Posted:
#26
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BPICKIN DIVSIONAL WEEKEND
Posted:
#30
B-pick,
I saw this system play last year and I believe it worked out well for you. However, don't you think that it is highly likely that SEA covers with a 5 point spread and NE blows out HOU.
This is my reasoning for a number of reasons.
1) Seattle is banged up, and they are not a good road team. We've seen them struggle on the road all year. Earl Thomas being out in the secondary is also a major concern. BUT, Seattle defense did look pretty good against a good offensive team in the Lions, granted they were at home and there were a few questionable calls. Even still, the first match up was extremely close (Seattle won by 2) and so, it is my inclination that this game will be close and will go OVER, I see a 27-30 or 33-30 type of a game. I just see Russel Wilson being able to keep this game close. He has never lost a playoff game by double digits. Seattle offense looked capable of running the ball last week and I think they will be able to do the same against a mediocre at best Falcon Defense. The only concern is the starting L tackle. Also, Matt Ryan is just not a post-season QB. He has struggled every single year when he reached the post season and was a major disappointment. I think this is a major point that is being overlooked when people are capping this game. Call me crazy, but I just see Seattle being able to stay within this game and if they lose, I can't see it being by more than 4 points.
NE - 15 is a **** ton of points, but for some reason I see NE crushing the lowly Texans and sending a statement to the remaining teams in the playoffs. They always do. They are at home, Brady is back with a mistake free, 28 TD-2 INT season (on a short season) and you have the greatest coach in BB going up against Bill O'brien. Just look back at the game during week 3, where the patriots, with backup QB JACOBY BRISSETT manhandled the Texans in Houston 27-0. Now, they are at home, with Brady back and they play a Houston team, which is outcoached, outmanned, against a HOF QB and arguably best player in NFL history, and on the road (which is always tough for an indoor team). I just can't see Houston keeping this close, and by close I mean within 20 points. I don't even think they will back door. Osweiller plays poorly on the road and in the outdoors. He looked good last week against an Oakland raider defense that is anything but impressive, and he was able to get things going because he consistently got a short field due to Cook's turnovers and the short field he was handed. That won't happen against the pats. This is going to be a 42-10 type of a game.
0
Posted:
#31
Quote Originally Posted by Ih8coldweather:
B-pick,
B-pick,
I saw this system play last year and I believe it worked out well for you. However, don't you think that it is highly likely that SEA covers with a 5 point spread and NE blows out HOU.
This is my reasoning for a number of reasons.
1) Seattle is banged up, and they are not a good road team. We've seen them struggle on the road all year. Earl Thomas being out in the secondary is also a major concern. BUT, Seattle defense did look pretty good against a good offensive team in the Lions, granted they were at home and there were a few questionable calls. Even still, the first match up was extremely close (Seattle won by 2) and so, it is my inclination that this game will be close and will go OVER, I see a 27-30 or 33-30 type of a game. I just see Russel Wilson being able to keep this game close. He has never lost a playoff game by double digits. Seattle offense looked capable of running the ball last week and I think they will be able to do the same against a mediocre at best Falcon Defense. The only concern is the starting L tackle. Also, Matt Ryan is just not a post-season QB. He has struggled every single year when he reached the post season and was a major disappointment. I think this is a major point that is being overlooked when people are capping this game. Call me crazy, but I just see Seattle being able to stay within this game and if they lose, I can't see it being by more than 4 points.
NE - 15 is a **** ton of points, but for some reason I see NE crushing the lowly Texans and sending a statement to the remaining teams in the playoffs. They always do. They are at home, Brady is back with a mistake free, 28 TD-2 INT season (on a short season) and you have the greatest coach in BB going up against Bill O'brien. Just look back at the game during week 3, where the patriots, with backup QB JACOBY BRISSETT manhandled the Texans in Houston 27-0. Now, they are at home, with Brady back and they play a Houston team, which is outcoached, outmanned, against a HOF QB and arguably best player in NFL history, and on the road (which is always tough for an indoor team). I just can't see Houston keeping this close, and by close I mean within 20 points. I don't even think they will back door. Osweiller plays poorly on the road and in the outdoors. He looked good last week against an Oakland raider defense that is anything but impressive, and he was able to get things going because he consistently got a short field due to Cook's turnovers and the short field he was handed. That won't happen against the pats. This is going to be a 42-10 type of a game.
Totally system play. I won't be watching the games so I won't know if a team was up by 20 and the other team comes all the ats back to cover or gets blown out... I will check final scores only to avoid nonsense...
0
Posted:
#33
Bpickin, what if by game time KC becomes a PK'em? Do we lay off of Dal/GB or stick with current line of KC -1 as a favorite and follow your system pick for the last game of the weekend? Does your pick of Dal or GB blindly follow the opposite of spread winner in KC/Pitts game even if PItts becomes a favorite by game time? Or do we use the current line of KC -1 to make a decision on Dal/GB game?
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Posted:
#39
Quote Originally Posted by Diegopimp:
How has this system fared before?
How has this system fared before?
I am undefeated on covers since I started posting them a couple years ago. All posted including the most recent being HAMMERTIME ON KC A FEW WEEKS AGO WHEN THEY PLAYED DENVER I THINK
I hope typing that doesn't make me eat my words...
SIT OUT SATURDAY. If it comes 2 dogs or 2 faves ats then maybe think about Sunday... or just watch how it goes this weekend and if we mail it be ready to jump in next week... and if it goes bad STILL be ready for next week.
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Posted:
#44
Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:
Bpickin,
Bpickin,
KC/Pitt moved to 830pm EST meaning Dallas/Gb game will be the first game.
So if Gb covers, play KC
If Dallas covers, play Pittsburgh?
Thanks buddy
Actually it should not affect it except it may screw up my parlays... I really dont know honestly and now I am second guessing everything...
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Posted:
#45
Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:
Totally system play. I won't be watching the games so I won't know if a team was up by 20 and the other team comes all the ats back to cover or gets blown out... I will check final scores only to avoid nonsense...
What do you mean you wont be watching the games???? That is just wrong.
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