I'll start with Tampabay@Atlanta(-7) Defensive comparisons edges:
Front 7: Tampabay - Tampabay has better defensive tackles, ends, and better linebackers.
Secondaries: Tampabay - Tampabay has slight edge with better CB, okay SS and FS. Falcons only have okay SS and their FS sucks. I give slight edge to Tampabay.
Offensive Comparison edges:
Offensive line of scrimmage: Tampabay - similar but separated by Logan Mankins. He gives Tampabay a better protection for their QB
Running game: Tampabay - Doug Martins > Steven Jackson. Jackson is more durable guy, Martins is faster.
Slot receivers: THEY BOTH SUCK - I'm checking the updated Madden roster and I don't see any TE of rating with 80 or better on either of them.
Wide Receivers: Atlanta - 2 great weapons of Falcons: Julio Jones and Roddy White. But Tampabay also has Vincent Jackson but Atlanta has clear edge on the receiving end.
Overall best value: Tampabay +7
I know Atlanta has okay running game but Tampabay's linebackers and defensive line of scrimmage are decent. They also have decent secondary as well. As far as WR advantage goes, WR are most overrated position in football so I would take Tampabay.
If Mathias played last night Colts would've won it for sure in my opinion.
If you have other views and thoughts PLEASE SHARE WITH ME. I'm not the best at match up evaluations and I can certainly pick up a lot to make better bets.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I'll start with Tampabay@Atlanta(-7) Defensive comparisons edges:
Front 7: Tampabay - Tampabay has better defensive tackles, ends, and better linebackers.
Secondaries: Tampabay - Tampabay has slight edge with better CB, okay SS and FS. Falcons only have okay SS and their FS sucks. I give slight edge to Tampabay.
Offensive Comparison edges:
Offensive line of scrimmage: Tampabay - similar but separated by Logan Mankins. He gives Tampabay a better protection for their QB
Running game: Tampabay - Doug Martins > Steven Jackson. Jackson is more durable guy, Martins is faster.
Slot receivers: THEY BOTH SUCK - I'm checking the updated Madden roster and I don't see any TE of rating with 80 or better on either of them.
Wide Receivers: Atlanta - 2 great weapons of Falcons: Julio Jones and Roddy White. But Tampabay also has Vincent Jackson but Atlanta has clear edge on the receiving end.
Overall best value: Tampabay +7
I know Atlanta has okay running game but Tampabay's linebackers and defensive line of scrimmage are decent. They also have decent secondary as well. As far as WR advantage goes, WR are most overrated position in football so I would take Tampabay.
If Mathias played last night Colts would've won it for sure in my opinion.
If you have other views and thoughts PLEASE SHARE WITH ME. I'm not the best at match up evaluations and I can certainly pick up a lot to make better bets.
I would weigh DEFENSE, and HOME advantage at the HIGHEST VALUE in terms of factors for the game. Then overall team strength THEN offensive strength of the team.
Are there any other suggestions?
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I would weigh DEFENSE, and HOME advantage at the HIGHEST VALUE in terms of factors for the game. Then overall team strength THEN offensive strength of the team.
I have started looking at defensive potential first as fault lines for a bet failing. Washington, Chicago, and Dallas have good offense at times, but you lose the cover because of their bad defenses.
You might want to check out the massey ratings website.
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I have started looking at defensive potential first as fault lines for a bet failing. Washington, Chicago, and Dallas have good offense at times, but you lose the cover because of their bad defenses.
You might want to check out the massey ratings website.
Mike Evans May give Atlanta some problems too. However Doug Martin may not play. Overall I agree that TB should be the pick at +7. They also are desperate for a win
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Mike Evans May give Atlanta some problems too. However Doug Martin may not play. Overall I agree that TB should be the pick at +7. They also are desperate for a win
I have started looking at defensive potential first as fault lines for a bet failing. Washington, Chicago, and Dallas have good offense at times, but you lose the cover because of their bad defenses.
You might want to check out the massey ratings website.
massery ratings? I usually look at stats from espn.go.com and madden player ratings. It gives me an idea which position of which players might cause the damage.
If there are better ways to analyze let me know. Thanks.
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Quote Originally Posted by MagicMan64:
I have started looking at defensive potential first as fault lines for a bet failing. Washington, Chicago, and Dallas have good offense at times, but you lose the cover because of their bad defenses.
You might want to check out the massey ratings website.
massery ratings? I usually look at stats from espn.go.com and madden player ratings. It gives me an idea which position of which players might cause the damage.
If there are better ways to analyze let me know. Thanks.
I think there is a lot of value at +7. Everyone is down on TB but they got beat by an underrated panther team as well a misleading loss to the rams. I mean nobody thinks the rams are worth a flip as is but they are. Atlanta got a lot of credit for beating the saints which might not be as great of a score as people think at this point. I think the loss to cincy is a more accurate depiction to what they are right now.
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I think there is a lot of value at +7. Everyone is down on TB but they got beat by an underrated panther team as well a misleading loss to the rams. I mean nobody thinks the rams are worth a flip as is but they are. Atlanta got a lot of credit for beating the saints which might not be as great of a score as people think at this point. I think the loss to cincy is a more accurate depiction to what they are right now.
Mike Evans May give Atlanta some problems too. However Doug Martin may not play. Overall I agree that TB should be the pick at +7. They also are desperate for a win
Where can I get the injury updates? jesus espn.go.com was easy to use. They make everything so complicated now :(
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Quote Originally Posted by RichieRich97:
Mike Evans May give Atlanta some problems too. However Doug Martin may not play. Overall I agree that TB should be the pick at +7. They also are desperate for a win
Where can I get the injury updates? jesus espn.go.com was easy to use. They make everything so complicated now :(
@shawn, Massey Ratings is a pretty good site for getting performance numbers. I do it as an objective double check. Some people prefer Saragrin. I support him in theory, but never have gotten a practical edge from using his info. There is also Football Outsiders with their DOVA.
When are you going to post your card for this week with the breakdown on those picks ? Go ahead and accept, you will find many posters who disagree with your selections.
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@shawn, Massey Ratings is a pretty good site for getting performance numbers. I do it as an objective double check. Some people prefer Saragrin. I support him in theory, but never have gotten a practical edge from using his info. There is also Football Outsiders with their DOVA.
When are you going to post your card for this week with the breakdown on those picks ? Go ahead and accept, you will find many posters who disagree with your selections.
I'm worried about Atlanta's porous defense being able to keep the lead or spread over 7, but what sticks in my mind is Tampa lost two QB's who are not starters in the league so their defense is bit overrated. I keep thinking if Atlanta's OL hold up Matty Ice will have field day against Bucs. I generally have rule don't bet bad teams unless its autofade. Tampa is awful.
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I'm worried about Atlanta's porous defense being able to keep the lead or spread over 7, but what sticks in my mind is Tampa lost two QB's who are not starters in the league so their defense is bit overrated. I keep thinking if Atlanta's OL hold up Matty Ice will have field day against Bucs. I generally have rule don't bet bad teams unless its autofade. Tampa is awful.
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