Cracking the Code To Week 3 in the NFL

 The last 2 years going into Week 3 there were 18 teams that were 0-2.  Both 2017 and 2018 had 9 teams 0-2 each year.

 After taking out (1) game each year where both teams playing each other were 0-2, that left a total of 14 games where an 0-2 team was facing a team that had at least 1 win.

In these (14) games the past 2 years, there were (7) games were the 0-2 team was playing at home and there were (7) games where the 0-2 team was playing on the road.

In these (14) games the past 2 years, the 0-2 teams went 12-2 ATS and 9-5 SU. 

 Yes, the Teams that were 0-2 in Week 3 went 12-2 ATS.  The clear angle is Teams Facing going 0-3 are highly motivated in week 3 to win, while some other teams feel very lucky to be 2-0.

 Interesting enough, this year there are also 9 teams that are 0-2.  Those teams are:

 Thursday Night Game

1.Jaguars – +2 vs. Tenn  (1-2) as this strong trend continued and they won SU as a dog.

Sunday Games

2. Denver +7.5 at Green Bay

3. Bengals +6 at Buffalo

4. Jets +22.5 at New England

5. Dolphins +21.5 at Dallas

6. Giants +6.5 at Tampa Bay

7. Panthers +3 at Arizona

8. Steelers +6.5 at San Francisco

Monday Night

9. Redskins +4 at home vs. Chicago

The lines above are from the Super Contest where I am 8-2 heading into week 3. 

Here is how will I use this information and week 3 trend?

0-2 Teams I am taking in week 3 

Broncos +7.5 – I think Flacco will find a way to keep this game close, no matter how bad the head coach is.  Green Bay has won their first 2 games by an average of 5 points and Denver has lost their first 2 games by an average of 5 points.

Bengals +6 – I think the Bengals bounce back this week and play more like the team that almost won in Seattle.  I think last week was a hangover from a tough loss and Buffalo might be feeling a little overconfident.

Giants +6.5 – The past 2 years, the Giant have been 0-2 heading into week 3 and were on the road and they went 2-0 ATS and won last year SU in Houston as +11-point dogs.

Panthers +3 -  Arizona still has a less experienced QB that Carolina’s back-up and I think Newton’s health issues actually hurt Carolina in their first 2 games.  The Panthers find a way to get the SU win.

Steelers +6.5 – This team has too much pride to not come out with a strong effort for Mason Rudolph and avoid being 0-3 to start the year.  Like the big effort after losing star angle too. They either win or lose by a FG or less.

 CAUTION:

2-0 teams going into week 3 have not done well the past 2 years.  They are 5-8 SU and 3-10 ATS and many of those games were against 0-2 teams.

BOL!