I believe the wrong team is favored here today....really feeling Cincy today, going to make them my top play.
I'm shocked that so many people are taking Pittsburgh.....
I mean the Bengals have been the better team all season! And nothing has changed. Dalton being out should actually work in the Bengals favor.
I like Bengals to win this game straight up and advance to the next round. I believe this is the year they finally do so.
Bengals +2 (3 units)
Bengals ML (2 units)
If Pittsburgh wins, I'll be shocked!
BOL!!
I just dont get this strategy at all u took the money line on the dog i am ok with that why in the world u took +2 what are chances that game land as a 1 point win for the guest or 2 point win that will get u a push .make no sense whatsoever
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Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:
I believe the wrong team is favored here today....really feeling Cincy today, going to make them my top play.
I'm shocked that so many people are taking Pittsburgh.....
I mean the Bengals have been the better team all season! And nothing has changed. Dalton being out should actually work in the Bengals favor.
I like Bengals to win this game straight up and advance to the next round. I believe this is the year they finally do so.
Bengals +2 (3 units)
Bengals ML (2 units)
If Pittsburgh wins, I'll be shocked!
BOL!!
I just dont get this strategy at all u took the money line on the dog i am ok with that why in the world u took +2 what are chances that game land as a 1 point win for the guest or 2 point win that will get u a push .make no sense whatsoever
I just dont get this strategy at all u took the money line on the dog i am ok with that why in the world u took +2 what are chances that game land as a 1 point win for the guest or 2 point win that will get u a push .make no sense whatsoever
Many times when you see a 2.5 point spread, the game ends with a 2 point win. It's a professional rule of mine, if you see a 2.5 spread, ALWAYS take the spread and not the ML, because believe me you will get burned going ML.
In this case I do like the bengals to win this one straight up, so I am taking ML as well (one of the rare times I will actually do this)
But just incase Pittsburgh does win the game by only 1 point (21 to 20 or 20 to 19, all possibilities) I still make a profit, with Cincy covering the spread.
I could put the whole 5 units on Cincy ML but then if I am wrong and they do lose by 1....then there goes 5 units, and doing it this way we actually profit, even if Cincy loses, but covers.
No real thought went into this and I definitely wouldn't call it a strategy. just a professional rule when doing a parlay (which I always do...I just didn't post my other plays) you always take the spread in this case, if you were to play on PITT you would take the ML.
But I believe both of these bets will win today, just played it safe but splitting them up.
Sorry for over explaining it, just want to make sure you understand my reasoning. My actual parlays will have Bengals +2 in one of them and Bengals ML in the other.
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Quote Originally Posted by MLdogs:
I just dont get this strategy at all u took the money line on the dog i am ok with that why in the world u took +2 what are chances that game land as a 1 point win for the guest or 2 point win that will get u a push .make no sense whatsoever
Many times when you see a 2.5 point spread, the game ends with a 2 point win. It's a professional rule of mine, if you see a 2.5 spread, ALWAYS take the spread and not the ML, because believe me you will get burned going ML.
In this case I do like the bengals to win this one straight up, so I am taking ML as well (one of the rare times I will actually do this)
But just incase Pittsburgh does win the game by only 1 point (21 to 20 or 20 to 19, all possibilities) I still make a profit, with Cincy covering the spread.
I could put the whole 5 units on Cincy ML but then if I am wrong and they do lose by 1....then there goes 5 units, and doing it this way we actually profit, even if Cincy loses, but covers.
No real thought went into this and I definitely wouldn't call it a strategy. just a professional rule when doing a parlay (which I always do...I just didn't post my other plays) you always take the spread in this case, if you were to play on PITT you would take the ML.
But I believe both of these bets will win today, just played it safe but splitting them up.
Sorry for over explaining it, just want to make sure you understand my reasoning. My actual parlays will have Bengals +2 in one of them and Bengals ML in the other.
You can go ahead and play them ML if you want, if you disagree that this will be a 1 point game.
You might also be able to find a 2.5 spread, which honestly if I could get that, my play would be for Bengals +2.5...I am just so confident they win outright that I don't mind the +2
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You can go ahead and play them ML if you want, if you disagree that this will be a 1 point game.
You might also be able to find a 2.5 spread, which honestly if I could get that, my play would be for Bengals +2.5...I am just so confident they win outright that I don't mind the +2
Many times when you see a 2.5 point spread, the game ends with a 2 point win. It's a professional rule of mine, if you see a 2.5 spread, ALWAYS take the spread and not the ML, because believe me you will get burned going ML.
