I'm starting this thread now as mentioned yesterday I'm off to Tampa Florida tomorrow and don't want to miss a write up. Week 14 was up and down with some weirdness but we got the sweep last night bringing the week 14 tally to 10-6 . Actually went 10-5 with bets as I posted the crowder bet but as I mentioned somehow when lines opened I had only lines on darnold and perriman lol. The loss is reflected in the record just not the bankroll. So let's review.
[ Week 14 recap ]
goff int -150
akers ov 48.5 rush -115
Montgomery ov 64.5 rushing -115 (2 units)
Gesicki ov 38.5 receiving -115 (2 units)
Bears 1h tt ov 10.5 +105
Knox ov 21.5 receiving +105
Lamar ov 54.5 rushing -115
Andrews ov 3.5 rec -130
Ravens -2.5 1h -110
Hunt ov 2.5 rec +105
Rams ov 3.5 fg +120
Thielen ov 5.5 rec +100
Crowder ov 63.5 receiving -120
Gallman ov 58.5 rushing -110
Conor ov 67.5 combined yards -115
Niners ov 3.5 fg +130
We hit both our 2 unit bets for +6units and change.
I have some things to take care of before my Florida trip tomorrow but ill be updating this evening for props to kick off week 15 between the Chargers and Raiders.
Hope everyone had an enjoyable week 14. Lets keep it hot and profitable for week 15.
Positive vibes only!
Train your mind to see the good in every situation! Chasing prop glory!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I'm starting this thread now as mentioned yesterday I'm off to Tampa Florida tomorrow and don't want to miss a write up. Week 14 was up and down with some weirdness but we got the sweep last night bringing the week 14 tally to 10-6 . Actually went 10-5 with bets as I posted the crowder bet but as I mentioned somehow when lines opened I had only lines on darnold and perriman lol. The loss is reflected in the record just not the bankroll. So let's review.
[ Week 14 recap ]
goff int -150
akers ov 48.5 rush -115
Montgomery ov 64.5 rushing -115 (2 units)
Gesicki ov 38.5 receiving -115 (2 units)
Bears 1h tt ov 10.5 +105
Knox ov 21.5 receiving +105
Lamar ov 54.5 rushing -115
Andrews ov 3.5 rec -130
Ravens -2.5 1h -110
Hunt ov 2.5 rec +105
Rams ov 3.5 fg +120
Thielen ov 5.5 rec +100
Crowder ov 63.5 receiving -120
Gallman ov 58.5 rushing -110
Conor ov 67.5 combined yards -115
Niners ov 3.5 fg +130
We hit both our 2 unit bets for +6units and change.
I have some things to take care of before my Florida trip tomorrow but ill be updating this evening for props to kick off week 15 between the Chargers and Raiders.
Hope everyone had an enjoyable week 14. Lets keep it hot and profitable for week 15.
Ekeler has only seen action in 7 games so far this year and has gone over this rush total in four games (57%) while the raiders give up 124 yards on the ground per game. The raiders have also only held one teams rbs to under the 57.5 total twice in 14 games in week 4 and 5 to the chiefs and bills who so don't do most their damage on the ground. Ekeler is a ppr machine and the dominant runner in the chargers offense. These 2 teams typically bang on eachother and put up points so ekeler should have a full game of opportunity and we SHOULDNT (key word shouldnt) have to worry about the chargers getting blown out and taking away from ekelers rushing opportunities here. Ill also be eying his receptions line. This game has the markings of of a fajr amount of scoring exchanges and ekeler should be a key piece in the bolts getting into the red zone often. Wait till closer to game time for this one as ekeler is questionable and didn't practice . Hopefully its just some rest time for tomorrow matchup but his status should be monitored.
Train your mind to see the good in every situation! Chasing prop glory!
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Austin Ekeler ov 57.5 rushing (-115) 2 units
Ekeler has only seen action in 7 games so far this year and has gone over this rush total in four games (57%) while the raiders give up 124 yards on the ground per game. The raiders have also only held one teams rbs to under the 57.5 total twice in 14 games in week 4 and 5 to the chiefs and bills who so don't do most their damage on the ground. Ekeler is a ppr machine and the dominant runner in the chargers offense. These 2 teams typically bang on eachother and put up points so ekeler should have a full game of opportunity and we SHOULDNT (key word shouldnt) have to worry about the chargers getting blown out and taking away from ekelers rushing opportunities here. Ill also be eying his receptions line. This game has the markings of of a fajr amount of scoring exchanges and ekeler should be a key piece in the bolts getting into the red zone often. Wait till closer to game time for this one as ekeler is questionable and didn't practice . Hopefully its just some rest time for tomorrow matchup but his status should be monitored.
Also I realize this is earlier then usual and the line will likely be different but it shouldn't vary from that number a whole lot and even if ekelers line is in the mid 60s the raiders still would have only been able to hold opposing rbs to under that number 3 times out of 14 games (21%) which still has my numbers at a high probability for ekeler so keep an eye on his injury status and the open line!
Train your mind to see the good in every situation! Chasing prop glory!
