DEGENERATE NFL WK 2 / EPL/NBA/Ponies

What's Up Family ??

Hopefully all of you heading into week 2 , and if NOT , make big money from here on out ! 

BEST of HEALTH,BLESSINGS , and LUCK TO ALL COVERS BROTHERS & SISTERS!! 

BE CAREFUL IN WEEK 2 ..WE Bettors tend to overreact and force wagers on games that are coin flips at best ATS/Totals ....

Happy to come out of the gate winning ( 2-0 on standard or larger plays BILLS $550 and CARDINALS $250).+$335 on smaller plays ..  +$1,135.28 overall week 1 ..

Careful with the BILLS this week as 4 linebackers were hurt including studs Edmund's & Milano .Although they might get a huge Home Field advantage with a majority of the 13k fans being BILLS MAFIA ..Player Props on Dawson Knox could be easy money,  Dolphins have quality Corners that could force allen in to more passes to the Tight ends ..

Need to see more all 22 , the injury report , etc .before posting the week 2 point spread Ratings ...The early numbers love the ML CHALK SEAHAWKS..( to follow )

Much Props are due to the MADDEN 21 SIMULATIONS  ..Provided winners on Thursday,  Sunday , sunday night , MNF time slots ( mostly small )...Waiting on injuries to simulate the matchups  with possible 2 deep lineups .

NBA 

I'm in complete shock as the NUGGETS complete another comeback from down 3-1 .No Need to hedge the Western conference futures and I've luckily already won more than invested ..( Futures below ).

IF THEY BEAT THE LAKERS I will get a NUGGETS TATTOO 

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

My entire house is full of LIVERPOOL Homers ..I'm not investing on them this season to win the league ..MANCHESTER  UNITED at +1650 and CHELSEA at +1000 offer tremendous value..Both could take big steps forward this season ...Passed on opening weekend betting but MATCHDAY 2 looks juicy ( bets to follow )

Horse Racing 

Plan on Betting Woodbine Mohawk Harness Pick 4's and 5's ..The 20 cent betting option allows you to go deep with lower risk ..KENTUCKY DOWNS pays well and deserves a look as well...Won $290+ last week..

Anyways ..

Sorry for reading through all the DEGEN rambling ..lol 

Let's make $$$$$$$$$$$$$$

NFL FUTURES

Futures could be tough sledding because it should be more of a war of attrition with Covid's possible impact ..

BUFFALO BILLS TO WIN AFC EAST +450

$1140/5,130

Bet this as posted before the trade for Diggs ..He played his arse off making tough catches (8) , taking hits , bouncing back up and throwing some Fantastic blocks down field ..His presence opens up things for everyone else ..

BUFFALO BILLS TO WIN AFC +1600
$312.50/$5000

Going to need a lot of breaks to beat Chiefs and or Ravens ...Hated seeing 4 LBS injured week 1 ..

To Play in AFC CHAMPIONSHIP +475

$420/$1,995

To meet in Super Bowl
BILLS VS

COWBOYS 177.50-1. $17.30
BEARS. 288-1. $10.70
BUCCANEERS 390-1. $8.50
CARDINALS 526-1. 8.80.

SKYRATS 130-1. $19.70

Skyrats. 133- . $7.70

Vikings 225-1. $14.20

Falcons 275-1. $9.75

Aints 96-1. $11.15

SAINTS 86-1. $12

SF 49ERS UNDER 10.5 WINS -120

$600/500

How does this team get to 11 wins ??? Division looks improved , schedule is much harder, injuries and Super Bowl hangover..11-4 from here on out seems very unlikely 

STEELERS to win North +400

$125/500

Like the bump up from +350..This wager could be toast after the first 6 weeks , but maybe the Ravens are a tad overrated...Lamar misses a few and the Steelers could run away with it ...The Defense should be top 5 .

To REACH NFC CHAMPIONSHIP

SAINTS +240. $300/720

Cant believe the BUCCS were  the chalk before the season  ..This might be Brees last shot , and I like that Kamara just re signed...Michael Thomas injury really pissed me off as he should not have been in the game but the Saints were trying to run salt in the wounds right to the end for some stupid reason .

Who's your tattoo artist?

Week 2 wagers 

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -200

$800/400 ( 4 units to win 2 )

Might be my only standard straight wager for week 2 , other than possible player props.. I rarely take ML chalks this large straight..My numbers love paying the juice to completely get rid of the possible backdoor...If the Refs dont help the PATS this could get real ugly..The Media might lead the masses to fall in Love with Cam Newton all week ...This might be one of the worst matchups for him in the league..

Dont trust the WWF/NFL enough to go any larger than this ...If I had Bigger balls I'd lay $2K down at this price ..But we are talking Bill Bellicheat and Pete the Cheat

 ML/ OVER BAKED PARLAY +245

Seneca casino N Falls

$205/502.25

STEELERS -305

SEAHAWKS -225

OVER 50.5 SAINTS AT LAS VEGAS RAIDERS -127

Had $205 left in the machine and this looked juicy....BOTH ML chalks have value,  and I don't see the Saints at Vegas going under this number ..Even with Michael Thomas out  the score chart has 55 points ..

