BET WEEK 12 like it's the last week of NFL FOOTBALL ( BILLS TT OVER 27.5 )

Sweep your board bro!!

I really like the over for the Raiders game.  I will also more than likely be playing the Cheifs -3 but my main play is the Jets +7.5.  Might be the best spot to get that W.

@DoubleUp4Life

 I was suprised to see the Bills team total for TD'S over 3.5 at +140 at my book (draftkingz) any thoughts on this? Thinking about making this a pretty heavy play

@DoubleUp4Life

You've pointed out that the Bills are basically pass happy and havent made many rushing attempts lately.  Yet Chargers have struggled to stop the run this season (18th in defensive rushing success and 28th in explosive rushing allowed) which could be an issue against the Bills offense, which ranks sixth in explosive rushing. No concerns that Bills may go with the rushing game, keeping ball out of Herbert thus possibly not score over 27.5?

I've had this circled as the best chance for a Jets s up win since week 3 ...

Thinking you helped give me the final push and I'll jump on the Jets ...

Hopefully its Fitztragic instead of Fitzmagic today...

Best of luck Brother  

Going to be hard for the Bucs to slow those Chiefs down 

I understand  what you're saying and it makes sense .

The problem with it is Daboll simply doesn't call enough run plays to burn clock ..

The BILLS O line has had a horrible time creating holes for Singletary and Moss this year ...They've tried it , and have  almost given up at this point ... 

DOUBLE SIZED

OVER 53 BILLS VS CHARGERS

$572/520

Cancel this wager on Covers ...I'll pay the $52 ...

I am middling as one local now has 56 , and another local has 51 ( 51.5 at the casino ) ..  Locally inflated lines dont count here on Covers , so the $52 loss is result for covers purposes 

Yep it's all about the Benjamins...

I love the bubble cities idea ..They should have been there since day 1 ..

Sweep your board today my much respected Brother 

@DoubleUp4Life

Hey. Big Bills fan here as well. I think this will be the best the OL will be all season. They should be able to establish the run game with the return of Morse. Feliciano can bump over to his natural position - Guard. Allen will have protection and there will be holes. I personally think John Brown is a big loss. Bills still getting nothing from TE and Davis is inconsistent. Let’s see if Knox can finally have a solid game. 

All though it doesnt count on Covers I had to pay over $152 in juice with a shot to win 2 grand. 

$52 to cancel out of over  53 .( not getting that back ..) 

Unfortunately I have to meet the local with 56  as the total with $1100 cash before kickoff ( 40 minute drive ) ...Another local with 51 will allow me to bet 1k without a down payment ...

Brown is definitely a huge loss 

I've been waiting on Knox to flourish since that monster Bengals game he had last year .

Knox has been killing the BILLS when he plays this season   ...At least 1+ huge drop,  1-2+ dumb penalties , and many missed blocking assignments per game ....Rewatched the playoff game vs the Texans ..He whiffed on a run block that would have Srpung Allen into field goal range in OT ....

Tight end is a must upgrade in the offseason..

Best of luck Brother 

GO BILLS 

WEEK 12 INVESTMENTS

*WAGER KEY

MORTGAGE 5+ UNITS

BUCKET OF WINGS 4+ UNITS

DOUBLE SIZED 2-3.5 UNITS

STANDARD 1+ UNIT

small less than a unit , counts towards money won or lost , but NOT Overall record .

BUCKET OF WINGS WAGER

BUFFALO BILLS OVER 29.5. -113

$474.60 TO WIN $420

BUFFALO BILLS OVER 27.5 -118

$472 TO WIN $400

Weather here in WNY is Fantastic for this time of year ( 50 degrees and sunny today with winds under 10mph ...)

The BILLS have had 2 weeks to stew about losing on a miracle hail mary ..Josh Allen has been saying for 2 weeks that the offense needed to capitalize and score more points and it never would have come down to a one possession game ..I dont think the BILLS will take their foot off the gas until the final whistle...

DOUBLE SIZED

-$52 canceling the OVER 53 ..Attempting to middle at over 51 and under 56 ..Spending $152 , but inflated local lines dont count on Covers....

