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DK NFL Soapball Week 4

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Posted: #26
Yes , if minny beat Bills , everything deffrent . This game Rams just FAV 3 or 4 points . Now easy to understand why Rams FAV 6.5 points . Game on Primetime so hard . That's why lots of experts this forum guess wrong !
 
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Posted: #27
I don't want to say name experts but they always wrong on Primetime . Falcons would cover Philly . Jets won Browns , Ravens beat Cincy easily or Tampa covered Pit . You see ? 

All wrong !
 
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Posted: #28
Who would of guessed you'd be on Baltimore?     Save your $$.

I'm leaning Rams with you on Thursday.  
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by slushie007:

I haven't seen anyone mention that Peters AND Talib are not playing. That's HUGE.

Big bounce back game for Cousins, Diggs and Theilen after getting thoroughly embarrassed at home against Buffalo. The Rams have been coasting all year and Vikings will play with a sense of urgency.

It's too about what's going on with Everson Griffen but Vikes + the points on a teaser and ATS is the easy pick for me.

already well aware of talib and peters not playing. line hasnt been adjusted which makes it puzzling. this does have a feel of Rams win and Vikes cover. thats why i said it seems too easy to take the Vikes getting a generous 6.5 points.. 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by Dogjimbo:

Who would of guessed you'd be on Baltimore?     Save your $$.

I'm leaning Rams with you on Thursday.  

haha to the shock of noone. shall be a good game as always. i think i'll get my $$'s worth 

still looking into this Rams game. will have a play soon. BOL this week 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:


already well aware of talib and peters not playing. line hasnt been adjusted which makes it puzzling. this does have a feel of Rams win and Vikes cover. thats why i said it seems too easy to take the Vikes getting a generous 6.5 points.. 

it hasn't moved since the lines came out either. Really expected the line to drop. Possibly a very, very, very low scoring defensive slog?
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by Bobbys_pregame:


it hasn't moved since the lines came out either. Really expected the line to drop. Possibly a very, very, very low scoring defensive slog?

actually, just checking it now. line went up to -7 at my book and is juiced to -120 now. yikes.. i'll have to wait until that juice comes down or goes back to 6.5.. 

it was -6.5 yesterday afternoon. did it go up yesterday evening? i dont recall. 


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Posted: #33
Bol this week DK
 
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Posted: #34
Quickly to 7.5 and back 7 -120 now.


 
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Posted: #35
DK  THIS WEEK
Banging since 1983
 
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Posted: #36
eastside, van  
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Legend
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Posted: #37
playing

Rams -7 (-120) *sm*

might tack on another if the line or juice goes in my favor
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Posted: #38
looks like Vikings are becoming a public play now.. , if you are into that anti-public sort of thing. i personally don't care as much whose on what unless its 80/20 action then i'll give some pause
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Posted: #39
add

Rams -7 (-110) *sm*
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Posted: #40

Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

addRams -7 (-110) *sm*

 

Good luck!  I’m curious if anyone knows this stat......

When the public is pounding a team 80% or more, i wonder what the winning percentage is for the public covering their spreads? That would be cool to know.....

Hammer your book Digital!

 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by BeeRich:

 

Good luck!  I’m curious if anyone knows this stat......

When the public is pounding a team 80% or more, i wonder what the winning percentage is for the public covering their spreads? That would be cool to know.....

Hammer your book Digital!


probably more wins than losses, but not a large enough discrpency to use as a viable longterm strategy. i imagine 50-something %. i dont really have an answer for that. sometimes the public is right too...

unfortunately we wont get that answer tonight. its almost nearly equal action with it slanting in favor of the Vikes. seeing a little bit more Vikes love on covers and sbr forums, sbr consensus and covers consensus are opposite though but to me seem to correlate with sportsinsight #'s. Vikes will be more attractive if Cook plays. 
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Posted: #42
TNF results: 1-0-1, +1u

add

Patriots -7(+100)
in this contest you have to throw stats and records out the window and focus on the context of the situation. this is the 3rd time the Patriots have started the season 1-2(2001, 2012 & 2018). if you think the Patriots are finished then you are sorely mistaken. Patriots are 7-1 SU, 8-2 ATS after losing 2 straight games. They have won their games by 7 or more points except for one. 

This is a prime bounce back spot against a Miami Dolphins team that isnt as good as their record suggests. They've beaten the Titans with Mariota injured halfway through the game. Theyve beaten the Jets coming off an MNF upset high(i'll give the Dolphins that one). They've beaten the bumblin Raiders. Dolphins could easily have been 1-2 here. not to take anything away from this team because defensively the Dolphins are better this season.

