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Don Juan's Lengendary Superbowl 50 selection

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don juan

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Posted: Feb. 5, 2016 - 2:09 PM ET #51

I want to thank all you guys for the nice comments, even if you disagree .

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mgmprofits

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Posted: Feb. 5, 2016 - 2:11 PM ET #52

3 pts in the 2nd half and they still beat pats.

Imagine if they had scored 14 pts in the half it would of been a blowout.

Carolina is known for making careless turn overs when they are 6 pt favs.

Look for denver to score some easy defensive pts in this one

I think this game goes OVER but not sold, just gonna stick with denver +6

Final score prediction

27-24

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mgmprofits

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Posted: Feb. 5, 2016 - 4:26 PM ET #53

So lets hear it guys- Who is following and who is fading?

I just want to get kind of a public consensus here. It seems like most people are on denver.

But supposedly the public is on carolina. Either way i'm going all in on denver. Hope I dont regret it. Well, as long as its not a blowout it will be fun to watch and it will be worth it

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Broncodevil

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Posted: Feb. 5, 2016 - 4:36 PM ET #54

Im taking Denver and the UNDER. Carolina hasnt played an easy schedule and are getting way too much credit.

Their offense is not that dynamic. I was more worried about the NE offense.

People will be shocked at half time when the score is 14-10 Denver.

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Broncodevil

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Posted: Feb. 5, 2016 - 4:39 PM ET #55

Quote Originally Posted by Broncodevil:

Im taking Denver and the UNDER. Carolina hasnt played an easy schedule and are getting way too much credit.

Their offense is not that dynamic. I was more worried about the NE offense.

People will be shocked at half time when the score is 14-10 Denver.

meant to say Carolina HAS played an easy schedule.

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mgmprofits

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Posted: Feb. 5, 2016 - 4:48 PM ET #56

If you believe its 14-10 at the half why not just take the OVER for the first half?

I lean OVER for this game but BOL to you in your under play i wont be touching that as I like easy ,oney, and denver ATS ios the only easy play for this game

although my capping does point to an under pick here, I just have a gut feeling on the over.

I think denver gets at least 14 pts off turnovers, so add that to 1 or 2 legitmate Td's that 31 to 28 right there for denver, not including field goals.

I dont see denver blowing caorlina out, so I think carlina gets at least 21 to 24

so I am thinking 24 to 27 final score or 24 to 28,, or 24 to 31 final score denver wins

no matter what way i look at it I see an OVER in this game

Look at carolina past coring history and their average. How often do they score LESS than 27 a game?Not too often. I'd ave to double check, but id say probably less often this season than I have testicles. Even if they get 21 here and denver wins this is going over. Total is now at 44.5

But then again the over is the public bet, so who knows. Vegas is knowin for being greedy. But cant they let the public win ONE. Of course. They have to, or nobody would bet, or they would be exploited by people who fade the public.

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HoustonSports

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Posted: Feb. 5, 2016 - 5:14 PM ET #57

Quote Originally Posted by BarrelledIn:

Perfect time for this self-crowned senile clown to start regressing to the mean

Perfect time for self-crowned a-holes like you to start regressing to their closet

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snowman76

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Posted: Feb. 5, 2016 - 11:54 PM ET #58

on the carolina line at -3 and on the same teaser, i hate it when it seems this easy.

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mgmprofits

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Posted: Feb. 6, 2016 - 12:08 AM ET #59

I think if carolina wins it will be by 3 or less....

Considering the line opened at 3.5...

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LineMovement123

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Posted: Feb. 6, 2016 - 10:13 PM ET #60

carolina 24, denver 10 will be final score.

don juan you are not only a legend but a prophet.

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don juan

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Posted: Feb. 7, 2016 - 5:30 AM ET #61

Quote Originally Posted by LineMovement123:

carolina 24, denver 10 will be final score.

don juan you are not only a legend but a prophet.

