Bags Conference Championship **Det Lions vs SF 49ers**

San Francisco 49ers -7 (LARGE)

NFL Playoff Record: 1-0 XL; 4-0 Large; 1-0 Medium; 2-1 small; 0-1 xs

Big number to lay on a solid Detroit team, but pretty confident on a few things that will happen Sunday…

#1. TOP should benefit SF. Yes, time of procession will be key for SF, and what better way to accomplish this goal than the best RB, solid Oline, & a great offensive coach. Shanahan knows Goff from playing with the Rams 17’-20’. He knows how dangerously good he can be, and I don’t think he’ll allow his young QB go toe for toe with one of the better QBs in the league…especially w/ the weapons Detroit has at WR & TEs…. I give the SFs running attack a -3.5 pt advantage.

**fyi -this will be the best running attack Detroit has faced.

2. Detroit’s offense excels better in a dome, than outdoor. In Goff’s 4 outdoor games thing year  he has 4TD/4INT, with a QBR of 48%. Will it get better in SF? Numbers are trending down. SF home field advantage -2.5 (max value)

3. With 2 breakdowns, I’m already seeing @ -6 pt advantage. To get to the other -1.5 seems like a small hill to climb…just if defense comes in to play, DeBo is a GO, Purdy just plays his game, etc…

I have 49ers win by -9 or more.

Fill em’

Good Luck LB

Solid analysis on two starting points and your peripheral factors are spot on. Go get em.

agreed

Good luck 

Great analysis, you were spot on on SF v GB.

I love that you mentioned time of possession in the handicap. I agree that this will be a major focal point for both teams.

My only concern is that Detroit's o line is better than the Packers o line. And we just saw what the Packers o line did to the Cowboys and Niners.

With 2 solid RB's in Montgomery and Gibbs, who wins the rushing attack may be a little closer than some think.

I'm not saying that it'll be enough to cover 7, but it might? A hundred other factors could still play for you to scratch a dub.

Nice job on your KC bet last week. EVERYONE disagreed with you from what I saw. No one here has disagreed with your Niners wager, so I figured a little devil's advocate was in order.

Best of Luck 

Super Analysis.
LFG fill up the Bags! 

Bang Bang, Niner Gang ?? 

@undermysac

 Thank you Sac. Lions run game is big  game changer…Montgomery is a bruiser, and Gibbs has downhill speed….Goff excels with that play action…#1 in the NFL…so him rolling out creates poise along with accuracy. 

…plus combine this w/ OC Ben Johnson and this offense is deadly. 

Overall offense excels with Goff passing vs running…stat wise top 10 in passing attempts…vs 49ers (dead last)…

plus it wouldn’t  surprise me if the RB prop for total yards for  McCaffrey > BOTH Lions rbs. 

….I just think more variables are going SFs way than Detroit…no hunch…

I would agree on paper Detroit OL was top 5 but GB O- line the last 7 games was playing as well as any in the NFL.

it will be interesting to see if SF get an early lead if Detroit doesn’t panic and abandon the run.  GL on your play 

Love it

No dirtbag noooo

I agree on everything but depending on Deebo to finish the game. Detroit will be gunning for that shoulder.

Hope you win your bet Dirt

@LB_Dirtbags

 , nail it Long Beach,

Go 49ers.

@LB_Dirtbags

 Yep!??

Is deebo a go?

4-0 Large 

Count me in  

Large extra cheese extra bacon with a fry and Dr Pepper  

@LB_Dirtbags

 Don't change a thing.  I've got KC +3.5 large and KC moneyline smaller.  I've also got SF -6.5 early-line.  We got this all the way to the bank!

Good luck Bags.  

We'll see what kind of practice Deebo turns in today.  It would be huge for Detroit if he sits out this week's game; but regardless, that shoulder will limit his productivity.

Goff has a 89 Qb rating on the road. 11 touchdowns and 6 interceptions in 9 games. Maybe I’m missing something