In this case I do like the bengals to win this one straight up, so I am taking ML as well (one of the rare times I will actually do this)
But just incase Pittsburgh does win the game by only 1 point (21 to 20 or 20 to 19, all possibilities) I still make a profit, with Cincy covering the spread.
I could put the whole 5 units on Cincy ML but then if I am wrong and they do lose by 1....then there goes 5 units, and doing it this way we actually profit, even if Cincy loses, but covers.
No real thought went into this and I definitely wouldn't call it a strategy. just a professional rule when doing a parlay (which I always do...I just didn't post my other plays) you always take the spread in this case, if you were to play on PITT you would take the ML.
But I believe both of these bets will win today, just played it safe but splitting them up.
Sorry for over explaining it, just want to make sure you understand my reasoning. My actual parlays will have Bengals +2 in one of them and Bengals ML in the other.
totally misleading i know there is possibility that game lands on 1 or 2 but what are chances slim to non and slim already left the town .i know u are going to get burned with a ml being taken here and there but more value is on the ml on the long run. dont ever take anything - in the sport betting
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Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:
Many times when you see a 2.5 point spread, the game ends with a 2 point win. It's a professional rule of mine, if you see a 2.5 spread, ALWAYS take the spread and not the ML, because believe me you will get burned going ML.
In this case I do like the bengals to win this one straight up, so I am taking ML as well (one of the rare times I will actually do this)
But just incase Pittsburgh does win the game by only 1 point (21 to 20 or 20 to 19, all possibilities) I still make a profit, with Cincy covering the spread.
I could put the whole 5 units on Cincy ML but then if I am wrong and they do lose by 1....then there goes 5 units, and doing it this way we actually profit, even if Cincy loses, but covers.
No real thought went into this and I definitely wouldn't call it a strategy. just a professional rule when doing a parlay (which I always do...I just didn't post my other plays) you always take the spread in this case, if you were to play on PITT you would take the ML.
But I believe both of these bets will win today, just played it safe but splitting them up.
Sorry for over explaining it, just want to make sure you understand my reasoning. My actual parlays will have Bengals +2 in one of them and Bengals ML in the other.
totally misleading i know there is possibility that game lands on 1 or 2 but what are chances slim to non and slim already left the town .i know u are going to get burned with a ml being taken here and there but more value is on the ml on the long run. dont ever take anything - in the sport betting
I disagree, for me whenever I take ML I get burned. Always take the points if you do parlays. You are missing the point of how much parlays can pay. You might lose 100 units on one parlay all because you didn't take the points.
Trust me, I've experienced it. Taking the point is a no brainer
And I said dalton is likely to come back soon, which is another reason I believe Cincy will win today. I just believe since Dalton is horrible on prime time, that this game will be best played without him.
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I disagree, for me whenever I take ML I get burned. Always take the points if you do parlays. You are missing the point of how much parlays can pay. You might lose 100 units on one parlay all because you didn't take the points.
Trust me, I've experienced it. Taking the point is a no brainer
And I said dalton is likely to come back soon, which is another reason I believe Cincy will win today. I just believe since Dalton is horrible on prime time, that this game will be best played without him.
I disagree, for me whenever I take ML I get burned. Always take the points if you do parlays. You are missing the point of how much parlays can pay. You might lose 100 units on one parlay all because you didn't take the points.
Trust me, I've experienced it. Taking the point is a no brainer
And I said dalton is likely to come back soon, which is another reason I believe Cincy will win today. I just believe since Dalton is horrible on prime time, that this game will be best played without him.
ok get back to me after the game if ml dont cash points wont save u so u gonna lose 2 bets suit urself
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Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:
I disagree, for me whenever I take ML I get burned. Always take the points if you do parlays. You are missing the point of how much parlays can pay. You might lose 100 units on one parlay all because you didn't take the points.
Trust me, I've experienced it. Taking the point is a no brainer
And I said dalton is likely to come back soon, which is another reason I believe Cincy will win today. I just believe since Dalton is horrible on prime time, that this game will be best played without him.
ok get back to me after the game if ml dont cash points wont save u so u gonna lose 2 bets suit urself
MLdogs...you don't get what I am trying to say- I ONLY DO PARLAYS....that's why it makes a difference. you have no idea how much my parlays pay, sometimes 100's of unit profit for one ticket. Why in the world would I risk losing 100's of units over a measly 2 point spread difference?
You understand what i am saying now? you are absolutely wrong if you think you should parlay ML in a big parlay. It will catch up to you and you will lose a lot more in the long run doing that.
