Browns to shock the world!

Question

The Browns are not a bad team. The Patriots are not a great team. If you accept this premise, and you don't have to, the Pats have no business being dd favorites over a team that has underachieved thus far. If you recall, it was only a few weeks ago when the Browns went into Baltimore and gave the Ravens a beatdown. Then things unraveled for them in SF in a game they were never going to win because that was SF's coming out party. Then on a short week they go home to play Seattle in a game they should have won. The fact that they lost that game, got crushed by the Niners the previous week, and the Pats have dominated some of the worst teams of the past decade (Miami once, the Skins once, and the moribund Jets twice) has given us this golden betting opportunity. Please, before you go crowning the Pats as SB champs, remember that the only real team they played (Buffalo) gave them all they could handle in a 16-10 victory for the pats (and that partly because of what they did to the Buffalo QB, or his head). Meanwhile, the team the Browns destroyed in Baltimore is turning out to be one of the best teams in the AFC, as they went into Seattle last week and took apart the Seahawks.

Now imagine you are the Browns. You have an entire extra week to prepare for this game (while the Pats, thinking they are the second coming of the 85 Bears, all full and fat with themselves, are coming off a short week). You have been quietly stewing for two weeks while the Pats get all the publicity for dismantling the likes of the Jets. You have a team of young, athletic players full of piss and vinegar (with playmakers all over the place, ready to unleash two weeks worth of pent up anger and aggression) ready to show the world you are a contender! Ready to shock the World! The Browns have zero pressure on them. Sure, their season is on the brink, but who in their right mind expects this team to go to NE and win a game as dd dogs? Probably not even their mothers. But this Cleveland team will be a live dog come this weekend, which is why I'm putting .5 units on the spread (at -12) and .5 units on the ML at +475

begginerboy · Answer

The Browns are not a bad team. The Patriots are not a great team. If you accept this premise, and you don't have to, the Pats have no business being dd favorites over a team that has underachieved thus far. If you recall, it was only a few weeks ago when the Browns went into Baltimore and gave the Ravens a beatdown. Then things unraveled for them in SF in a game they were never going to win because that was SF's coming out party. Then on a short week they go home to play Seattle in a game they should have won. The fact that they lost that game, got crushed by the Niners the previous week, and the Pats have dominated some of the worst teams of the past decade (Miami once, the Skins once, and the moribund Jets twice) has given us this golden betting opportunity. Please, before you go crowning the Pats as SB champs, remember that the only real team they played (Buffalo) gave them all they could handle in a 16-10 victory for the pats (and that partly because of what they did to the Buffalo QB, or his head). Meanwhile, the team the Browns destroyed in Baltimore is turning out to be one of the best teams in the AFC, as they went into Seattle last week and took apart the Seahawks.

Now imagine you are the Browns. You have an entire extra week to prepare for this game (while the Pats, thinking they are the second coming of the 85 Bears, all full and fat with themselves, are coming off a short week). You have been quietly stewing for two weeks while the Pats get all the publicity for dismantling the likes of the Jets. You have a team of young, athletic players full of piss and vinegar (with playmakers all over the place, ready to unleash two weeks worth of pent up anger and aggression) ready to show the world you are a contender! Ready to shock the World! The Browns have zero pressure on them. Sure, their season is on the brink, but who in their right mind expects this team to go to NE and win a game as dd dogs? Probably not even their mothers. But this Cleveland team will be a live dog come this weekend, which is why I'm putting .5 units on the spread (at -12) and .5 units on the ML at +475

