I am a lifelong Dallas Cowboys fan. Rule #1 of taking action is to not bet with your heart and I have certainly learned that over the years. Here is what we know...the Cowboys are 2-4 in the worst division in the NFL. Washington is 1-5 and they are set for an important matchup to see who can stay on top of this dumpster fire of a division.
We just saw what happened to the Cowboys. They were EMBARRASSED at home by the Cardinals. Now, they travel and are on the road, where they are 0-2 on the road and traditionally have been a terrible away team. Many are pointing to the fact that Mike McCarthy's job is on the line and that the added pressure will give the players an extra incentive to come out swinging. The problem is...this was already the case last week at HOME and we saw what happened.
This game will come down to injuries, the play of the offensive and defensive line, and defense. Washington has the advantage in all of those categories. The Cowboys line is decimated with injuries. Those include Tyrone Smith (IR), Zac Martin (who is out for the game), Cameron Irving (IR), Joe Looney (IR), and Brandon Knight (Out). Who do they have on the line that is supposed to block Chase Young, Ryan Kerrigan, and Montez Sweat? NOBODY. Nobody will be able to block them and Andy Dalton, who is anything but mobile, will be under pressure all day and you can expect him to make a couple of errant throws.
Now you may be saying that Washington has their own injuries on the O-line and they do but we know that the #31st ranked defense will still struggle to generate pressure on Kyle Allen despite the supposed pre-season hype about the Dallas D-line with Demarcus Lawrence, Aldon Smith, Everson Griffin, and Tyrone Crawford. I still give the edge to Washington and feel that they will make life much harder for Andy Dalton the Cowboys will for Kyle Allen.
The Dallas defense ranks #31 having given up more than 30 points in four out of their 6 games (and were a few points shy of giving up 40 points in three of those games). Washingtons defense on the other hand ranks #14. Yes, they have given up > 30 points in four out of their six games as well but that was to the following opponents: BAL, LAR, ARI, CLE. The Cowboys defense has only 2 takeaways on the year (1 INT, 1 FF) vs. Washington who has 8 (7 INT, 1 FF).
I truly believe that the injuries to the Cowboys, the matchup between the Washington D-line vs the Cowboys O-line, and the difference in defense will be what decides this game. Oh, and the cowboys are 0-6 ATS this year whereas Washington is 2-1 ATS at home.
The Pick:
Washington PK (110)
BOL