hey Unstoppable.
My original lean was exactly the same as yours.. I love the dogs. I don't like favorites who beat an opponent earlier in the season giving 7 or more points to that same opponent in a revenge game, more importantly a championship game. it's certainly possible both underdogs cover, but as much as I like Luck and the Colts.. I don't think they can cover the 6.5
Colts could score the backdoor and lose by 4 or 6 points that's certainly on the back of my mind..however Luck has to play in Foxboro again under wind and rainy conditions. I just don't like that Luck is turnover prone on the road and sure they limited CJ Anderson's yards but Broncos were behind all game. Colts allow the 26th most rushing big plays and 18th in run yardage. New England is not exactly a running team but they ran 204 yards on them earlier in the season. I doubt the Pats will rush for that many yards again but its still something to exploit. Colts defense will have to come up big in this one.
I don't feel it will be another Patriot blowout like the last 3 games but I can see the Pats winning this comfortably by 7 to 13 pts.
Packers +7.5, Pats -6.5 for me, but whatever you decide on good luck on your plays.
hey Unstoppable.
My original lean was exactly the same as yours.. I love the dogs. I don't like favorites who beat an opponent earlier in the season giving 7 or more points to that same opponent in a revenge game, more importantly a championship game. it's certainly possible both underdogs cover, but as much as I like Luck and the Colts.. I don't think they can cover the 6.5
Colts could score the backdoor and lose by 4 or 6 points that's certainly on the back of my mind..however Luck has to play in Foxboro again under wind and rainy conditions. I just don't like that Luck is turnover prone on the road and sure they limited CJ Anderson's yards but Broncos were behind all game. Colts allow the 26th most rushing big plays and 18th in run yardage. New England is not exactly a running team but they ran 204 yards on them earlier in the season. I doubt the Pats will rush for that many yards again but its still something to exploit. Colts defense will have to come up big in this one.
I don't feel it will be another Patriot blowout like the last 3 games but I can see the Pats winning this comfortably by 7 to 13 pts.
Packers +7.5, Pats -6.5 for me, but whatever you decide on good luck on your plays.
hey Unstoppable.
My original lean was exactly the same as yours.. I love the dogs. I don't like favorites who beat an opponent earlier in the season giving 7 or more points to that same opponent in a revenge game, more importantly a championship game. it's certainly possible both underdogs cover, but as much as I like Luck and the Colts.. I don't think they can cover the 6.5
Colts could score the backdoor and lose by 4 or 6 points that's certainly on the back of my mind..however Luck has to play in Foxboro again under wind and rainy conditions. I just don't like that Luck is turnover prone on the road and sure they limited CJ Anderson's yards but Broncos were behind all game. Colts allow the 26th most rushing big plays and 18th in run yardage. New England is not exactly a running team but they ran 204 yards on them earlier in the season. I doubt the Pats will rush for that many yards again but its still something to exploit. Colts defense will have to come up big in this one.
I don't feel it will be another Patriot blowout like the last 3 games but I can see the Pats winning this comfortably by 7 to 13 pts.
Packers +7.5, Pats -6.5 for me, but whatever you decide on good luck on your plays.
hey Unstoppable.
My original lean was exactly the same as yours.. I love the dogs. I don't like favorites who beat an opponent earlier in the season giving 7 or more points to that same opponent in a revenge game, more importantly a championship game. it's certainly possible both underdogs cover, but as much as I like Luck and the Colts.. I don't think they can cover the 6.5
Colts could score the backdoor and lose by 4 or 6 points that's certainly on the back of my mind..however Luck has to play in Foxboro again under wind and rainy conditions. I just don't like that Luck is turnover prone on the road and sure they limited CJ Anderson's yards but Broncos were behind all game. Colts allow the 26th most rushing big plays and 18th in run yardage. New England is not exactly a running team but they ran 204 yards on them earlier in the season. I doubt the Pats will rush for that many yards again but its still something to exploit. Colts defense will have to come up big in this one.
I don't feel it will be another Patriot blowout like the last 3 games but I can see the Pats winning this comfortably by 7 to 13 pts.
Packers +7.5, Pats -6.5 for me, but whatever you decide on good luck on your plays.
I also like both Unders too with rain in the forecast. Only 5 conference games since 1990 have the total hit 54 points... last game that happened was in 06-07, Patriots vs Colts 38-34... but it was in a dome so that doesn't really count.
I feel like an Over will hit on one of these games though since both Unders hit last year.. its almost guaranteed that it won't happened 2 years in a row..
I also like both Unders too with rain in the forecast. Only 5 conference games since 1990 have the total hit 54 points... last game that happened was in 06-07, Patriots vs Colts 38-34... but it was in a dome so that doesn't really count.
I feel like an Over will hit on one of these games though since both Unders hit last year.. its almost guaranteed that it won't happened 2 years in a row..
True that. picking over 53.5 - hoping Luck and Brady can put a lot of points on the board and defensive turnovers to put them in good field positions for the fourth Over in a row
seeing a 31-24 or 34-24 game.
True that. picking over 53.5 - hoping Luck and Brady can put a lot of points on the board and defensive turnovers to put them in good field positions for the fourth Over in a row
seeing a 31-24 or 34-24 game.
True that. picking over 53.5 - hoping Luck and Brady can put a lot of points on the board and defensive turnovers to put them in good field positions for the fourth Over in a row
seeing a 31-24 or 34-24 game.
True that. picking over 53.5 - hoping Luck and Brady can put a lot of points on the board and defensive turnovers to put them in good field positions for the fourth Over in a row
seeing a 31-24 or 34-24 game.
Seahawks laid a beating on Green Bay when they met in week one. But, NFL playoffs teams that lost to their opponent during the regular season have a distinct advantage, going 55-34-3 (62%) ATS since 2001. I think this line is inflated, even with a hobbled Rogers (who I expect to rise to the occasion). Take Green Bay with the points. GB win or lost by 3
GB+7 (3 unit)
Under 46 (2 unit)
GB+Under (parlay)
BOL
Seahawks laid a beating on Green Bay when they met in week one. But, NFL playoffs teams that lost to their opponent during the regular season have a distinct advantage, going 55-34-3 (62%) ATS since 2001. I think this line is inflated, even with a hobbled Rogers (who I expect to rise to the occasion). Take Green Bay with the points. GB win or lost by 3
GB+7 (3 unit)
Under 46 (2 unit)
GB+Under (parlay)
BOL
I really feel like at least one of the dogs outright wins tomorrow as well. So check this out. Say I bet $100 on GB +270, and Colts $100 +240. As long as one dog wins you will make money. Throw in $40 on a ml parlay with the 2 and if both teams win you cash. ML parlay with both pays 12:1. Just a thought...
I really feel like at least one of the dogs outright wins tomorrow as well. So check this out. Say I bet $100 on GB +270, and Colts $100 +240. As long as one dog wins you will make money. Throw in $40 on a ml parlay with the 2 and if both teams win you cash. ML parlay with both pays 12:1. Just a thought...
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