Quote Originally Posted by NeverMind:
Just think if Carolina losing would be beneficial to the NFL or not? It could be the week when bettors finally give in and accept the fact that Newton is the MVP and the Panthers are the real deal.
Kinda confused by your comment.....What does Newton being the MVP have anything to do with the Panthers winning or losing this week?
I think Carolina losing will be beneficial to the NFL, money wise. Remember just a few weeks ago, covers advertised a prop for both Pats and Panthers going undefeated. Pats were +500 and Panthers somewhere around +1500
You know a lot of bettors probably jumped on both of those. Each week since then, Panthers have been squeeking out wins (with the exception of a couple blow outs)
I think it's almost obvious Atlanta picks of the win this week at home.
If Carolina was going to win, they would be 6.5 favorites or less, not 7 pt....
Now that's not set in stone, of course a 7 pt favorite could win but the reason why it's less likely is given away in the spread alone.
I figured this out by studying games over the years. It's part of vegas mind games arsenal. I'll explain...
When you have a great team vs a bad team and you see a 6.5 spread, bettors often ignore the ML in this case, and jump on the spread, seeing as it's less than a TD. But when you have a 7 pt spread, they often jump on the ML, especially when they do a parlay (and believe it or not, the majority of bettors in las vegas do parlays)
So, the 7 pt spread here tells me, the public will be on Carolina ML and that tells me, it's a good spot for them to lose, as the prop bet for +1500 I don't think is coming through. And I don't think it will be Tampa who beats them next week, so I believe Atlanta is good value here at 7 pt dogs, to take them ML.
Will be close either way, I am thinking 28 to 24.....or 27 to 24 final score.
hell no. Failcons suck. They were lucky last week vs Jax. Save your money for charity.
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