dont worry about the spread just pick the winnner

last week spread was not a factor

4-0

picks comming sat

Not so fast my friend!

For example, Baltimore was 8-0 SU at home this season, but just 4-3-1 ATS.  The Ravens are 21-3 SU at home over the last three years, but just 12-11-1 ATS.

Just because picking the SU winner worked last week doesn't mean it'll work this week.  With big lines in three of the games, the opposite could well occur.

You'll hit 70% of the time if you just pick the team to win...regardless if it's +pts or -pts.

Posted this off and on during season. NFL points don't matter. Up to start of week 16 of NFL season  :  166-33-8 83%.  Just pick outright winner. Btw, it is in the low to near mid 80% year in and out.

Correction......Packers -pts and Den ML.    

The stats for the divisional round of the playoffs were discussed on Vegas sportsday today.  Home favourites SU in this round do very well, but not so good when you factor in the points.  Check the video between the 5 and 15 minute marks.  Can't remember exact spot where it was discussed.

in the NFL the spread comes into play about 50 times during the regualr season which is about once every 5 games or so.

Packers were 5-1 against the spread at home when favored by 10.5 pts or more this year.  (the spread is -8 for this game)

Giants were 2-1 against the spread on the road when getting 7 to 10 points this year.

LINK

Last year the Packers went 2-2 at home against spreads of 9 or more and they also covered against Dallas when they were -7.

The Giants were never a big underdog last year.   The biggest dog they were was +4 at Indy in Week 2.

Quote Originally Posted by Niners13:

Yup boys. Points don't matter just pick winners.

Easy enough. I should be rich in no time! Thanks for the info bud. I have known this for some time and still spend countless hour considering the spread into the situation, I need to simplify things ... next year!