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Also I realize this is earlier then usual and the line will likely be different but it shouldn't vary from that number a whole lot and even if ekelers line is in the mid 60s the raiders still would have only been able to hold opposing rbs to under that number 3 times out of 14 games (21%) which still has my numbers at a high probability for ekeler so keep an eye on his injury status and the open line!
I usually just do combined yardage and not double dip but 39.5 sounds very doable. I have not looked into the rec side of it. Just rushing and one more prop for the game so far
Train your mind to see the good in every situation! Chasing prop glory!
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@thekoreanmang
I usually just do combined yardage and not double dip but 39.5 sounds very doable. I have not looked into the rec side of it. Just rushing and one more prop for the game so far
Yeah, makes sense. The combined yardage for Ekeler isn't available yet but I was thinking that, too. This game would seem like it'd be close though given the spread and overall competitiveness of both teams. Chargers and Raiders are both teams that seem to either play up or down to their competition so I'm assuming two chameleons duking it out will be a close one.
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@JetsFan86
Yeah, makes sense. The combined yardage for Ekeler isn't available yet but I was thinking that, too. This game would seem like it'd be close though given the spread and overall competitiveness of both teams. Chargers and Raiders are both teams that seem to either play up or down to their competition so I'm assuming two chameleons duking it out will be a close one.
What a day. Finally landed in Tampa and upon arrival in true 2020 fashion we get a tornado alert! Seek shelter immediately! Love ya 2020 you're a gem. We made it though and are en route to the air bnb. Without further ado..
Justin Herbert oclv 277.5 passing (-110)
Don't let the games between the Falcons and pats fool you on his passing total here. The pats and Falcons have improved in the secondary but the raiders, not so much. Soon key payers for the bolts on offense are questionable so again this is depending on the injury report closet to game time . I do like it regaurdless just based on the matchup but more info needed. Keep your eye on the bolts wrs before laying this one. Raiders and chargers typically have pretty good games vs eachother and Herbert is gonna bang on that def !
Train your mind to see the good in every situation! Chasing prop glory!
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What a day. Finally landed in Tampa and upon arrival in true 2020 fashion we get a tornado alert! Seek shelter immediately! Love ya 2020 you're a gem. We made it though and are en route to the air bnb. Without further ado..
Justin Herbert oclv 277.5 passing (-110)
Don't let the games between the Falcons and pats fool you on his passing total here. The pats and Falcons have improved in the secondary but the raiders, not so much. Soon key payers for the bolts on offense are questionable so again this is depending on the injury report closet to game time . I do like it regaurdless just based on the matchup but more info needed. Keep your eye on the bolts wrs before laying this one. Raiders and chargers typically have pretty good games vs eachother and Herbert is gonna bang on that def !
Ok Thursday is here ifs time for some props. I know I posted early and I probably shouldn't have but I wanted to make sure I got the post started before my Florida trip just incase. So im going to retract what I posted before, as I think it changes the dynamic and I want the best bets out there per game and that changes now potentially
So follow this thread from this post on dont pay attention to my previous picks. So let's get it going for real now!
Austin Ekeler ov 39.5 receiving ( -115 )
Hea a ppr machine and Mike Williams and Keenan are real game time decisions so I have to think they will be less then 100% and that ekeler will have a big boost of passes out the back. Is that even possible? He racks up catches regardless. Either way I much more lie his receiving line and although I do like his rushing still I think his receiving is a bit better.
Hunter Renfrom ov 4.5 rec (-105)
Renfrow has seen an uptick in production lately and while ruggs hasn't been productive anyhow hes on the covid list and will be out today. Renfrow should be a guy to help move the ball with quick hits and while he doesn't typically put up too big of numbers I think he puts up a solid performance today catch wise which doesn't mean it will translate into yardage for him though so im taking the receptions rater then yardage.
Thats it for now. Sorry for the confusion. It was quite a wild day yesterday. Descending into Tampa early for "safety reasons" coupled with major turbulence and rain and looking out the plane window I legitimately saw the clouds beginning to circle which is a bad sign and I know what it meant so it was pretty terrifying. Didnt expect to have to seek immediate shelter and dodge a fucking tornado in Florida wtf! Anyways we made it safe and now the thread can flow as normal so again disregard the prior stuff and begin from this post on.
Its just these 2 for now. Depending on if Williams and Keenan ply there will be one more bet which im posting here for you to decide on if the players are good to go and if not disregard .
*Bonus*
If Keenan plays I am taking a bet on chargers ml 1h (+130) They have the offensive talent to put up pts and they often times do but then the chargers do chargers things and collapse late and give games away. Look at how many games the chargers lose by 1 posession/ 1 score games. Its sad. But a piss poor raiders defense leads me to like this chargers 1h ml bet if Keenan plays ( Mike Williams in or out doesn't really matter to me on this one) so keep your ears open for news on Keenan. If he's in 1h ml it is, if not then just the 2 above props for now.
Thats it for now. Hope everyone has a good Thursday. Its off to Busch Gardens for me today. Need to chase some beer glory and prop glory and AVOID chasing tornadoes or being placed in their path ! Best of luck to all and lets start of week 15 in the green
Train your mind to see the good in every situation! Chasing prop glory!
