Bags SNF LARGE **KC Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills**

Playoff record: 6-1 ATS +52.5U

XL 1-0; Large 3-0; Med 1-0; small 1-0; xs 0-1

Chiefs/Bills write up & play coming up…

Interested to see 

Hope it’s chiefs 

Bills KC one is going to be impossible for me to decide. A real toss up 

LB is a smart man

It's def Buffalo 

Yeah baby

BILL$$$$ MAFIA..

LOL

??w

Has to be Buffalo. No way anyone is betting large on this year KC offense. They forget where the end zone is after halftime most weeks.

Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 (LARGE)

Kansas City Chiefs ML +122 (sm)

Pretty comfortable backing the better team. The only real problem I see is game will be a in a hostile environment, which will help Buffalo’s momentum…. But overall to put it as simple as possible.

Chiefs have the better: DEFENSE, QB, & yes COACH. 

…Remember… Defense & QB wins playoff games….SF did it with Defense and Purdy making the necessary plays down the stretch. 

IMO Bills are a VOLATILE team. You see it in just about every game…i.e. Last week we saw them play solid early, but only to regress in the 2H. Their play style is a recipe for disaster against a team that will take advantage of mistakes. 

Remember this line represents HOME FIELD points. This a scary spot for Buffalo imo. Chiefs are my play. 

Fill em

Amen 

Ehhhhhh gun to head I'm taking Buffalo in this one, kc really hadn't looked that great this year 

Josh Allen 5-1 at home in playoffs 

Tough one 

Love ya pal but Buff at home will be a tough out for this version of KC.

BOL BAGS 

Great run! Keep it going 

The Chiefs are the worst 2nd half team in the NFL offensively.

It won't surprise me if they win. They do have the better D, QB and coach. But Buffalo's defense isn't as far away from KC's as KC's offense is from Buffalo's.

I've been looking at yards per completion and all the past 5 years SB teams are top 5 in that stat. KC is the only team left in the playoffs before this weekend outside the top 10.

They aren't getting chunk plays like they used to. They are averaging the same yards per completion as the far from explosive Tennessee Titans.

Josh Allen has been throwing his end zone picks all year like he always has but he has also been moving the chains all the time. He can run, they got the tush push working. They're number one in the NFL in 3rd down conversion rate.

Both these teams struggled a bit to start the year. Everyone figured KC would flip the switch eventually - to my eyes they never did. Last week they had a Miami team that was in the tank and conditions in their favor at home. In so many spots (Raiders gamencomes to mind) where you expected them to step up and be the usual Chiefs it never happened. It's the Bills who have flipped the switch.

Hard to believe the SB champs are a dog in the playoffs next year but they fully deserve to be the offense sucks.

And defense wins championships is kind of dinosaur stuff these days it's actually an offensive league. 4 of the last 6 super bowls it was actually the team with the better offense that won.

Don’t see what folks see in Buffalo? EMPHATY is the only reason I see people have. 

Yes, Chiefs are a bad version from previous years…BUT look who Buffalo beat…mirror image of KC’s schedule. Both bad IMO.

GL Bills Mafia, this might be your only chance to punch a ticket to the SB... 

Allen can sling it and Buffalo can put up points any given game, a little erratic but they can and the Chiefs haven't looked like world beaters this year. 

Also I could convince myself on either side with this one. KC looked better last week in their playoff game than Buffalo did. 

Agreed . Give me Mahomes and Andy Reid this time of year +3 any day. I really do like buffalo as a team and hope they exercise their playoff demons . But if I’m thinking with my head and not my emotions it’s telling me CHIEFS  

@LB_Dirtbags

, nail it Long Beach.

 Let’s shave some this has OT written all over it 

Allen and the Bills have been dominating on the field out of the gate but not cashing in on the scoreboard. They can't do it tomorrow or they will lose. Getting a healthy lead early while they're dominating early is the key. 

KC +2.5, wow that's pretty hard...leanin Bills

you maybe 6-2 after tmrw...gl tho.

If people think Taylor Swift can return from Japan in time for the Super Bowl, KC is probably the right side.

Or if you think Josh Allen throws games on purpose to point shave, then KC is probably the right side.

On a serious note, Shawn Hochuli (the ref) favors road teams, and totals go under historically, but this year, favs have covered 9-6.

https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/nfl-referee-analysis-shawn-hochuli-bills-chiefs-2024/

I want Buffalo to win, but I think Andy Reid is a far better coach. McDermott has made so many bad decisions in big moments.

what def players are gonna be missing for the bills ?