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BPICKIN DIVSIONAL WEEKEND

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glyde69

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2005

Posts: 7407

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 11:46 AM ET #26

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Maukaboy

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2014

Posts: 4663

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 11:55 AM ET #27

Bol B! Thanks for sharing

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bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 12:13 PM ET #28

Quote Originally Posted by Cashinwong:

Thx, if Atl covers, does that mean NE is a system play? Thx

Kinda but on a different system i use...

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bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 12:15 PM ET #29

Quote Originally Posted by Cashinwong:

Thx, if Atl covers, does that mean NE is a system play? Thx

It's from the same system that gave me packers and over last Sunday night...

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Ih8coldweather

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2015

Posts: 3001

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 1:41 PM ET #30

B-pick,

I saw this system play last year and I believe it worked out well for you. However, don't you think that it is highly likely that SEA covers with a 5 point spread and NE blows out HOU.

This is my reasoning for a number of reasons.

1) Seattle is banged up, and they are not a good road team. We've seen them struggle on the road all year. Earl Thomas being out in the secondary is also a major concern. BUT, Seattle defense did look pretty good against a good offensive team in the Lions, granted they were at home and there were a few questionable calls. Even still, the first match up was extremely close (Seattle won by 2) and so, it is my inclination that this game will be close and will go OVER, I see a 27-30 or 33-30 type of a game. I just see Russel Wilson being able to keep this game close. He has never lost a playoff game by double digits. Seattle offense looked capable of running the ball last week and I think they will be able to do the same against a mediocre at best Falcon Defense. The only concern is the starting L tackle. Also, Matt Ryan is just not a post-season QB. He has struggled every single year when he reached the post season and was a major disappointment. I think this is a major point that is being overlooked when people are capping this game. Call me crazy, but I just see Seattle being able to stay within this game and if they lose, I can't see it being by more than 4 points.

NE - 15 is a **** ton of points, but for some reason I see NE crushing the lowly Texans and sending a statement to the remaining teams in the playoffs. They always do. They are at home, Brady is back with a mistake free, 28 TD-2 INT season (on a short season) and you have the greatest coach in BB going up against Bill O'brien. Just look back at the game during week 3, where the patriots, with backup QB JACOBY BRISSETT manhandled the Texans in Houston 27-0. Now, they are at home, with Brady back and they play a Houston team, which is outcoached, outmanned, against a HOF QB and arguably best player in NFL history, and on the road (which is always tough for an indoor team). I just can't see Houston keeping this close, and by close I mean within 20 points. I don't even think they will back door. Osweiller plays poorly on the road and in the outdoors. He looked good last week against an Oakland raider defense that is anything but impressive, and he was able to get things going because he consistently got a short field due to Cook's turnovers and the short field he was handed. That won't happen against the pats. This is going to be a 42-10 type of a game.

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B-pick,

I saw this system play last year and I believe it worked out well for you. However, don't you think that it is highly likely that SEA covers with a 5 point spread and NE blows out HOU.

This is my reasoning for a number of reasons.

1) Seattle is banged up, and they are not a good road team. We've seen them struggle on the road all year. Earl Thomas being out in the secondary is also a major concern. BUT, Seattle defense did look pretty good against a good offensive team in the Lions, granted they were at home and there were a few questionable calls. Even still, the first match up was extremely close (Seattle won by 2) and so, it is my inclination that this game will be close and will go OVER, I see a 27-30 or 33-30 type of a game. I just see Russel Wilson being able to keep this game close. He has never lost a playoff game by double digits. Seattle offense looked capable of running the ball last week and I think they will be able to do the same against a mediocre at best Falcon Defense. The only concern is the starting L tackle. Also, Matt Ryan is just not a post-season QB. He has struggled every single year when he reached the post season and was a major disappointment. I think this is a major point that is being overlooked when people are capping this game. Call me crazy, but I just see Seattle being able to stay within this game and if they lose, I can't see it being by more than 4 points.

NE - 15 is a **** ton of points, but for some reason I see NE crushing the lowly Texans and sending a statement to the remaining teams in the playoffs. They always do. They are at home, Brady is back with a mistake free, 28 TD-2 INT season (on a short season) and you have the greatest coach in BB going up against Bill O'brien. Just look back at the game during week 3, where the patriots, with backup QB JACOBY BRISSETT manhandled the Texans in Houston 27-0. Now, they are at home, with Brady back and they play a Houston team, which is outcoached, outmanned, against a HOF QB and arguably best player in NFL history, and on the road (which is always tough for an indoor team). I just can't see Houston keeping this close, and by close I mean within 20 points. I don't even think they will back door. Osweiller plays poorly on the road and in the outdoors. He looked good last week against an Oakland raider defense that is anything but impressive, and he was able to get things going because he consistently got a short field due to Cook's turnovers and the short field he was handed. That won't happen against the pats. This is going to be a 42-10 type of a game.

bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 1:46 PM ET #31

Quote Originally Posted by Ih8coldweather:

B-pick,

I saw this system play last year and I believe it worked out well for you. However, don't you think that it is highly likely that SEA covers with a 5 point spread and NE blows out HOU.