begginerboy · Answer

That should say spread at &#x2B;12.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Devil&#x27;s Advocate:&#xA;This game is without a doubt the biggest coaching dis-advantage of the season.  The "short" week for the Patriots (a 45 minute flight from New York) and the extra week for the Browns won&#x27;t mean as much as Freddie Kitchens has no idea how to coach/make adjustments/take advantage of a team&#x27;s weakness.  That has been proven in the first 6 games for the Browns.&#xA;Baker Mayfield is the most inaccurate QB this season, having 11 interceptions.  The Patriots are the best in the NFL and the best in NFL history up until this point at taking the ball away from opposing QB&#x27;s.  Baker&#x27;s INT % has doubled and his TD % has been cut in half.  His offensive line has gotten noticeably worse as well...as he&#x27;s already been sacked 16 times this year as opposed to only 25 total last year.&#xA;The way I see it is that the Patriots will put Stephon Gilmore on Jarvis Landry...neutralizing him for the most part as Gilmore is one of the top ranked CB&#x27;s according to Pro Football Focus and allows one of the lowest completion % in the league.  They will put the McCourty brothers on OBJ or at least double team his as much as possible so that he isn&#x27;t allowed to have the monster gains he usually has.  Rush 6 guys against the already mentioned weak offensive line..have 2 "spies" keeping an eye on Mayfield/Chubb.&#xA;The New England Patriots are 34-15-2 ATS at home in the past 5 years...with an average margin of victory of over 14 points.&#xA;The Cleveland Browns are 20-22-1 ATS on the road in that same time frame...with an average margin of -7.8 points&#xA; &#xA;I get the fact that the Browns are the "darling" team of the NFL and everyone wants to root for the underdog in this situation.  But when you really just put the facts down on paper...this should be a 17-21 point win for the Patriots.&#xA;That being said....any given Sunday!

Wizerguy · Answer

Not happening...bol BB

Getty3 · Answer

&#xA;Well done. The coaching mismatch is beyond belief. Kitchens never should have gotten this job, but the Browns are going to do Browns things.&#xA;The expected strength of schedule for 2019 based on this year&#x27;s results has NE #32 and Cleveland #30. What has each team done with their "cupcake" schedule thus far? Instead of an AFC championship preview it&#x27;s simply a matter of whether the Patriots can cover another double digit line.

Alexg85 · Answer

Baker cannot handle a tough defense like this no..

BallingLikeNE · Answer

Belicheck going for win 300th against the team that fired him. I give the Browns ml zero chance but the spread may hit...

BET2WIN4 · Answer

JOKE!! Baker can throw with pressure, the BOOGIE man will be visiting him this week!

Yavapai · Answer

&#xA;jimmy valiant?

CRos · Answer

&#xA;Unfortunately this current Browns organization isn&#x2019;t the one that fired him. That organization moved to Baltimore and is now the Ravens.

Audball · Answer

Oh look another &#x201C;team xyz will beat patriots this week&#x201D; thread lol

In2it · Answer

Brown&#x27;s Landry saying they will beat New England and few other tidbits really provide the Patriots more than adequate reasons to focus and be motivated to win this game and try to make Baker see a few ghosts right before Halloween, too.

darkmandave · Answer

Bol I like the breakdown

lmb4321 · Answer

BB...good luck with your bet...I&#x27;m going big on the Giants....Shock the World Part 2....Will play ML too....

begginerboy · Answer

Good luck, brother. I have no feel for that game except I don&#x27;t trust the Lions.

diablogun · Answer

Take the points, for sure &#x2B;13 should work just fine....

BallingLikeNE · Answer

Would anyone be shocked if the Chiefs beat Rodgers with no Mahomes? Bc I think that has a chance of opening. Grabbing the points for insurance.

DOGEATDOG111 · Answer

Browns large!

Rented · Answer

Hmmm. Belichick is 20-0 in last 20 games vs 1st/2nd year QBs (including Mahomes, Goff, Deshaun)&#xA;Mayfield, a 2nd year QB, is leading the league in INTs&#xA;I&#x27;ll take NE please

Edgewoodzgimp13 · Answer

Lmao. Double down on the spread because your ML bet is

lmb4321 · Answer

Here&#x27;s my take on this game....The Pats offense which hasn&#x27;t been very good by the way.....could be offset by the Cleveland defense....We saw the Jets get killed by this defense...and you know how the NFL is...... I&#x27;ll take the points anything above 10.5.......BOL everyone....