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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Dummies bet on the chiefs

    12 Next Last»
    hillardoh1
    Wizerguy
    Goat_12
    midnightprowl
    the1toturn2
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    12 Next Last»
     
    hillardoh1
    hillardoh1
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 5:35 PM ET #1

    The Chiefs are favored 16 1/2 points against visiting Arizona on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium. It’s the largest favorite the Chiefs have ever been, or at least since betting lines became widely available in 1985, according to BetDSI, which tracks the historical data. It surpasses a 1992 meeting with the New England Patriots in which the Chiefs were favored 16 points. The chiefs won that game 27 to new england 20. I wish the patriots would get this high of point spreads once and a while.

    There is no sure thing in the NFL, but this is about as close as it gets. Over the past 10 seasons, there have been 21 teams favored by at least 16 points, and all but one of them won the football game, per BetDSI. The Buffalo Bills broke the perfect record earlier this year, upsetting Minnesota in Week 3.  Bet on Arizona +16.5  if you wanna make money. 

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    The Chiefs are favored 16 1/2 points against visiting Arizona on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium. It’s the largest favorite the Chiefs have ever been, or at least since betting lines became widely available in 1985, according to BetDSI, which tracks the historical data. It surpasses a 1992 meeting with the New England Patriots in which the Chiefs were favored 16 points. The chiefs won that game 27 to new england 20. I wish the patriots would get this high of point spreads once and a while.

    There is no sure thing in the NFL, but this is about as close as it gets. Over the past 10 seasons, there have been 21 teams favored by at least 16 points, and all but one of them won the football game, per BetDSI. The Buffalo Bills broke the perfect record earlier this year, upsetting Minnesota in Week 3.  Bet on Arizona +16.5  if you wanna make money. 

     
    hillardoh1
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 5:40 PM ET #2

    the public went 11 and 0 betting nfl favorites last week. The sportsbooks want to get it back this week. you gotta take arizona.
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    the public went 11 and 0 betting nfl favorites last week. The sportsbooks want to get it back this week. you gotta take arizona.
     
    Wizerguy
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 7:33 PM ET #3

    any given sunday
    - The storms will come, the storms will pass -
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    any given sunday
     
    Goat_12
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 8:02 PM ET #4

    36 KC 

    16 ARI 

     

    Arizona has scored an average of 15 points on the road.

    KC has scored at least 30 in each of their 4 home games, with an average of 36 points/game.

     

    KC has the #1 offense in the league, while Arizona has the 31st (less than 14 points/game), only Buffalo has performed worse (less than 11 points/game).

     

    This is the perfect storm.

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    36 KC 

    16 ARI 

     

    Arizona has scored an average of 15 points on the road.

    KC has scored at least 30 in each of their 4 home games, with an average of 36 points/game.

     

    KC has the #1 offense in the league, while Arizona has the 31st (less than 14 points/game), only Buffalo has performed worse (less than 11 points/game).

     

    This is the perfect storm.

     
    midnightprowl
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 8:03 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by hillardoh1:

    the public went 11 and 0 betting nfl favorites last week. The sportsbooks want to get it back this week. you gotta take arizona.

    I agree about this one 
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    Quote Originally Posted by hillardoh1:

    the public went 11 and 0 betting nfl favorites last week. The sportsbooks want to get it back this week. you gotta take arizona.

    I agree about this one 
     
    the1toturn2
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 8:15 PM ET #6

    Betting lines became widely available in 1985?    add that and your faulty logic about "the books want to get their money back" and you will keep losing as usual
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    Betting lines became widely available in 1985?    add that and your faulty logic about "the books want to get their money back" and you will keep losing as usual
     
    Goat_12
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 8:16 PM ET #7

    Cardinals Injury Report

    Budda Baker (S) LP Questionable

    Tre Boston (S) LP Questionable

    Jermaine Gresham (TE) FP Questionable [Rotoworld: should play]

    Mike Iupati (OL) LP Questionable

    Robert Nkemdiche (DT) DNP Out

    Corey Peters (DT) LP Questionable

    Justin Pugh (OL) LP Questionable

    Jeremy Vujnovich (OL) LP Questionable

    Chad Williams (WR) DNP Out

    ---------------

    Chiefs Injury Report

    Eric Berry (DB) DNP Doubtful

    Anthony Hitchens (LB) LP Questionable

    Justin Houston (LB) LP Questionable [Rotoworld: expected to return for W10]

    Mitch Morse (OL) DNP Out

    Frank Zombo (LB) DNP Out

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    Cardinals Injury Report

    Budda Baker (S) LP Questionable

    Tre Boston (S) LP Questionable

    Jermaine Gresham (TE) FP Questionable [Rotoworld: should play]

    Mike Iupati (OL) LP Questionable

    Robert Nkemdiche (DT) DNP Out

    Corey Peters (DT) LP Questionable

    Justin Pugh (OL) LP Questionable

    Jeremy Vujnovich (OL) LP Questionable

    Chad Williams (WR) DNP Out

    ---------------

    Chiefs Injury Report

    Eric Berry (DB) DNP Doubtful

    Anthony Hitchens (LB) LP Questionable

    Justin Houston (LB) LP Questionable [Rotoworld: expected to return for W10]

