Because it's on the road on Jacksonville has been competitive recently. Plus Broncos played an extra 15 minutes in a physical game. Hard to make a defensive team on the road in that kind of spot a touchdown favorite.
Atl: Not sure why this is weird to you. Weird that they're favored by that much or what? Chiefs are probably a top 5 football team. Atlanta has their issues, this line is basically where it should be. Probably closes at -3
Pitt: Again, why is this weird to you? Do you really think the 6-5 Steelers who haven't looked great at all recently are THAT much better than the 8-3 Giants? Another line where it should be.
Bills: Questions about Carr's Health. Chiefs stomped the Raiders early in the year, and the Bills run that same type of game plan with McCoy/Tyrod running and keeping the ball for long drives. Thought this line would open at 4, but don't think its far off.
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Broncos:
Because it's on the road on Jacksonville has been competitive recently. Plus Broncos played an extra 15 minutes in a physical game. Hard to make a defensive team on the road in that kind of spot a touchdown favorite.
Atl: Not sure why this is weird to you. Weird that they're favored by that much or what? Chiefs are probably a top 5 football team. Atlanta has their issues, this line is basically where it should be. Probably closes at -3
Pitt: Again, why is this weird to you? Do you really think the 6-5 Steelers who haven't looked great at all recently are THAT much better than the 8-3 Giants? Another line where it should be.
Bills: Questions about Carr's Health. Chiefs stomped the Raiders early in the year, and the Bills run that same type of game plan with McCoy/Tyrod running and keeping the ball for long drives. Thought this line would open at 4, but don't think its far off.
Because it's on the road on Jacksonville has been competitive recently. Plus Broncos played an extra 15 minutes in a physical game. Hard to make a defensive team on the road in that kind of spot a touchdown favorite.
Atl: Not sure why this is weird to you. Weird that they're favored by that much or what? Chiefs are probably a top 5 football team. Atlanta has their issues, this line is basically where it should be. Probably closes at -3
Pitt: Again, why is this weird to you? Do you really think the 6-5 Steelers who haven't looked great at all recently are THAT much better than the 8-3 Giants? Another line where it should be.
Bills: Questions about Carr's Health. Chiefs stomped the Raiders early in the year, and the Bills run that same type of game plan with McCoy/Tyrod running and keeping the ball for long drives. Thought this line would open at 4, but don't think its far off.
The line on NY Giants @ Pitts is weird because the Steelers are favored by 6 (too many) after Pittsburgh defeated an inferior team in Cleveland and a crippled team at the QB position in Indianapolis.
The Giants are the hotter and on paper the better team. Beckham should have a field day against that Steel City secondary and that Giants' D line should contain Leveon Bell and put pressure on the Benmeister. That line of Pitts -6 certainly caught my eye.
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Quote Originally Posted by Quickiies:
Broncos:
Because it's on the road on Jacksonville has been competitive recently. Plus Broncos played an extra 15 minutes in a physical game. Hard to make a defensive team on the road in that kind of spot a touchdown favorite.
Atl: Not sure why this is weird to you. Weird that they're favored by that much or what? Chiefs are probably a top 5 football team. Atlanta has their issues, this line is basically where it should be. Probably closes at -3
Pitt: Again, why is this weird to you? Do you really think the 6-5 Steelers who haven't looked great at all recently are THAT much better than the 8-3 Giants? Another line where it should be.
Bills: Questions about Carr's Health. Chiefs stomped the Raiders early in the year, and the Bills run that same type of game plan with McCoy/Tyrod running and keeping the ball for long drives. Thought this line would open at 4, but don't think its far off.
The line on NY Giants @ Pitts is weird because the Steelers are favored by 6 (too many) after Pittsburgh defeated an inferior team in Cleveland and a crippled team at the QB position in Indianapolis.
The Giants are the hotter and on paper the better team. Beckham should have a field day against that Steel City secondary and that Giants' D line should contain Leveon Bell and put pressure on the Benmeister. That line of Pitts -6 certainly caught my eye.
The line on NY Giants @ Pitts is weird because the Steelers are favored by 6 (too many) after Pittsburgh defeated an inferior team in Cleveland and a crippled team at the QB position in Indianapolis.