This is my reasoning for a number of reasons.

1) Seattle is banged up, and they are not a good road team. We've seen them struggle on the road all year. Earl Thomas being out in the secondary is also a major concern. BUT, Seattle defense did look pretty good against a good offensive team in the Lions, granted they were at home and there were a few questionable calls. Even still, the first match up was extremely close (Seattle won by 2) and so, it is my inclination that this game will be close and will go OVER, I see a 27-30 or 33-30 type of a game. I just see Russel Wilson being able to keep this game close. He has never lost a playoff game by double digits. Seattle offense looked capable of running the ball last week and I think they will be able to do the same against a mediocre at best Falcon Defense. The only concern is the starting L tackle. Also, Matt Ryan is just not a post-season QB. He has struggled every single year when he reached the post season and was a major disappointment. I think this is a major point that is being overlooked when people are capping this game. Call me crazy, but I just see Seattle being able to stay within this game and if they lose, I can't see it being by more than 4 points.

NE - 15 is a **** ton of points, but for some reason I see NE crushing the lowly Texans and sending a statement to the remaining teams in the playoffs. They always do. They are at home, Brady is back with a mistake free, 28 TD-2 INT season (on a short season) and you have the greatest coach in BB going up against Bill O'brien. Just look back at the game during week 3, where the patriots, with backup QB JACOBY BRISSETT manhandled the Texans in Houston 27-0. Now, they are at home, with Brady back and they play a Houston team, which is outcoached, outmanned, against a HOF QB and arguably best player in NFL history, and on the road (which is always tough for an indoor team). I just can't see Houston keeping this close, and by close I mean within 20 points. I don't even think they will back door. Osweiller plays poorly on the road and in the outdoors. He looked good last week against an Oakland raider defense that is anything but impressive, and he was able to get things going because he consistently got a short field due to Cook's turnovers and the short field he was handed. That won't happen against the pats. This is going to be a 42-10 type of a game.

Totally system play. I won't be watching the games so I won't know if a team was up by 20 and the other team comes all the ats back to cover or gets blown out... I will check final scores only to avoid nonsense...

0

Quote Originally Posted by Ih8coldweather:

B-pick,

I saw this system play last year and I believe it worked out well for you. However, don't you think that it is highly likely that SEA covers with a 5 point spread and NE blows out HOU.

This is my reasoning for a number of reasons.

1) Seattle is banged up, and they are not a good road team. We've seen them struggle on the road all year. Earl Thomas being out in the secondary is also a major concern. BUT, Seattle defense did look pretty good against a good offensive team in the Lions, granted they were at home and there were a few questionable calls. Even still, the first match up was extremely close (Seattle won by 2) and so, it is my inclination that this game will be close and will go OVER, I see a 27-30 or 33-30 type of a game. I just see Russel Wilson being able to keep this game close. He has never lost a playoff game by double digits. Seattle offense looked capable of running the ball last week and I think they will be able to do the same against a mediocre at best Falcon Defense. The only concern is the starting L tackle. Also, Matt Ryan is just not a post-season QB. He has struggled every single year when he reached the post season and was a major disappointment. I think this is a major point that is being overlooked when people are capping this game. Call me crazy, but I just see Seattle being able to stay within this game and if they lose, I can't see it being by more than 4 points.

NE - 15 is a **** ton of points, but for some reason I see NE crushing the lowly Texans and sending a statement to the remaining teams in the playoffs. They always do. They are at home, Brady is back with a mistake free, 28 TD-2 INT season (on a short season) and you have the greatest coach in BB going up against Bill O'brien. Just look back at the game during week 3, where the patriots, with backup QB JACOBY BRISSETT manhandled the Texans in Houston 27-0. Now, they are at home, with Brady back and they play a Houston team, which is outcoached, outmanned, against a HOF QB and arguably best player in NFL history, and on the road (which is always tough for an indoor team). I just can't see Houston keeping this close, and by close I mean within 20 points. I don't even think they will back door. Osweiller plays poorly on the road and in the outdoors. He looked good last week against an Oakland raider defense that is anything but impressive, and he was able to get things going because he consistently got a short field due to Cook's turnovers and the short field he was handed. That won't happen against the pats. This is going to be a 42-10 type of a game.

