Cowgirls value

Whole world is down on.  Mkt perception, valuation worse in a long time. What a cluster....Right? Well...10.5 in a divisional,hated rivalry is tasty. Agst the 25th ranked D(  Massey).  Wash capturing 76% of handle.  Rush did win five in a row last season.   Give me sum of this. Thank you. 

Looking at Sagarin strength of schedule too 6th vs 25th. Damn. Very tasty. 

And,at this price, I'm above the multiple combo of the two major key numbers in NFL betting...3 and 7.  Whether this is statistically significant will be determined, but for all these above-mentioned factors, I feel I have skewed the probability in my favor.  Possibly...maybe not. No biggie. Risk MGMT.

Favorites of 10 or more are 5-0 this year. That has not happened in the NFL since 1950! So you do have that going for you. I like Dan Quinn against his former team in this spot, against a historically bad, banged up Cowboys team playing on a short week. But 10 is a lot of points. 

@begginerboy

 Recent history, fwiw, this hasn't been a pt spread game. Neither team has dominated outcome, but none of 'em have been close. And I've no faith in dallas, even with JD showing regression.

Some key guys back from injuries potentially.  How do you not like JD? What a great kid with a bright future. 

Cowboys +3.5 (alt) 49ers, Rams Cardinals ML

Dolphins -12.5 (alt)

Wash 3-3 last six with those wins over powerhouses Panthers,Giants and Bears. Rush did throw for 354 vs Hou.  I'm also gonna do a little teaser +17.5 and O 37.5. I like the probabilities inherent here . Stage is set for the Boyz to surprise. To what extent is the question. Recency bias notwithstanding. Phone screwing up. GL to all. 

@fts1409

 Good luck 

i’ll take the 10.5 points..

Cowboys record better on road. No sunlight,falling roof issues...lol

McCarthy even worse against favs over 7. Gl i hope you cash

@fts1409

 Why waste your hard earned cash on a back up qb and a failing Dallas team with a crappy coach? You should be able to find better value across the board. Anyways I’m not throwing my money on a second string qb that should be 3rd string. I would rather throwing on a team at full strength with a great coach. Good luck books are making a killing on America’s team because there will still be people putting money on them even if they were 0-12 lol.

Dallas is dead money, Commanders on 10 days rest and lost 2 straight will destroy the COWGIRLS.  Remember, never bet on BAD teams.

These r exactly why I am investing w the houses money. Dal 3-2 ats on the road btw. This wager means very little in the long term scheme of things.  Appeals to my contrarian liking.  Could be dead wrong...won't be the first time. Or the last. 

Hey....perhaps it's a waste for the Cowboys to even show up.  Everything, everywhere, has Wash winning by at least two TDs. Even the barista at SB told me they unloaded on this lock...lol.  Moreover,with Dal tanking too... according to many.  Gotta buy em when no one wants em. If one looks at a large sample size long enough, everything will be ok. Esp in the Natl Entertainment League.

And as we know,Vegas and the books amassed their tremendous wealth,asset base by paying out  repeatedly on very large, very popular home Favs in the NFL. Right ?? I prefer dem  unpopular road Dawgs... perchance, there just might be some value there. 

Recency bias couldn't be more negative, pessimistic. Everywhere.  However...with Parsons and All Pro CB Bland back,defense will be healthiest in a while.  Moreover,as I'm sure most here are already familiar with, the last two losses came agst Top 5 Defenses ( DVOA).  And now they're facing the 25th ranked ?  Hello... 71% of handle on Wash. How bout dem Dawgs?

.

CG 

Washington BLOWOUT Thank me after the game!

Cowboys haven't had any heart at home for their own fans, 0-5 and blown out in 4 of them!

What makes anyone think they will get up for this game on the road knowing the season is over them?

Commanders playing on double revenge after being swept last season and were blown out in both games!

Commanders will be all business today and will embarrass the Boys if they chance to!

Commanders large! 

@sherriffics

 That appears to be the market perception doesn't it. Personally, I like JD ,so wouldn't be upset. Just one wager amongst many forthcoming.  The long view...

@fts1409

 What is this "market perception" you bring up?

Is this directed at the lines makers? or the public?

 Straw man theories are baseless.

Well,I didn't realize the Cowboys weren't going to be all business. Agst their long-term hated ,divisional rivals. Shucks....I might just go play golf then. Anybody want to play the Augusta National ? Just 500 yds away.  One time...shot 89 few yrs ago.  Used to score quite good in my youth. 

Anybody remember Bullet Bob Hayes?.All probably too young. WR and Olympic sprinter.  Go routes were quite successful.

Only athlete in history to win both Olympic Gold Medal and SB ring. 2009 HOF.