Defensively the Pats are much better than they are letting on and they'll possibly get back Rowe, Chung and Flowers. Josh Gordon may start this game and that would help Gronk from being double-teamed although im not counting on it that he'll play. I see Brady making plenty of use of James White in the short passing game. 

although i wouldnt be surprised again if this game ends at 7, i think the shorthanded Pats are good enough to win by 10-13 pts. if the Pats were fully healthy and rolling they'd win this by 21. i'll take the 7 and the extra juice.
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
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Posted: #43
add

Bears -3

the Bears could win by 3 for all i know it could maybe be a close game but i like the Bears in this spot and tend to go against teams that played a Monday Night. The Bucs offense can legit put up points but im going to tell you this.. Do not expect another 400+ yard passing day from Fitzmagic.. This Bears defense is no pushover like that Steelers defense is. i think the Bears secondary even without Amukamura will still clamp down and get Fitztragic to throw some more picks because the Bears D-line will maul the Bucs O-line. 
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Posted: #44
Good Luck DK
 
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Posted: #45
thanks sac , gl bud
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Legend
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Posted: #46
Current Sunday card

Ravens +3(+100)
Ravens ML +145
Patriots -7(+100)
Bears -3(+100)
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
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Posted: #47

Quote Originally Posted by Paulajvwmj45s3:

Guys Check Out This Site I Found:   FreePicksForLife.com   They are on a 13-1 Run for me!!   They Have A "Perfect System" Pick Going For Today!! Check Them Out
Check out FreePicksForLife the renamed USSInsiders? Or betHuge money? They are all the same guy, same website - they steal money.

 

 

13-1 again? It's the same record every week. Are you too stoopid to at least change your fake record?

This guy is a phishing internet scammer duping people out their money, yes he will flip a coin and give you picks but his websites with his fake record is controlled by him. He does not post his losers, all of the comments are fake, every year he opens a few new websites.

 

 

He is not 13-1 and has never been 13-1. He is 11-23 the last three weeks in NFL and 4-7 in Preseason NFL. Last week 1-5. Yes his website says he's a winner!

His business model is to spam all gambling forums and hope for 100 hundred bullshit posts like the one to get one LOSER down on his luck to actually send him a few hundred bucks. To this overseas scam artist.

 

Don't be naive.

https://www.covers.com/forum/ViewThread/103265145/bethugemoney-are-scammers

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=12&sub=102267351

The pen is mightier than the pigs
 
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Posted: #48
DK: huge bears fan here but I’m very realistic. A home game, a game they SHOULD WIN, us bears fans have seen them choke these types of games away.....The Bears should handle TB with ease today but we both know anything goes. If they supply pressure on Fitz, he will buckle especially with our d line. In my opinion the bears get the win and Fitz comes back down to earth thus leading the way back for Jameis. We have yet to see a 60 minute game from the Bears and in front of the home crowd, is today that day? I think so. The line surprisingly opened at -2.5 bears which is was a smack in the face considering we are the better team and we are at home. My guess is the linesmakers just aren’t sold on Mitch and I guess I get that. My hope is that today this kid puts together a good game. 
 
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Posted: #49

Quote Originally Posted by Achilles1629:

DK: huge bears fan here but I’m very realistic. A home game, a game they SHOULD WIN, us bears fans have seen them choke these types of games away.....The Bears should handle TB with ease today but we both know anything goes. If they supply pressure on Fitz, he will buckle especially with our d line. In my opinion the bears get the win and Fitz comes back down to earth thus leading the way back for Jameis. We have yet to see a 60 minute game from the Bears and in front of the home crowd, is today that day? I think so. The line surprisingly opened at -2.5 bears which is was a smack in the face considering we are the better team and we are at home. My guess is the linesmakers just aren’t sold on Mitch and I guess I get that. My hope is that today this kid puts together a good game.

 

sup achilles. i know all too well about the Bears at home. anytime they are faves at home they lose SU, those were the days of John Fox and Marc Trestman..

last home game they played gave me a sense of renewed confidence. sure it was a Seahawks team that is a shadow of its former self, but it feels like a positive step in the right direction. today i believe, and i will be bold to say this but i believe Trubisky and Allen Robinson will be doing their best Steve Young/Jerry Rice impersonation. The Bears offense is going to finally have that breakout game after 3 lackluster ones and defense will be its usual self. Ryan Fitzpatrick going for another 400+ yard day is unsustainable and has to crash sooner or later. i think it happens today on the road against a legit defense. Bears win comfortably by 6-10 pts. 

GL amigo

Sip on that plus money honey!
 
 
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Posted: #50

just a couple more. only small plays. dont really like the card this week cutting my plays down to half.

final card:

Ravens +3(+100)

Ravens ML +145 *sm*

Patriots -7(+100)

Bears -3(+100)

Cardinals +3.5 *sm* 

Texans ML -110 *sm*

GL fellas

Sip on that plus money honey!
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