NUGGETS TO WIN WESTERN CONFERENCE

12-1. $500/6000

15-1. $220/3300

 56-1. $20/1120

TO MEET IN NBA FINALS

NUGGETS VS

CELTICS. 116-1. $42.80/$5007.60

HEAT. 142-1. $35/$5005

NUGGETS VS

CELTICS 108-1. $20.20

HEAT 188-1. $16.40

Thanks for the work you do DoubleUp. I don't post my plays because I don't want or need the hate if I lose a play but I will share with you what I think is a great value play on the LA Chargers this week. The line opened at the mystical number of Chiefs favored -5.5. This line screams Vegas wants Chiefs money and they're getting it as the line has been bet to Chiefs -8.5. I have many angles to why I think Chargers +8.5 covers but don't feel the need to elaborate. I'm also sprinkling some change on Chargers ML. Good luck on all your plays this year. May they all be Best Bets. P.S. That tattoo you're getting is gonna look so cool. 

Thank for reading,  posting and the kindness 

Best of Health z Blessings z and luck in everything you do ..

I'll have to look closer at the Chargers ..Watched a good portion of their first game at Cincinnati .. That line jump looks juicy , the backdoor could be wide open ...I'll be watching their first game on All 22 today..Probably a pass for me unless sprinkled SMALL in a parlay..

My kids will hold me accountable for the TATTOO if the Nuggets win....lol...Still in shock from 2 massive series comebacks ...

 Blessings to you my friend. LOL Kids holding you accountable. I'll be getting my Nuggets tattoo after the NBA Championship Series. They've been waiting a long time for this as have we the long suffering Nuggets fans. This Nuggets team reminds me of the same kind of character the 2010, 2012, and 2014 SF baseball Giants had.

To win PREMIER LEAGUE

Dont see value in the favorites

Value in heavy chalk City at -125 ..Although they're loaded ..

or Liverpool at +250 right now ...If the Reds lose to Chelsea this weend maybe I'd jump at +550 or more 

MANCHESTER UNTITED

+1650

330/4995.50

+1800

110/1980

United could take a big step forward this season ..

CHELSEA +1000

$320/3200

Love the Werner signing ...

Longshot donations 

Tottenham 95-1  $7. Love rooting against them 

Wolverhampton.   160-1.  $14. One of my Favs that could make the top 6 , but I dont like the +175 odds. 

( matchday 2 bets to follow ) 

Good Luck this year DUFL, love reading your thoughts on all the various sports especially EPL, not a lot of that over here. I once owned a piece (some fans made a supporters trust to buy team out from owners) of Stockport County. Hit the heights, mighty crash, now working their way back slowly.

All my Nuggets futures are going to be cancelled by 5dimes right before they win it all. I would have used some of that money to get a Nuggets tattoo. May e I need to reserve a space on my body for big futures payout logos. Can put Alabama, Nationals and soon Nuggets. 

I feel you on rooting against the Tottenham Mourinhos, do like me some Wolves, but my Orem team has always been Newcastle. Kind of like being a Bills fan :)

All the best,

Manowarfan1

When does 5 dimes close ..Sucks bc one of my locals was matching their lines and betting options ..Saved me trips out local casino ..A few weeks back they were not going to let me in bc my temperature measured 107.6  ..Security quickly came and asked me to leave . .if my temp was that high they should have called the coroner....Took them 20 minutes to find a working thermometer reader ...ugh ..

What a rush buying a sports team ( envious ) ..That's one of my favorite dreams ..I heard th e ROCK is selling teams on the cheap for the XFL ...lol ...Let's pool together and offer him $155 ( the NFL has a monopoly that's unbeatable, everything else is cannon fodder  ) ..

I've always loved Newcastle's kit ..Being a BILLS fan ..This city has such bad juju for sports that we cursed the Clippers when they left Buffalo ...49 years without reaching a conference final ..lol ...I'm shocked those Nuggets haven't given me a stroke.....I'm also a die hard Knicks fan who will probably never see the playoffs again in the next 40 years ...

I'm trying to hold back on hammering the EPL this weekend ....Its probably to early to be firing away?? ...Pathetically I do much better Simulating EPL games on FIFA for ps4....

Best of luck Brother 

Thanks for reading and posting 

Sweep your board 

DU , Blessings and Good Luck , my friend  

Updated final record Predictions

Take these with a grain of salt ...NOT meant to dictate weekly  wagering,  other than possible Futures with value 

Ravens 12-4

Steelers 10-6.  +1

Browns 8-8

Bengals. 4-12

Bills. 11-5

Dolphins 7-9

Patriots 8-8. +1

Jets 2-14 .    -1

Titans 10-6

Colts. 9-7.  -1

Texans 7-9

Jaguars 4-12.  +2

Chiefs 13-3

Broncos 9-7

Chargers 7-9

Raiders. 7-9

Packers 10-6

Vikings 9-7

Bears. 8-8

Lions 6-10

Cowboys 9- 7  -1

Eagles 9-7.   -1

Giants 6-10.  -1 

DC. 6-10 +1

Saints. 11-5

Falcons 8-8  -1

Buccaneers 8-8

Panthers 3-13 

Seahawks 11-5.  