STANDAND WAGERS

TITANS -1 +163

$250/407.50

Everyone and their Grandma watched the Colts beat the Packers last week . COLTS should have 3 key defenders OUT tomorrow...This game is a coin flip at best and the +163 is juicy..Henry should love the fast track ...

OVER 55.5 RAIDERS AT FALCONS

$242/$220

Score chart has 63 ..My Pizza Gut says the winner needs to score 40+ points ..Shocked to see the number drop to 53

SMALL WAGERS

THANKSGIVING PARLAY +247

$90/$222.30. One leg remaining

TEXANS. -152. Where was this team that played today all season ???

WASHINGTON +7.5. -240. Never in doubt with the +7.5

STEELERS ML -215. They have to lose one of these games right ??? Maybe not !! The RONA is ravishing the Ravens right now ...

WASHINGTON DC FOOTBALL TEAM -2 +148

$70/103.60. Winner

Solid win ..Should have listened to one of our great covers BROTHERS who told me weeks ago to bet on DC division futures...

PARLAY

+123

$100/123

GIANTS ML -278

OVER 53 CHIEFS AT BUCS -157

Corrupt Carl Cheffers should help the Giants win if needed ...

I dont mind buying a few points , but probably wont need them in the Chiefs vs Bucs track meet ...

PANTHERS +160

$63/100.80

Carolina is sneaky good and plays much better than their record ..Not sure the Vikings should be the chalk here...Wouldn't go larger than this though ..

New Jersey Jets -1 +310 

$35/108.50

They have to win one of these right ??? Hoping for Fitztragic instead of Fitzmagic ...

@DoubleUp4Life

 This is not a political thread....then wtf is is?!?  It never stops with you. 

you seem like a good dude.  And your picks are pretty darn good from what I can tell.  But you won’t let up this Covid shit.  For me, I hate that a nasty virus has been politicized.  The best I can tel Trump tried to downplay it to avoid panic because he, like NO ONE, was really equipped to handle it.  Do I LOVE trump!?!?  Hell no.  But you think having a D behind your name means you could solve Covid.  Give me a break.  Covid is on Trump???  Give me another f’ing break.  It’s on China . 

and as far as it goes, it’s here.  We have to live with it.  You can’t shut everything down.  If you have health issues or your family does or you are just plain scared, that’s fine. Do what you need to do.  But none of us are experts.  NONE.  Especially not me and especially not you.  Let it go.  Quit doomsdaying.

keep posting Great picks and stop with the woe is me Covid and trump are killing everyone.  It’s a joke. We come here to avoid this shit.  It’s been politicized already by both sides.  It’s a virus caused by China spread by communist China that we have to live with.  You can’t shut everything down forever because of it.  You’re a fool if you think any of the numbers associated with it are real.  No one at this point knows if 20, 200, or 2 billion people die from it.  No one.  And I don’t want to hear about “my sister in law’s cousin is a nurse and she said..”. Everyone, including you, has an agenda intertwined with it now. M

let it go.  Life goes on.  They are not canceling nfl.  And if they do, we might as we drop a couple of nukes and call it a day.  We will all be living like a goddamn simulation where we have zero freedom because a virus kills 1% of the people it infects.  Oh what a great life.  

good luck with you and your health and your picks. Stop with the Covid nonsense

Best of luck Brother 

Sweep your board...

Should be some great games today with 20 teams basically still alive for playoff spots..

Down to 26.5 -124 on my book 

UPGRADE  to a MORTGAGE WAGER 

BUFFALO BILLS OVER 26.5 -124

$372/300

BUFFALO BILLS OVER 29.5. -113

$474.60 TO WIN $420

BUFFALO BILLS OVER 27.5 -118

$472 TO WIN $400

Yep ...I'm on it ...Been stalking this line all week 

Best of luck Brother 

@DoubleUp4Life

 good thinking on the prop bets i will to insurance policy if u will

You are the only capper  I even bother to read in NFL forum. Appreciate your knowledge and sharing . Thanks .

Sweep your board .

@DoubleUp4Life

 How do you feel about 13.5 1H??? Bills avg 16.6 1st half PPG at Home. 

I'm on this for more, but also tailing your full game. GL BROTHER LETS EAT!