I want to hear some opinions on this line. Im gonna pound on obama -200 tonight before the line moves again.
it was previously at -180
what u guys think??? does romney have a chance? my coworker knows a lot about politics and he says if today was election day, obama would have 75% of winning
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I want to hear some opinions on this line. Im gonna pound on obama -200 tonight before the line moves again.
it was previously at -180
what u guys think??? does romney have a chance? my coworker knows a lot about politics and he says if today was election day, obama would have 75% of winning
Your coworker is an idiot. If the vote was held today it would almost be 50/50. If you study history at all you would pound the other side. Most experts are saying this may be another year where the popular vote doesn't decide the outcome. -200 is just not worth it to me.
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Your coworker is an idiot. If the vote was held today it would almost be 50/50. If you study history at all you would pound the other side. Most experts are saying this may be another year where the popular vote doesn't decide the outcome. -200 is just not worth it to me.
things have changed a lot recently, used to be GOP took 50/50 elections, DEM's now think they win those races.....
Don't ever look at popular vote, means nothing and is just a thermometer in Americas ass that day but won't tell you specifically what is wrong.
Find polls about the states that are in play and AToW, Obama is ahead in the critical state of Ohio... See Time poll just released..... Most states are already "gimmes" for their respective candidates and thus the election comes down to states like Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Wisconsin... ect... look at those recent polls and judge based on who-needs-what and how likely they are going to get it ATM.... unfortunately no polls are predictive, only good for the days they are taken...
Saying all this, it looks pretty grim for Romney without Ohio so I think its definitely the safer bet ATM..... But shit can always happen and its by no means a certainty. GOD BLESS AMERICA (insert Richard Nixon smiley with both hands raised in peace signs)
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things have changed a lot recently, used to be GOP took 50/50 elections, DEM's now think they win those races.....
Don't ever look at popular vote, means nothing and is just a thermometer in Americas ass that day but won't tell you specifically what is wrong.
Find polls about the states that are in play and AToW, Obama is ahead in the critical state of Ohio... See Time poll just released..... Most states are already "gimmes" for their respective candidates and thus the election comes down to states like Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Wisconsin... ect... look at those recent polls and judge based on who-needs-what and how likely they are going to get it ATM.... unfortunately no polls are predictive, only good for the days they are taken...
Saying all this, it looks pretty grim for Romney without Ohio so I think its definitely the safer bet ATM..... But shit can always happen and its by no means a certainty. GOD BLESS AMERICA (insert Richard Nixon smiley with both hands raised in peace signs)
Bet 20000 on Obama and no matter what if you win and your are in the middle class you push After just 2 years and lose about 10000 after 4. That's the sad truth.
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Bet 20000 on Obama and no matter what if you win and your are in the middle class you push After just 2 years and lose about 10000 after 4. That's the sad truth.
OP's friend is not saying Obama would get 75% of the vote, he is saying that Obama should be 75% fav. HUGE difference in the 2 statements.
Please at least try to comprehend before you bash someone's opinion.
a -200 on the prez race is also far more likely to win than a -200 on a sports team, FYI
1. true
2. true
btw the way, this has nothing to do with who you're voting for. this is a wager based, like every other wager, on probability. looking at the electoral map polling, obama is at -180 is a bargain.
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Quote Originally Posted by MrBogey:
OP's friend is not saying Obama would get 75% of the vote, he is saying that Obama should be 75% fav. HUGE difference in the 2 statements.
Please at least try to comprehend before you bash someone's opinion.
a -200 on the prez race is also far more likely to win than a -200 on a sports team, FYI
1. true
2. true
btw the way, this has nothing to do with who you're voting for. this is a wager based, like every other wager, on probability. looking at the electoral map polling, obama is at -180 is a bargain.
I want to hear some opinions on this line. Im gonna pound on obama -200 tonight before the line moves again.
it was previously at -180
what u guys think??? does romney have a chance? my coworker knows a lot about politics and he says if today was election day, obama would have 75% of winning
Obama should be like -140ish. Its pretty close.
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Quote Originally Posted by poker316:
I want to hear some opinions on this line. Im gonna pound on obama -200 tonight before the line moves again.
it was previously at -180
what u guys think??? does romney have a chance? my coworker knows a lot about politics and he says if today was election day, obama would have 75% of winning
where are you betting this? I love it earlier at about -250 and it shot up to -500 before the debates. It's now back down to -275 at my local PPH site. Vegas doesn't have lines for this otherwise I was planning to fly out there to bet it large.
www.electoral-vote.com
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where are you betting this? I love it earlier at about -250 and it shot up to -500 before the debates. It's now back down to -275 at my local PPH site. Vegas doesn't have lines for this otherwise I was planning to fly out there to bet it large.
-225 on Bovada with raised limits. Bet Obama and you will win. Whoever takes Ohio takes the race, and Obama has a big lead there - especially with the early votes. Just because you like Romney and want him to win doesn't mean this race is close. Regardless of odds, Obama is a TD and a half favorite, minimum. People bet with their hearts, which is driving the price down to only -225. Obama at 243 electoral votes and Romney at 206 in "decided" states. Based on that and the numbers in the other battleground states, Romney has to win Ohio to win the election, that's the bottom line. That's not going to happen. Don't get talked off of the bet poker316, Obama is going to win this election, with around 300 EV.
P.S. - I am not a Democrat - this isn't a biased analysis.
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-225 on Bovada with raised limits. Bet Obama and you will win. Whoever takes Ohio takes the race, and Obama has a big lead there - especially with the early votes. Just because you like Romney and want him to win doesn't mean this race is close. Regardless of odds, Obama is a TD and a half favorite, minimum. People bet with their hearts, which is driving the price down to only -225. Obama at 243 electoral votes and Romney at 206 in "decided" states. Based on that and the numbers in the other battleground states, Romney has to win Ohio to win the election, that's the bottom line. That's not going to happen. Don't get talked off of the bet poker316, Obama is going to win this election, with around 300 EV.
P.S. - I am not a Democrat - this isn't a biased analysis.
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