CARDINALS 10-6.  +1

49ers. 7-9.  -1

Rams 7-9 +1

AFC. CHIEFS VS BILLS

NFC. SAINTS VS SEAHAWKS

Wednesday Horse racing 

(+ $288 during week 1 )

Kentucky Downs 

Crazy track with some Fantastic payouts ..

Splitting the late pick 4

25  cent pick 4 

Race 7.   7  might be a well deserved Chalk. 

Race 8.   1,3,7,8,9

Race 9.    1,3,8,9,10,11,13 

Race 10.   7,9 

Cost 17.50 

25 CENT PICK 4 

RACE 7.    7

RACE 8.    1,3,7,8,9

Race 9.    1,3,9,13

Race 10.   1,4,5

Cost 15 

25 cent pick 

Race 7.     1,2,5. 

Race 8.      3,7,8,9

Race  9     1,3,13

Race 10.    7,9

Cost 18

$50.50 total cost 

 Love reading up on your futures. Futures  on the Saints sound juicy. Hoping they lose some early games to drop the SB future back down to 12/1. 

Point spread Ratings for Week 2 only ..Not for hypothetical matchups

SUGGESTED plays are 3.1 + points 

RAVENS. 101.3

STEELERS. 98.5  HF+2.2.

BROWNS. 90.9. HF +2

BENGALS. 86.9

BILLS. 98.4.  -2 for missing LBS , +1.4 for home field advantage with expected Fans making trip ..

PATRIOTS. 94

DOLPHINS 91

JETS. 87.8. HF 1.2

TITANS. 98. Hf +2

TEXANS. 93.6  +2

COLTS. 92.5 HF +1.8

JAGUARS. 90

CHIEFS. 102.3

BRONCOS. 94.2

RAIDERS. 92.4. HF 2.1

CHARGERS. 90.5  HF +1.7

VIKINGS. 95.2

PACKERS. 97.7. Hf +2.+

BEARS. 94  HF+1.4

LIONS. 94

COWBOYS. 95. HF+2.3

EAGLES. 93. . HF+2

GIANTS. 91.2

DC. 90.8

SAINTS. 100.2

BUCCANEERS. 95.3. H+2.2

FALCONS. 94.2

PANTHERS. 88.3

SEAHAWKS. 100.5. HF+2

49ERs. 95.6 . INJURIES?

CARDINALS 96.8 HF +2..1

RAMS. 95

Point Spread Ratings vs Actual Line 

Suggested plays are 3.1 off actual line 

2-1 Ytd 

                PSR.                    ACTUAL LINE 

BROWNS  6.  Bengals.      6

EAGLES.   PK.    RAMS.    PK 

BUCCS.  9.2.   Panther .    9 

STEELERS.  6.5.  Broncos. 7

COWBOYS.  3.1.   Falcons.  4.5 

49ers.      6.6.     JETS.    7 

Bills.      6.8.      DOLPHINS  5.5

Vikings.  0.9.    COLTS.     +3 

PACKERS. 5.9.    Lions.    6 

BEARS.    4.2.      Giants.   5.5 

TITANS.   10.      Jaguars.     8.5 

CARDINALS  8.1.   DC.        6.5 

Ravens.     5.7.      *TEXANS  7

Chiefs.      10.1.   CHARGERS. 8.5

SEHAWKS. 8.5.   PATS.       4

Saints        5.7.    RAIDERS.  5.5 

Point spread Ratings reccomend plays on VIKINGS +3 AND SEAHAWKS  -4 ....

When does EA update the Madden Rosters (injuries, trades, etc) for the week?

Thank you Brother ..

Love the Saints this season..Leaving Michael Thomas in the game and the ensuing Injury should cost them a game or 2 if he's put for an extended period of time 

12-1 is juicy ...Best of luck Brother ..Sweep your board 

English Premier league  

All rise for Wake and Bake 730 am Futbol Saturday 

Parlay  $100/$154 

Everton -179 

Leeds -158

Manchester United -1 -195

$195/100

Thought the juice would be around -225 on this ...

* more to follow 

Good luck bro! Love reading your posts. LEGO 

What’s good ol Madden like for player props and a final tonight? Maybe some John Ross or AJ green action? Looking forward to it. Also, do you just run madden sims 10 times without speed sim and record results? Another thing is do you match the depth chart exactly as it is on ESPN depth chart? 

thanks for everything brotha

Excellent question ...I don't always use the EA update( unless it's current) . ...In Madden share roster , there are several users that update the roster for the week every Thursday....

Extremely important to put all the injuries and depth chart adjustments in ...

Best of Luck Brother..sweep your board 

Almost done with tonight's THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ..

Been reading and failing for awhile when we align. Thanks and good luck to you this year.