I just asked in another thread why people are taking Houston +3....see I dont see any value in that as a straight bet. If they lose it likely will be by at least 3, so why not just them them ML?
Now in a big parlay, of course take the points. See, things change when you have a lot more on the line.
never get greedy they say
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MLdogs...you don't get what I am trying to say- I ONLY DO PARLAYS....that's why it makes a difference. you have no idea how much my parlays pay, sometimes 100's of unit profit for one ticket. Why in the world would I risk losing 100's of units over a measly 2 point spread difference?
You understand what i am saying now? you are absolutely wrong if you think you should parlay ML in a big parlay. It will catch up to you and you will lose a lot more in the long run doing that.
I just asked in another thread why people are taking Houston +3....see I dont see any value in that as a straight bet. If they lose it likely will be by at least 3, so why not just them them ML?
Now in a big parlay, of course take the points. See, things change when you have a lot more on the line.
Revenge factor, STRONG gut feeling over all else, and also because they never usually make it past the first round. This year should be different...but to the average bettor, them being the better team should be enough reasons for them to bet cincy here.
If the QB is out, not a big deal, Dalton doesn't play well on the big stage anyway. Cincy as a team has proved they are better over all. They would of beat Denver Broncos in that game, had it not been obviously rigged for them to lose it.
As for the spread thing, if anyone thinks a 2.5 spread cant end in a 2 point game, then you must be new to sports betting. Since I didnt post my other parlay plays, I can understand why ML dogs had a beef with my "Strategy" but either way it's definitely safer and more likely to win a +2.5 than it is to win outright.
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Revenge factor, STRONG gut feeling over all else, and also because they never usually make it past the first round. This year should be different...but to the average bettor, them being the better team should be enough reasons for them to bet cincy here.
If the QB is out, not a big deal, Dalton doesn't play well on the big stage anyway. Cincy as a team has proved they are better over all. They would of beat Denver Broncos in that game, had it not been obviously rigged for them to lose it.
As for the spread thing, if anyone thinks a 2.5 spread cant end in a 2 point game, then you must be new to sports betting. Since I didnt post my other parlay plays, I can understand why ML dogs had a beef with my "Strategy" but either way it's definitely safer and more likely to win a +2.5 than it is to win outright.
The spread is +2.5 for one reason, pitt likes to go for 2 pt conversion alot, to say the 2 pts doesnt matter means you dont watch much football, that being said bengals +4.5 looks good
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The spread is +2.5 for one reason, pitt likes to go for 2 pt conversion alot, to say the 2 pts doesnt matter means you dont watch much football, that being said bengals +4.5 looks good
The spread is +2.5 for one reason, pitt likes to go for 2 pt conversion alot, to say the 2 pts doesnt matter means you dont watch much football, that being said bengals +4.5 looks good
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Quote Originally Posted by nikki_santoro:
The spread is +2.5 for one reason, pitt likes to go for 2 pt conversion alot, to say the 2 pts doesnt matter means you dont watch much football, that being said bengals +4.5 looks good
The spread is +2.5 for one reason, pitt likes to go for 2 pt conversion alot, to say the 2 pts doesnt matter means you dont watch much football, that being said bengals +4.5 looks good
i am not saying is does not matter but wont matter today if cincy covers they will win it no points needed but if they lose points wont save ur rear
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Quote Originally Posted by nikki_santoro:
The spread is +2.5 for one reason, pitt likes to go for 2 pt conversion alot, to say the 2 pts doesnt matter means you dont watch much football, that being said bengals +4.5 looks good
i am not saying is does not matter but wont matter today if cincy covers they will win it no points needed but if they lose points wont save ur rear
I think Cincinnati is the better team, but you're entitled to your opinion.
But I should of made my post for +2.5 and not +2 and then it would of been profitable. I know a lot of books still had the +2.5 line when I made my post, so hopefully any bettors who followed me took advantage of that, and didn't get greedy and go on the ML!
Cincinnati still should of won this game straight up, Steelers got very lucky to get that field goal at the end. They had to convert on a 4th down to do so.
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Quote Originally Posted by MLdogs:
u were right i was wrong btw better team won
I think Cincinnati is the better team, but you're entitled to your opinion.
But I should of made my post for +2.5 and not +2 and then it would of been profitable. I know a lot of books still had the +2.5 line when I made my post, so hopefully any bettors who followed me took advantage of that, and didn't get greedy and go on the ML!
Cincinnati still should of won this game straight up, Steelers got very lucky to get that field goal at the end. They had to convert on a 4th down to do so.
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