Detroit - 3 2100/2000 write up

Question

Big game tonight covers fam. Only game I’ve been interested in all week for the most part. Up around 7800 since last weekend wagering NFL, CFB and a little NBA. Detroit has been riddled with injuries for over a month now, and they just keep winning decisively. Normally I wager off defensive metrics and SOS. Tonight will be an offensive game, IE; the 56.5 total points listed. I believe Detroit will outperform Minny offensively. Ninny’s overall success as a team has a total of 1,608 pts, Detroit is listed @ 1,694 pts, second in the league. Vikes net epa, is 0.14 ( 6th ) and the Lions are 0.21 ( 3rd ) Detroit ranks 3rd in passing and 4th in rushing, Vikes rank 10th in passing and 23rd in rushing. My numbers after crunching lots of data have the Lions winning by @ least 4.73 pts. Vikes yards per play is 5.7 on OFF , Detroits is 6.2 yards per play. Vikes pts per play is 0.426 , Lions pts per play is 0.507. Vikes 3rd down conversion rate is 41.18% , Detroit is @ a 47.94 %. Red zone scoring, Minny 51.65% , Detroits 68.12% , big gap there. Goffs QB rating is @ a + 3.1 , Donald’s is @ a + 0.5. Goff has taken 29 sacks, Donald 46 sacks, huge gap again. Goff 10 picks, Donald 12 picks. Goff TD/INT % + 7.1 , Donald’s + 6.5 %. QB Adjusted overall performance. Goff’s + 34 pts , Donald’s + 22.

Now Minny has better defensive metrics, but, as always it’s all relative.

Minny’s overall SOS is any where between 17th all the way down to 30th. Detroit has a SOS anywhere between 1st to 10th. Minny has better defensive metrics because of the lack of SOS so far this year. As I’ve said, I pay several different companies money monthly for data. Tonight I’m siding with the public, sharps been inconsistent all year anyways. Detroit - 3 2100/2000 - 105 GL

Rolexsports · Accepted Answer

Big game tonight covers fam. Only game I’ve been interested in all week for the most part. Up around 7800 since last weekend wagering NFL, CFB and a little NBA. Detroit has been riddled with injuries for over a month now, and they just keep winning decisively. Normally I wager off defensive metrics and SOS. Tonight will be an offensive game, IE; the 56.5 total points listed. I believe Detroit will outperform Minny offensively. Ninny’s overall success as a team has a total of 1,608 pts, Detroit is listed @ 1,694 pts, second in the league. Vikes net epa, is 0.14 ( 6th ) and the Lions are 0.21 ( 3rd ) Detroit ranks 3rd in passing and 4th in rushing, Vikes rank 10th in passing and 23rd in rushing. My numbers after crunching lots of data have the Lions winning by @ least 4.73 pts. Vikes yards per play is 5.7 on OFF , Detroits is 6.2 yards per play. Vikes pts per play is 0.426 , Lions pts per play is 0.507. Vikes 3rd down conversion rate is 41.18% , Detroit is @ a 47.94 %. Red zone scoring, Minny 51.65% , Detroits 68.12% , big gap there. Goffs QB rating is @ a + 3.1 , Donald’s is @ a + 0.5. Goff has taken 29 sacks, Donald 46 sacks, huge gap again. Goff 10 picks, Donald 12 picks. Goff TD/INT % + 7.1 , Donald’s + 6.5 %. QB Adjusted overall performance. Goff’s + 34 pts , Donald’s + 22.

Now Minny has better defensive metrics, but, as always it’s all relative.

Minny’s overall SOS is any where between 17th all the way down to 30th. Detroit has a SOS anywhere between 1st to 10th. Minny has better defensive metrics because of the lack of SOS so far this year. As I’ve said, I pay several different companies money monthly for data. Tonight I’m siding with the public, sharps been inconsistent all year anyways. Detroit - 3 2100/2000 - 105 GL

begginerboy · Answer

With you, buddy. Not as large, but large enough:)

ULLafayettekid · Answer

Agree &amp; on same side

Rolexsports · Answer

BB &amp; Louisiana let&#x2019;s get this ! I think they beat them by more than two scores actually. gl to us

Rolexsports · Answer

Saigon let&#x2019;s go!

CalBear2009 · Answer

Thanks for sharing the insights. On Detroit tonight also as I trust Goff much more than Darnold. Detroit is also the more talented team and at home they will show up.&#xA;GL tonight!

2goodhahaha · Answer

D vs O&#xA;Detroit

lmb4321 · Answer

@Rolexsports&#xA; Great information....

Ppkay · Answer

&#xA;I hope.  I&#x27;m in a weird spot i have 2 open tickets to finish of some mL parlays&#x2B;props&#xA;One is vikings &#x2B;11,&#xA;The other is lions -10&#xA;Any scenario other than a lions blowout i win 5x risk, lions blowout 25x

Rolexsports · Answer

Like that presidential haha. Cal bear yeah , I like our chances at home especially. Got them in their own stadium as well. &#xA;4321 let&#x2019;s get this bag &#x2026;

ealxele · Answer

Enjoyed the read @Rolexsports! Def following you. Wondering what SOS means?

Rolexsports · Answer

PPKay, that formula should work across the board one way or another. &#xA;Strength of Schedule  @ E&#x2026;

Rolexsports · Answer

Back at you 333&#x2026;

buffer · Answer

@Rolexsports&#xA; Do you wear a Rolex?

Rolexsports · Answer

Got a collection Buffer..

Rolexsports · Answer

Donald had a really good year because, of the SOS played. You saw what he looks like against a top 5 team in the league. &#xA;Nice win tonight. Bang !!

Betterthanu · Answer

Great call I tailed 11-3 Puckett figures. All these winners on Covers but somehow I&#x27;m in the hole.

Rolexsports · Answer

Thanks JC ! &#xA;@ Better. You have to be selective if you want to win. I only wager a few games a week. Gotta know when to pick winners in certain situations.