You are hilarious. You say I'm not a prophet, then you predict the exact score ! LOL

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WilliamMunny

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Posted: Feb. 7, 2016 - 10:55 AM ET #62

100% agree .. GL to both of us

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WilliamMunny

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Posted: Feb. 7, 2016 - 10:56 AM ET #63

Glad to see you are still hanging around this forum .. The best have long since left

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BWS77

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Posted: Feb. 7, 2016 - 10:57 AM ET #64

Good luck Don

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Bet_The_House

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Posted: Feb. 7, 2016 - 10:13 PM ET #65

Damn

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BarneysDad

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Posted: Feb. 7, 2016 - 10:15 PM ET #66

Quote Originally Posted by don juan:

To all my rowdy football friends ,

Celebrating my 50th Super Bowl and 15 years around this joint ! So Cheers ! And I’m proud to say that my SB record here is 12-2 ats. I’ll drink to that !

The SB is really the easiest game to figure because there is no home field advantage, coaches have more time to focus and both teams are rested equally, unlike most bye weeks. I see the SB as a game of chess, no not chest, chess. ( please concentrate ) I look for the weakness and move in.

Taking an overview, as usual. I asked myself, where is the weakness in this game ? Both teams have good defenses. Both have a good coach, not great but good, no advantage there. Running game is about equal, Receivers, tight ends, about even, no advantage. Quarterback’s, yes a weakness ! Namely, the age and passing accuracy of Peyton Manning vs. the youth, mobility and the relentlessness of Cam Money Newton, who is playing lights out this year.

Surely, you must have noticed that Peyton’s accuracy has been off on 25 to 35 yard passes. He is pretty good in the red zone but he has a hard time getting there. ( that’s me ). His passes flutter like female batting eyes and he cannot throw a long accurate ball anymore. ( he probably can’t see that far) Manning knows it and the Patriots realized it last week too. Peyton looks frail and unenthusiastic and it shows in the stats, 17 interceptions this year in only 10 games and passing rating of 68%. That’s not the Peyton we once knew.

Did you see how the Patriots played Peyton in the 2nd half of the last game ? He could not move the team, and only scored 3 points at home ! Peyton didn’t win the game, New England lost the game. And hey, the Pats were a one dimensional team, they had absolutely no running game after they lost 4 excellent running backs this year. Remember this.... when Denver barely beat Pittsburgh Antonio Brown didn’t play, De Angelo Williams didn’t play, still no L. Bell, and Big Ben had a bum shoulder.

Meanwhile, Carolina hung 31 points on Seattle at halftime, whoa ! and if not for the scrambling of Wilson in the 2nd half, it was over. And the Panthers scored 49 points on Arizona’s defense ? C’mon man. Oh, and Palmer couldn’t scramble either. Keep in mind, those 2 playoff wins were against teams with very good defenses. In fact, Seattle’s banged up defense was better than Denver’s all year, they gave up less points during the regular season.

In my mind, the Panthers record is really 18-0 this year because the only loss they had was a laydown game to give players a little time with the ladies. Before playing Atlanta, Carolina was 14-0, Coach Rivera said he was going to consult with Coach Belichick ( and that’s no easy task ), about the pressures of an undefeated season. Carolina averaged 37.7 points a game over their last 8 games home and away, excluding the Atlanta game. So they obviously had a good time partying because Carolina only scored 13 points @ Atlanta, a team with a 3-8 record over their last 11 games.

So for the record, my official 15th Super Bowl pick is Carolina – 6 (checked flag please)

I have a hunch that the score will be around 34-19, Carolina wins.

Superbowl History, closing odds Trivia. Only 4 times in SB history was there a -6 point favorite. They all covered .

1993..Dallas - 6.5 ..Final score, Dallas 52 Buffalo 17

1978..Dallas – 6.....Final score, Dallas 27 Denver 10

1974..Miami –6.5...Final score, Miami 27 Minnesota 7

1972..Dallas – 6.....Final score, Dallas, 24 Miami 3

Last year I posted a great 4-way teaser play, and won. ( you probably didn’t listen then either ) In any case, if you’re concerned about a back door Or if you have already placed a play on Denver and they won’t let you trade for air miles, here’s a fantastic way out.... A 2-way teaser, Carolina -pick, and Over 39.5 Because I believe chances of a blow out game is far greater than a Denver win.

After you win, give a little to homeless people working on the corner.

Good Luck fellas, see you next year, God willing,

.

Your old friend,

Don Juan

( honey where is my walker ? )