Chasing Prop Glory! (Week 16 Edition) 106-73 ytd

@swik23

 They aren't always that easy but we off to a good start on all fronts!

Jared Cook ov 3.5 rec  knew it would be close and cod have taken over 2.5 but at -200 id rather gamble on the +140 value.  Oh well. 

Dalvin ov rushing   another Heartbreakers as I had posted 18+ would likely get him there and I expected 20+ this game and he had 15 carries and fell short so analysis right just didn't come out in our favor but thats ok because the logic is right so the wins will follow. 

1-2 today. On to Saturday! 

*Adding*

Fournette ov 65.5 rushing (-115)

No rojo, no problem! Fournette gets a poor lions rush defense and the lions will be without both  their offensive and defensive coordinator. Bucs should roll and leo should get plenty of work.  Not too many stats needed on this one for me to like this one!

The Fournette bet feels like a 2x'er.

Will tail. Lets Go!

Wow...awesome numbers. My book is setting at -147. Either way, I'll bite.

@GrandKynd

 I go off preliminary lines but yea mine came out -135 for that one

*Adding*

Tj hockenson ov 4.5 rec -105 

A reliable targets against a bucs def that has been targeted by the te position. Bucs def have seen 37 te looks in the last 5 games vs them and have allowed 34 catches to the position . They give up 5.5 catches on avg per game so far to tes. Hope the lions don't roll over but hockenson should get a lot of looks in a + matchup for him

@JetsFan86

 Thoughts at 71.5 (-120)?

Still a go or too much

Thx for your thoughts

[Adjustment]

Fournette came in -135 for me so thats my line and still 65.5

[Adjustment]

Fournette came in -135 for me so thats my line and still 65.5

I guess I'll do it.

Also thinking Brady over 2.5 TDs (+125).

Indoors should be a track meet with lots of Buc TDs.

Like this.

Any thoughts there?

@sacker17

 That would be over what im willing to take for fournette. Slightly past my threshold on it. Its still not awful but I wouldn't do it myself. If you feel good about it go for it, if you're iffy on it I'd loom into switching it out for ab ov 61.5 receiving which should be -105--110ish hes done well in his career vs lions just gotta hope for any bucs wr they don't kill the lions too fast then the passing game may take a hit. Im also party worried on taking fournettes yards above my open line in case bucs do roll I wouldn't be shocked if they run Mccoy more late to preserve forlurnette to spell rojo in the playoffs

@sacker17

 I don't like brady td prop today. Could make an argument for his passing over but thafs dependant on how fast they get ahead of the lions if they cruise most bucs props could be in jeopardy so im staying away there

GL props to you JetsFan * Happy Holidays 

@Macwestie1

 Same to you bud! Hope you had a good holiday and a good new year incoming! 

*Adding* 

Ab ov 61.5 receiving (-105) had to last min add this . Ab is becoming more a part of the offense and he does well usually vs lions. Could be iffy but at -105 im on board

Better luck with the next game

@ThreeBlindWeiss

 Man oh man I've gone so cold.. unreal lately. Got one left in me today. If this one wiffs im gonna bow out of week 16 lol

Week 16 kicking off brutally as how week 15 began. Only 1 for niners game.  Trying to gain momentum.

*Adding*

Aiyuk ov 64.5 receiving (-120)

Hes been very productive and the niners will look to beathard to navigate them past the cardinals. Im not stoked on him behind center but he has h a d good games here and there but aiyuk should see a lot of targets with kittle seemingly on a pitch count if the reports come to be true. Hes the wr 1 there for now so lets hope he puts in work!

@JetsFan86

 Just looked at your posts, didnt have anything that i looked at worthwhile today. Am think9ing of betting The Fish tonight minus 2.5 against Las Vegas. I think they can hold Waller down today and cant believe Carr is able to make it through the game without reinjuring his groin. Fins should rogh hm up with their pass rush.Was thinkng of betting under Carrs passing yards because of him getting kncked out, but i think bettng the Dolphs is easier.Just a thught , my brother. Good Luck and keep on studying my friend. It will pay off.

It was the Wilson/Kittle show  Anything for the last game?

@ThreeBlindWeiss

Fins - 2.5

Sorry guys been mia. Have a lot going on including the cold streak so im skipping the rest of week 16 to tend to other more important things and ill be back next week.  Ill check the thread here and there to give insight on anything people have questions on if need be. Goodluck!

After mulling it over and giving it some thought, I've decided that if I havent quit being a Jets fan all these years, then I sure can't quit looking into the props and sharing on here either. Im going to trust the process and carry on. So although it may be late now, its time to add in a couple Sunday plays. Im going to keep it light but im going to right this ship. Sink or swim. Lets go! Im going to have a couple different ones then usual because sometimes you have to zig and zag your way back so im having a buddy get me a couple anytime scorer bets in.

Deshaun Watson ov 273.5 passing (-120)

The Bengals held big ben in check last week and have been giving up less passing yards recently but they also have played much softer qb matchups. Watson is on fire and while I think the bengals will wrap up the Houston run game, I think Watson slings his way to another 295-325 yard game vs the bengals.

Justin Herbert ov 252.5 passing (-115)- 2 units

Herbert hit Denver in week 8 for 278 passing yards and 3 touchdowns and I dont see any reason why he should do similar if not better here. Really like what I've seen from this kid and and don't forget Herbert didn't have the luxury of ekeler as an option out of the back. That can only boost the over value here.

David Montgomery ov 80.5 rushing (-120)

Monty is on a tear as of late and its hard to shy away from him in a juicy matchup vs the Jags. 

Austin Hooper anytime td +240

He only has 3 on the season but with cleavlands top 4 wrs being out and the jets being really bad at defending tight ends this is just a good value bet.

Thats all till the afternoon. Best of luck to all and although the path has bumps in the road,  enjoy the ups and the downs of the road to prop glory!