**COLTS +6.5 WRITE-UP**

I realize a lot of people are on the Bills in this game and definitely can understand why but I think the Colts cover +6.5 and possibly win.

Its simple. Time of possession and running the ball. It is something the Colts have been progressively getting better at. Jonathan Taylor and Nyheim Hines are playing their best ball right now. I understand that Rivers is old but when you have one of the best Offensive lines in the league it allows you to run the ball effectively which opens up the play action for Rivers.

Frank Reich is a better coach than Sean McDermitt. I think he is the most undervalued coach and this will finally be seen and respected in his game plan come Saturday. This man is a genius and will simply out coach McDermitt as I believe he is on another level.

Cole Beasley and Stefon Diggs are questionable. Either way, I don’t see both of them playing and even if they are I don’t believe they will be 100%.

The Bills have been destroying the competition but look at who they have played and ask yourself, could that team effectively run the football. The one team that could was the Titans that beat them 42-16. I don’t think the Bills have seen an offense line like the Colts which provides that one-two punch with Taylor and Hines.

I am taking the Colts +6.5 and ML as I see them owning the trenches on both sides, time of possession, and wearing down the Bills D by pounding the ball with that run game.

Great writeup. From a psychological perspective, Reich is deploying the nobody believes in us mantra. Something he is very familiar with from his time in Philadelphia, where the Eagles rode that horse all the way to the SB. I have read countless articles on the mindset of this Colts team heading into this game, and IMO they are in a much better place mentally than the Bills, who almost expect to win and are drinking their own kool aid. As long as Rivers doesn’t screw things up, the Colts have a decent shot at an upset. 

From a game plan / tactical perspective this is the most interesting game on the board for me...should be a good time 

@Boa33

 Nice write up! Lean colts. I think colts can win this game if they get an early lead and control time of possession. Only worry I have is if Bills get up a score or two early.

GL!

The run stoppers on Buffalo will be put to a test...Taylor and Hines are a load. LB Matt Milano better eat his wheaties. 

Rivers can screw up every game at every time remember the fumbled snap on a kneel down for a chip shot FG against KC ???

Rivers in cold weather always seems a little scary.. GL

@begginerboy

Thank you sir. That’s a great point! Looking forward to this one.

I think you’re spot on here and this has been my thinking all week. Everyone falling in love with the Bills, but they’re so one dimensional I have a hard time seeing them making a postseason run.

@Capper_Ray

Thanks man. You’re doing well in CBB.

Best of luck!

@lancer89074

I wouldn't be surprised at all by a Colts and Bears win

@chic-cardinals

 Bears aren’t winning dude wtf

GL Boa 

si cubre los COLTS 

I was thinking the same thing, your write up pretty much summed it up. Colts are being overlooked in this matchup IMO. Line opened at 7.5 but now it’s 6.5. Reverse line movement to get more on the bills. Pretty sure the public is pounding the bills, as their stock is high right now. Not sure if the colts win SU- they definitely can. I’ll take the 6.5 points to be safe. GL brother

@KC_4_LIFE

I appreciate it.

Best of luck this weekend.

@jaybucko

Thanks man.

Good luck to you as always.

@KG10

Let’s get it.

@D-Town

Thank you.

Everybody in this forum is backing up Colts, why? I have no fucking clue.

I learned the lesson when I took the opposite of Bills in 2 or 3 games in the regular season. Never again!

Better stay off this game, there are other games to bet on this weekend.

@zOrO-GZA

Are you copy and pasting the same thing in every thread with colts in it?

Anyways, I wouldn’t say everyone is on the Colts in here; a lot of good cappers on the Bills.

I think I have made it clear why I am on the Colts.

GL

BOL Boa either way 

@Macwestie1

Thanks legend.

Best of luck to you this weekend.

Deforest Buckner will play for the Colts today per Ian Rapoport.