Posted:
#1
throw out the opening line, line movement for now. lets look at the past 2 wks.
1. Chicago loses to Buffalo at home ( wk 1 20-23 ) who appears slightly improved from last year if not status quo IMO.
2. Chicago then goes to San Fran in wk 2 on SNF and look like they are about to get trounced by 49ers ( bc he they can't stop the run or run the ball themselves ) only to storm back on 3 pics by Kapernick in dramatic fashion. However, they lose a few starters on D during the comeback win ( Tillman out for year ). And Alshon Jeffrey played decent but isn't right and hampered by his hamstring.
Chicago's run defense looks just as bad as it did last year and now a few starters will be out for tonights game.
Chicago's offensive line is banged up as well. Garza, Slausen. They are having difficulty getting Forte and their running game going. Luckily San Fran's D looks weaker this year allowing Cutler to slice them up last wk.
1. Jets beat Oakland wk 1 at home 19-14 and didn't look all that impressive.
2. Jets jump all over Packers wk 2 in green bay and look like they are about to upset packers until they melted down in second half and made some questionable calls. *** Important point here is they got a lot of pressure on Rodgers and held GB in check first half. Not only bc of scheme but bc GB's O line is not healthy and not that great to begin with. Also, I don't care what anyone says, Geno Smith does look better SO FAR compared to last year. I'd say his bone head decisions have been cut in half thus far. And, Jets have been able to run ball well and stop run so far.
So, what does all this mean…… Bears can not run the ball, can not stop the run, have several injuries on defense ( defensive backs ), offense ( o line , receivers ), had to travel to west coast last wk and now to east coast this wk. And they are playing a team that runs the ball well and stops the run well and brings pressure well when teams are forced to pass in their home stadium on prime time.
The line opened at -3 and now has dipped to - 2.5, - 2 with a lot of public action on bears. I think the match ups, injury status ( i know decker and Millner are ? ) and home advantage all favor jets and the line should be - 4 IMHO. I love the Jets in this spot and hope the line drops to - 1 before kickoff. GL everyone.
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