Chiefs + 1.5 large

It’s been a while since I’ve posted, been busy with life. If anyone knows this sport, you should know Philly is only here because of the injury to Brock P. SF’s defense was in complete control of that game until the injury. Once something like that happens, your psyche changes. San Fran’s game plan completely changed. That game is history so we are here and now. Everyone is talking about Philly’s defense. Philly played a bottom five weaker schedule and only played against three good QB’s. When they played against Dallas, Detroit, and Green Bay , they gave up over 32 points per game. Philly is 24th against the rush and give up almost 120 yards per game. KC averages 113 yards a game and they’re number 1 in points per play @ 0.445 PP. KC is number 2 in the red zone @ 70.51%, which is great. Philly is number one in sack rate @ 11.49 % but guess , who’s in @ number 5 ? KC @ 8.5 % . Everyone is talking about how good Philly’s O line is and yes they’re good but , KC’s is better coming in @ 3.82 % ranking @ # 2 in the league. Philly gives up a sack @ 7.29 % ranking 21 in the league. And just look at Reid’s win % after a week off to game plan and study his opponents, he’s almost 90% win rate. Chris Jones may very well win the MVP today should KC prevail, he’s a beast ! KC has more positive metrics than Philly and believe me, I’ve capped this game multiple times with multiple calculations. Last but not least. Vanzack is on KC. I don’t know him and I’m hardly ever posting anymore but, I chime in all the time. I can tell, he and I cap a lot of the same ways. He was right on SF against Philly and he was almost right about Dallas + 4 in SF. You can’t cap injuries and interceptions. KC large for me today. What’s up MacWestie and others ! Let’s get that bag !! 

I’m not disagreeing with your pick but your statement that “SFs defense was in complete control” is a little whacked. Phi took the opening kick and rammed it down their throats. Then Purdy got hurt on like the 6th or 7th play of their 1st series and fumbled. Yes, SF did well to hold them near midfield w/o allowing a second score. 

I see Phi wanting to keep Mahomes on the sideline. 3+4+3 yds = 1st down. Slow, methodical. But I think Hurts is so overrated. He’s horribly inaccurate on any throw that has a tight window. His completion % has risen because he’s been taught to only throw to open guys. Makes 1 or 2 reads, sees no open guy, takes off. He can’t make tight throws to the right spots like Burrow, Mahomes, Rodgers. He struggles in the red zone w/ throws requiring accuracy and proper placement. I just don’t want to be on the other side of Mahomes. Same as I always felt about Brady. So it’s Mahomes or no play. Mahomes can win this alone. Hurts cannot. 

Respect everything you said Bone, except for saying that Philly rammed that first drive down SF’s throat. False man. That bomb Hurts threw to Smith wasn’t a catch. If SF throws the red flag, that entire game goes differently. Hurts is extremely overrated. Watch the schemes KC runs on both sides of the ball today. Andy Reid is a mastermind off of a bye. 

SF would of won that game agreed

only Philly Homers disagree

@skillahmang

 No doubt 

Defense gotta just hold on and we are good .