevor Lawrence are getting disrespected here. Josh Allen is better and more explosive. But this caveman looking SOB can make some nice passes and they have a better offense than people realize. They are a scrappy and pesky football team that has an uncanny knack for sticking their nose and keeping games close. 5.5 points is a gift here, this play is +EV as Jacksoinville wither wins outright or loses by 5 or less more than 50% of the time, for sure.
We like +EV and this one falls into the category.
Gimme Jacksonville +5.5
2
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Have had a couple really bad beats early in 2024 but we will bounce back. F Phildaelphia by the way.
Spreads 1-2
Totals 1-0
Money Lines 0-1
Jacksonville and Trevor Lawrence are getting disrespected here. Josh Allen is better and more explosive. But this caveman looking SOB can make some nice passes and they have a better offense than people realize. They are a scrappy and pesky football team that has an uncanny knack for sticking their nose and keeping games close. 5.5 points is a gift here, this play is +EV as Jacksoinville wither wins outright or loses by 5 or less more than 50% of the time, for sure.
There's no disrespect here Lawrence has lost 7 starts in a row and only covered 1 of those This is just a "sexy dog" after big dogs did damage yesterday Forum loaded with Jags trying to be "sharp" Buffalo wins and covers and heads into Baltimore undefeated next week
Not trying to be anything, just siding with the side that I think is the best pick in this spot.
0
Quote Originally Posted by JFelty:
There's no disrespect here Lawrence has lost 7 starts in a row and only covered 1 of those This is just a "sexy dog" after big dogs did damage yesterday Forum loaded with Jags trying to be "sharp" Buffalo wins and covers and heads into Baltimore undefeated next week
Not trying to be anything, just siding with the side that I think is the best pick in this spot.
Im a Bills fan and I would not be shocked in the least to see the Jags come out guns blazing chucking it all over and the Bills laying an egg. It happens and the Jags do have the talent to do it.
I dont think the line is disrespectful in any way though. 4.5 is what I had preseason and 5.5 is the adjusted number I got after 2 weeks. The Jags have been pretty bad and this years Bill's team looks way better than last year, much more complete.
I just dont see too much value either way considering the number is exactly what I think it should be and theres not really any compelling situational angles in my opinion other than the Jags being 0-2, but Bills are on extended rest, maybe a slight let down from smashing miami but it wasn't really an emotional win bc miami was never in it, and Bills were in complete control, they didnt have to expend much in the game. It was a very blue collar performance. Bills could just as easily steamroll Jax here. Wouldnt be surprising.
Bottom line, i dont see any line value or reason to bet a side here.
I think we could potentially get some pts ajd woud lean over 46.5.
Personally my favorite bet is the hometown fan favorite Dawson Knox o11.5 rec yds. He always eats in Orchard Park and I have a small investment in his anytime tuddy at a juicy +525. Allen always looks for him in the end zone when they play at home.
0
Im a Bills fan and I would not be shocked in the least to see the Jags come out guns blazing chucking it all over and the Bills laying an egg. It happens and the Jags do have the talent to do it.
I dont think the line is disrespectful in any way though. 4.5 is what I had preseason and 5.5 is the adjusted number I got after 2 weeks. The Jags have been pretty bad and this years Bill's team looks way better than last year, much more complete.
I just dont see too much value either way considering the number is exactly what I think it should be and theres not really any compelling situational angles in my opinion other than the Jags being 0-2, but Bills are on extended rest, maybe a slight let down from smashing miami but it wasn't really an emotional win bc miami was never in it, and Bills were in complete control, they didnt have to expend much in the game. It was a very blue collar performance. Bills could just as easily steamroll Jax here. Wouldnt be surprising.
Bottom line, i dont see any line value or reason to bet a side here.
I think we could potentially get some pts ajd woud lean over 46.5.
Personally my favorite bet is the hometown fan favorite Dawson Knox o11.5 rec yds. He always eats in Orchard Park and I have a small investment in his anytime tuddy at a juicy +525. Allen always looks for him in the end zone when they play at home.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
they suck and are on the road. 0-3
5.5 point underdogs when both teams would likely win at least 40 games if they played 100 times.
Hot Forum Topics