The Giants are the hotter and on paper the better team. Beckham should have a field day against that Steel City secondary and that Giants' D line should contain Leveon Bell and put pressure on the Benmeister. That line of Pitts -6 certainly caught my eye.
yes
Second thought maybe ATL doesn't look strange. Almost 90% on DEN so far...just saying they could have opened that up over 6 and still gotten a ton on that side. Same w Raiders
What I'm saying is that OAK and DEN have been big public teams over the last 5 weeks and the spreads are much tighter than they could have been
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Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:
The line on NY Giants @ Pitts is weird because the Steelers are favored by 6 (too many) after Pittsburgh defeated an inferior team in Cleveland and a crippled team at the QB position in Indianapolis.
The Giants are the hotter and on paper the better team. Beckham should have a field day against that Steel City secondary and that Giants' D line should contain Leveon Bell and put pressure on the Benmeister. That line of Pitts -6 certainly caught my eye.
yes
Second thought maybe ATL doesn't look strange. Almost 90% on DEN so far...just saying they could have opened that up over 6 and still gotten a ton on that side. Same w Raiders
What I'm saying is that OAK and DEN have been big public teams over the last 5 weeks and the spreads are much tighter than they could have been
Atl: Not sure why this is weird to you. Weird that they're favored by that much or what? Chiefs are probably a top 5 football team. Atlanta has their issues, this line is basically where it should be. Probably closes at -3
I think top 5 is a reach, I feel like you are basing this solely off of W-L record. Plus they are coming off a short week from a game that went to OT no less.
(last week's rankings below, this week's ratings come out later this evening)
KCC Overall DVOA ranking 13
KCC Offensive DVOA ranking 20 (P17/R22)
KCC Defensive DVOA ranking 11 (P8/R21)
ATL Overall DVOA ranking 5
ATL Offensive DVOA ranking 2 (P3/R7)
ATl Defensive DVOA ranking 27 (P22/R28)
Average record of teams KCC has beat = 5.0-6.0
Average record of teams ATL has beat = 5.7-5.1
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Quote Originally Posted by Quickiies:
Atl: Not sure why this is weird to you. Weird that they're favored by that much or what? Chiefs are probably a top 5 football team. Atlanta has their issues, this line is basically where it should be. Probably closes at -3
I think top 5 is a reach, I feel like you are basing this solely off of W-L record. Plus they are coming off a short week from a game that went to OT no less.
(last week's rankings below, this week's ratings come out later this evening)
I'm not sure which direction the original poster thought the KC-Atlanta line was off on, but another thing to consider is that the Chiefs play the Raiders on Thursday next week. That makes the Falcons a huge trap middle in a Broncos-Raiders divisional sandwich.
Also, I haven't been tracking it that closely, but I think teams have not done well this season the week before their Thursday game.
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I'm not sure which direction the original poster thought the KC-Atlanta line was off on, but another thing to consider is that the Chiefs play the Raiders on Thursday next week. That makes the Falcons a huge trap middle in a Broncos-Raiders divisional sandwich.
Also, I haven't been tracking it that closely, but I think teams have not done well this season the week before their Thursday game.
I'm not sure which direction the original poster thought the KC-Atlanta line was off on, but another thing to consider is that the Chiefs play the Raiders on Thursday next week. That makes the Falcons a huge trap middle in a Broncos-Raiders divisional sandwich.
Also, I haven't been tracking it that closely, but I think teams have not done well this season the week before their Thursday game.
Original post meant to say that ATL spread looks short at first glance. Opened at 3.5, i had it closer to 5
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Quote Originally Posted by rickykiss:
I'm not sure which direction the original poster thought the KC-Atlanta line was off on, but another thing to consider is that the Chiefs play the Raiders on Thursday next week. That makes the Falcons a huge trap middle in a Broncos-Raiders divisional sandwich.
Also, I haven't been tracking it that closely, but I think teams have not done well this season the week before their Thursday game.
Original post meant to say that ATL spread looks short at first glance. Opened at 3.5, i had it closer to 5
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