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Ok Thursday is here ifs time for some props. I know I posted early and I probably shouldn't have but I wanted to make sure I got the post started before my Florida trip just incase. So im going to retract what I posted before, as I think it changes the dynamic and I want the best bets out there per game and that changes now potentially
So follow this thread from this post on dont pay attention to my previous picks. So let's get it going for real now!
Austin Ekeler ov 39.5 receiving ( -115 )
Hea a ppr machine and Mike Williams and Keenan are real game time decisions so I have to think they will be less then 100% and that ekeler will have a big boost of passes out the back. Is that even possible? He racks up catches regardless. Either way I much more lie his receiving line and although I do like his rushing still I think his receiving is a bit better.
Hunter Renfrom ov 4.5 rec (-105)
Renfrow has seen an uptick in production lately and while ruggs hasn't been productive anyhow hes on the covid list and will be out today. Renfrow should be a guy to help move the ball with quick hits and while he doesn't typically put up too big of numbers I think he puts up a solid performance today catch wise which doesn't mean it will translate into yardage for him though so im taking the receptions rater then yardage.
Thats it for now. Sorry for the confusion. It was quite a wild day yesterday. Descending into Tampa early for "safety reasons" coupled with major turbulence and rain and looking out the plane window I legitimately saw the clouds beginning to circle which is a bad sign and I know what it meant so it was pretty terrifying. Didnt expect to have to seek immediate shelter and dodge a fucking tornado in Florida wtf! Anyways we made it safe and now the thread can flow as normal so again disregard the prior stuff and begin from this post on.
Its just these 2 for now. Depending on if Williams and Keenan ply there will be one more bet which im posting here for you to decide on if the players are good to go and if not disregard .
*Bonus*
If Keenan plays I am taking a bet on chargers ml 1h (+130) They have the offensive talent to put up pts and they often times do but then the chargers do chargers things and collapse late and give games away. Look at how many games the chargers lose by 1 posession/ 1 score games. Its sad. But a piss poor raiders defense leads me to like this chargers 1h ml bet if Keenan plays ( Mike Williams in or out doesn't really matter to me on this one) so keep your ears open for news on Keenan. If he's in 1h ml it is, if not then just the 2 above props for now.
Thats it for now. Hope everyone has a good Thursday. Its off to Busch Gardens for me today. Need to chase some beer glory and prop glory and AVOID chasing tornadoes or being placed in their path ! Best of luck to all and lets start of week 15 in the green
Pained to see it at -140 for me but again its one im willing to eat tonight. No Mike Williams and Keenan limited should spell potentially double digit targets for Henry. Between 7-10 targets seems about right here and wed think he can get half of the top end of that at least if not 6 or so grabs.
Thats all for today. I'll be out and about and will be back sometime close to after kickoff so untill then Goodluck to all and lets hope it's a good start to week 15. Best of luck to all in the quest for prop glory!
Train your mind to see the good in every situation! Chasing prop glory!
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*Adding*
Hunter Henry ov 4.5 rec (-140)
Pained to see it at -140 for me but again its one im willing to eat tonight. No Mike Williams and Keenan limited should spell potentially double digit targets for Henry. Between 7-10 targets seems about right here and wed think he can get half of the top end of that at least if not 6 or so grabs.
Thats all for today. I'll be out and about and will be back sometime close to after kickoff so untill then Goodluck to all and lets hope it's a good start to week 15. Best of luck to all in the quest for prop glory!
Only receiving for me. Im not a fan of taking lines over 100 yards mostly. I do like both but I usually don't double dip so for my own reasons I'd play either one or the other individually. Its not a bad bet just not for me this time
Train your mind to see the good in every situation! Chasing prop glory!
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@Jord123
Only receiving for me. Im not a fan of taking lines over 100 yards mostly. I do like both but I usually don't double dip so for my own reasons I'd play either one or the other individually. Its not a bad bet just not for me this time
Thank you and typically yes vut not this year covid crushed my teams bad. I cut back on leagues a lot. I'm in 6 currently and am in playoffs in just one but usually I get through in most my leagues
Train your mind to see the good in every situation! Chasing prop glory!
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@BABYFACE024
Thank you and typically yes vut not this year covid crushed my teams bad. I cut back on leagues a lot. I'm in 6 currently and am in playoffs in just one but usually I get through in most my leagues
One good thing about paying too mach attention to fantasy is it comes in useful for prop betting! I made a couple good start decisions based on your picks
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One good thing about paying too mach attention to fantasy is it comes in useful for prop betting! I made a couple good start decisions based on your picks
I post originally what I think the line will be based off other sources ect because my platform i use Mac is not a main online site so my lines vary and if they come out off I update them as needed and I forgot that one but ty for reminding me. Would play up to 49.5 on receiving
Train your mind to see the good in every situation! Chasing prop glory!
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@Macwestie1
I post originally what I think the line will be based off other sources ect because my platform i use Mac is not a main online site so my lines vary and if they come out off I update them as needed and I forgot that one but ty for reminding me. Would play up to 49.5 on receiving
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props to you mah man
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