Posted:
#1
I have a solid football mind and I don't even feel cocky saying that. I have a great knowledge of players on every team and also crushed Fantasy Football. I would love to debate anyone on these picks.
Patriots HT/FT -140
Packers HT/FT -140
I think both of those are self-explanatory. Until proven otherwise PITT and CHI Def should project to be as horrible as last year. Brady is determined and Rodgers kills the Bears. I figure at the very worst its probably close to 90% you win one of these. So worst case is you take a small loss. But I think the odds should be in the -200 region for both especially NE...PITT is at NE with no Leveon Bell.
To win:
Parlay
-200 MIA over WAS
-150 NYJ over CLE
Everyone knows the situation in WAS is one of chaos. Cousins faces a solid def with the addition of Suh...good luck. Grimes can handle Desean for the most part. Tannehill has steadily improved every year and has weapons all around him. Considering Tannehill hasn't been bad on the road and WAS hasn't been good at home, the homefield advantage really doesn't mean much. At first -200 seems large but I think it should be closer to -275 minimum.
NYJ have a new def coach (Bowles) and added Revis and Cromartie. Being an AZ fan I know what Bowles can do and its legit. CLE simply doesn't have enough weapons to move the ball on this imo top 5 defense. The only issue is if Fitzpatrick gives the games away but with Marshall and Decker I think he will be fine despite the presence of Haden. Much has been made of the Jets and Geno but they will still beat the Browns at home.
Gambles of the Week:
OAK at home +172...Cincy looked horrible in the preseason. Dalton can be a an absolute joke sometimes. Carr can play decent and Amari Cooper ould be a beast...they have a clear shot here at home but I wouldn't bank on it just cuz CIN DEF is solid and OAK is still very young...but worth a flier.
DET +130 at SD: If Megatron plays like himself SD will have issues defending him and Tate. Lions def remains solid and Gordon hasn't looked great. This game could go either way but my gut says DET will win.
KC -105 at HOU: If JJ Watt doesn't score I don't know if HOU can score more than 1 TD. KC def is finally healthy and they are legit. Hoyer is the HOU QB and Foster is out enough said. KC should be a clear favorite here. They added Maclin and Charles is healthy. Just more talent on offense compared to HOUs. KC should win and should be a higher favorite.
Exact Game Result: STL to beat SEA by 1-3 PTS +900
Foles I think is overrated and has very few weapons on offense. However, Rams dline vs SEA oline is the key battle here. This is a top 3 dline vs what currently looks like a horrible oline. If Rams def can keep it close Foles won't have to do much. STL won against SEA in STL by 3 last year. If they do win on Sunday it won't be my much.
Patriots HT/FT -140
Packers HT/FT -140
I think both of those are self-explanatory. Until proven otherwise PITT and CHI Def should project to be as horrible as last year. Brady is determined and Rodgers kills the Bears. I figure at the very worst its probably close to 90% you win one of these. So worst case is you take a small loss. But I think the odds should be in the -200 region for both especially NE...PITT is at NE with no Leveon Bell.
To win:
Parlay
-200 MIA over WAS
-150 NYJ over CLE
Everyone knows the situation in WAS is one of chaos. Cousins faces a solid def with the addition of Suh...good luck. Grimes can handle Desean for the most part. Tannehill has steadily improved every year and has weapons all around him. Considering Tannehill hasn't been bad on the road and WAS hasn't been good at home, the homefield advantage really doesn't mean much. At first -200 seems large but I think it should be closer to -275 minimum.
NYJ have a new def coach (Bowles) and added Revis and Cromartie. Being an AZ fan I know what Bowles can do and its legit. CLE simply doesn't have enough weapons to move the ball on this imo top 5 defense. The only issue is if Fitzpatrick gives the games away but with Marshall and Decker I think he will be fine despite the presence of Haden. Much has been made of the Jets and Geno but they will still beat the Browns at home.
Gambles of the Week:
OAK at home +172...Cincy looked horrible in the preseason. Dalton can be a an absolute joke sometimes. Carr can play decent and Amari Cooper ould be a beast...they have a clear shot here at home but I wouldn't bank on it just cuz CIN DEF is solid and OAK is still very young...but worth a flier.
DET +130 at SD: If Megatron plays like himself SD will have issues defending him and Tate. Lions def remains solid and Gordon hasn't looked great. This game could go either way but my gut says DET will win.
KC -105 at HOU: If JJ Watt doesn't score I don't know if HOU can score more than 1 TD. KC def is finally healthy and they are legit. Hoyer is the HOU QB and Foster is out enough said. KC should be a clear favorite here. They added Maclin and Charles is healthy. Just more talent on offense compared to HOUs. KC should win and should be a higher favorite.
Exact Game Result: STL to beat SEA by 1-3 PTS +900
Foles I think is overrated and has very few weapons on offense. However, Rams dline vs SEA oline is the key battle here. This is a top 3 dline vs what currently looks like a horrible oline. If Rams def can keep it close Foles won't have to do much. STL won against SEA in STL by 3 last year. If they do win on Sunday it won't be my much.
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