Totally system play. I won't be watching the games so I won't know if a team was up by 20 and the other team comes all the ats back to cover or gets blown out... I will check final scores only to avoid nonsense...

bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 1:57 PM ET #32

I bet my systems blind. Honestly I don't care who covers first game... second game is a blind bet...

However the roadie in Seattle/Atlanta is 4-1 ats... the roadie seems to find a way to cover...

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CoreyPaus

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 1352

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 2:02 PM ET #33

Bpickin, what if by game time KC becomes a PK'em? Do we lay off of Dal/GB or stick with current line of KC -1 as a favorite and follow your system pick for the last game of the weekend? Does your pick of Dal or GB blindly follow the opposite of spread winner in KC/Pitts game even if PItts becomes a favorite by game time? Or do we use the current line of KC -1 to make a decision on Dal/GB game?

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bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 2:16 PM ET #34

I only base my play off my line from my information source... any movement doesn't matter once I have my plays in mind. I

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Cooler999

Hall of Fame

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 20612

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 2:23 PM ET #35

I must say, you have a lot of faith in your system. I know you didn't bet much last week due to them not fitting your plan.

You have much more discipline than I could ever have by sticking to your system.

All the luck to you, and hope your biggest one's hit.

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bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 3:02 PM ET #36

If Atlanta covers I'll play New England

and if Pitt covers I'll play dallas...

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Diegopimp

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2015

Posts: 173

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 3:09 PM ET #37

How has this system fared before?

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g00p

Banned

Joined: Jan, 2017

Posts: 66

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 3:14 PM ET #38

Not trying to hate here, but why would one game affect the other

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bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 3:20 PM ET #39

Quote Originally Posted by Diegopimp:

How has this system fared before?

I am undefeated on covers since I started posting them a couple years ago. All posted including the most recent being HAMMERTIME ON KC A FEW WEEKS AGO WHEN THEY PLAYED DENVER I THINK

I hope typing that doesn't make me eat my words...

SIT OUT SATURDAY. If it comes 2 dogs or 2 faves ats then maybe think about Sunday... or just watch how it goes this weekend and if we mail it be ready to jump in next week... and if it goes bad STILL be ready for next week.

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monkeebooger

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 5369

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 3:21 PM ET #40

Bpickin,

KC/Pitt moved to 830pm EST meaning Dallas/Gb game will be the first game.

So if Gb covers, play KC

If Dallas covers, play Pittsburgh?

Thanks buddy

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bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 3:21 PM ET #41

Quote Originally Posted by g00p:

Not trying to hate here, but why would one game affect the other

ITS ALL ABOUT THE ATS BABY... always remember that the linesmakers are smarter then you think...

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bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 3:23 PM ET #42

Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:

Bpickin,

KC/Pitt moved to 830pm EST meaning Dallas/Gb game will be the first game.

So if Gb covers, play KC

If Dallas covers, play Pittsburgh?

Thanks buddy

What????? That affects everything. Where do you see that?

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JFelty

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2014

Posts: 8332

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 3:23 PM ET #43

Game was moved sundyabsame system apply except backwards now?

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bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Jan. 13, 2017 - 3:24 PM ET #44

Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:

Bpickin,

KC/Pitt moved to 830pm EST meaning Dallas/Gb game will be the first game.

So if Gb covers, play KC

If Dallas covers, play Pittsburgh?

Thanks buddy

Actually it should not affect it except it may screw up my parlays... I really dont know honestly and now I am second guessing everything...

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Nicky_Greek

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2017

Posts: 202

Posted: Jan. 14, 2017 - 9:00 AM ET #45

Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:

Totally system play. I won't be watching the games so I won't know if a team was up by 20 and the other team comes all the ats back to cover or gets blown out... I will check final scores only to avoid nonsense...

What do you mean you wont be watching the games???? That is just wrong.

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bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Jan. 14, 2017 - 9:08 AM ET #46

I am busy all day and night. I will be flying all day.

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BigJones24

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2016

Posts: 8

Posted: Jan. 14, 2017 - 12:32 PM ET #47

bpick what about the fact that the Pitt/KC game has been moved to Sunday night? How will you be able to see who wins to then hammer GB or Dallas? Just a question because I'm tailing you either way.

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bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Jan. 14, 2017 - 12:39 PM ET #48

These are the system plays as follows:

If Seattle +5 then Houston +15.5

If Atlanta-5 then New England -15.5

If kc-1 then Green Bay +5

If Pitt +1 then dallas -5

No changes IM BETTING BLIND.

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mdelvalle

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2006

Posts: 4062

Posted: Jan. 14, 2017 - 12:39 PM ET #49

GL

MDV

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Bronco6

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2009

Posts: 371

Posted: Jan. 14, 2017 - 1:19 PM ET #50

Still. HAMMERTIME. On the 2nd game ?

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BPICKIN DIVSIONAL WEEKEND

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