Divisional Playoffs

i went 2-2 in single bet on Wildcard games, won Houston and Denver but lost on Detroit and Atlanta. Hopefully, i can have better next week on the Divisional round.

Saturday games,

San Francisco +3.5 (-115), i like better defense taking points playing at home.

Denver +14 (-120), New England might win a large margin again in this second matchup of the season but i'm taking chance on Tebow against a defense that ranked in the bottom of the league. 

Sunday games,

Houston +7.5 (-110), i'll grab over a touchdown on Houston's defense vs Joe Flacco. 

Green Bay -8.5 (-110), Packers are well rested and i think Aaron Rodgers could take advantage of the banged up NY secondary this time around.

Good luck!

Interestingly, I  absolutely nailed both of the spreads for the New Orleans @ San Francisco and Denver @ New England games .
3.5 & 14 right after the conclusion of each wild card game.
That means I'm pretty good at predicting opening spreads, but it also means, it will be difficult to pick a side.

This is Europa's thread , and when I viewed it, it was the first time I saw the spreads for those games. This is why I commented on, them . I am pretty good at predicting spreads, but sometimes the opening spreads reflect the play on the field, and sometimes they reflect perceived public backing, regardless of play on the field . This is why you should always establish your own spread and compare it to the actual spread. Do no let the spread dictate your side, but rather see how much it differs from yours. Proper handicapping involves making your own spreads. That's a good exercise to determine your own " true " spread .  

Roberto, i'm playing the following games, they're not spread predictions.   

Divisional Playoff plays recap,

San Francisco +3.5 (-115)

Denver +14 (-120)

Houston +7.5 (-110)

Green Bay -8.5 (-110)

One unit for each play. 

i'll take the points on a team with very good, if not better defense. You can drop the last three Houston's games since Wade was on hopital leave and Texans were locked with #3 seed with no incentives to play for.

adding a small unit on San Francisco ML +180.  

Sabia

i'm playing GB -8.5 and some -8, wde.

So you like Houston, New Orleans, Green Bay and Denver spread?

i don't argue you much on that last game Saints played vs Lions but that Lions team had no defense what'sever. Matt Flynn had 6 TD's against that Lions team in week 17.

You like Denver +14, GB -8 and Houston +7.5 as of now?  

This is more of a passer league nowadays, so Brees might have a good day at SF this weekend. Pats one time did go to PIT and beat the Steelers in that AFC final as road -3 in 2004, Steelers were #1 in defense or so in that year. But home dogs in this round are 3-2 ATS since 1990.  but you know this gamble, anything could happen.