    Mitch Morse (OL) DNP Out

    Frank Zombo (LB) DNP Out

     
    hillardoh1
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 8:19 PM ET #8

    Andy Reid is the type of coach that plays conservative and will ruin a cover by kneeling the ball instead of scoring a extra touch down. A very fair pointspread is kc -14. Again watch what happens even Joe blow that thinks he can buy kc 3 points or put the chiefs in teaser will get blown  out of the water trying to cover. Stupid people will be on kc. The smart money is Arizona.
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    Andy Reid is the type of coach that plays conservative and will ruin a cover by kneeling the ball instead of scoring a extra touch down. A very fair pointspread is kc -14. Again watch what happens even Joe blow that thinks he can buy kc 3 points or put the chiefs in teaser will get blown  out of the water trying to cover. Stupid people will be on kc. The smart money is Arizona.
     
    Goat_12
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 8:19 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by hillardoh1:

    Over the past 10 seasons, there have been 21 teams favored by at least 16 points, and all but one of them won the football game, per BetDSI.

    Of the 21, 12 covered, 1 push (62% in total)

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    Quote Originally Posted by hillardoh1:

    Over the past 10 seasons, there have been 21 teams favored by at least 16 points, and all but one of them won the football game, per BetDSI.

    Of the 21, 12 covered, 1 push (62% in total)

     
    Goat_12
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 8:25 PM ET #10

    Actually, pro-football-reference was wrong.  9 covered, 1 pushed.

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    Actually, pro-football-reference was wrong.  9 covered, 1 pushed.

     
    JerryWrasse
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 8:45 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by hillardoh1:

    the public went 11 and 0 betting nfl favorites last week. The sportsbooks want to get it back this week. you gotta take arizona.

    That is what everyone is saying. Narrative of the week.

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    Quote Originally Posted by hillardoh1:

    the public went 11 and 0 betting nfl favorites last week. The sportsbooks want to get it back this week. you gotta take arizona.

    That is what everyone is saying. Narrative of the week.

     
    the1toturn2
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 8:58 PM ET #12

    So the Titans were favored last week? IF that  is part of the eleven that is
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    So the Titans were favored last week? IF that  is part of the eleven that is
     
    hillardoh1
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 8:58 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by Goat_12:

    Quote Originally Posted by hillardoh1:

    Over the past 10 seasons, there have been 21 teams favored by at least 16 points, and all but one of them won the football game, per BetDSI.
    Of the 21, 12 covered, 1 push (62% in total)
    was any of the teams with tom brady?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat_12:

    Quote Originally Posted by hillardoh1:

    Over the past 10 seasons, there have been 21 teams favored by at least 16 points, and all but one of them won the football game, per BetDSI.
    Of the 21, 12 covered, 1 push (62% in total)
    was any of the teams with tom brady?

     
    the1toturn2
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 9:05 PM ET #14

    Since you are so intelligent you wuill be wagering everything you own on thi splay and telling us how great you are whne it wins  I can not wait
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    Since you are so intelligent you wuill be wagering everything you own on thi splay and telling us how great you are whne it wins  I can not wait
     
    Goat_12
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 9:13 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by the1toturn2:

    Since you are so intelligent you wuill be wagering everything you own on thi splay and telling us how great you are whne it wins  I can not wait

     

    doesn't have the balls

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by the1toturn2:

    Since you are so intelligent you wuill be wagering everything you own on thi splay and telling us how great you are whne it wins  I can not wait

     

    doesn't have the balls

     

     
    bpickin
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 9:26 PM ET #16

    I think Chiefs cover tomorrow 

    Books will get their money back, but it won’t be on that game... Dallas is one, Browns, Titans could all cover at the very least... everyone banging chargers and Seattle at 4pm and that will proably mean raiders and rams lol.
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    I think Chiefs cover tomorrow 

    Books will get their money back, but it won’t be on that game... Dallas is one, Browns, Titans could all cover at the very least... everyone banging chargers and Seattle at 4pm and that will proably mean raiders and rams lol.
     
    KCinAZ
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 9:47 PM ET #17

    I live in Arizona and am a die hard chiefs fan.  I won’t bet it but likely this will get ugly. Back door cover is only chance but not likely.  Chiefs tend to get big lead and play prevent.   GL with your bet 
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    I live in Arizona and am a die hard chiefs fan.  I won’t bet it but likely this will get ugly. Back door cover is only chance but not likely.  Chiefs tend to get big lead and play prevent.   GL with your bet 
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 10:08 PM ET #18

    This is the same guy who bet San Jose St ML.today as a 30pt dog...an_light

    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    This is the same guy who bet San Jose St ML.today as a 30pt dog...an_light

     
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 10:58 PM ET #19

    Tennessee was a dog and won. Wrong facts posted in this thread.

     

    Dummies bet on the Browns last week. Smart people took KC.

     

    Dummies take AZ this week. Chiefs will roll them by 30+

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    Tennessee was a dog and won. Wrong facts posted in this thread.

     

    Dummies bet on the Browns last week. Smart people took KC.

     

    Dummies take AZ this week. Chiefs will roll them by 30+

     
    Rowdie22
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 11:02 PM ET #20

    I'll stay away, but if I had too bet it... Chiefs parlayed with the over.
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    I'll stay away, but if I had too bet it... Chiefs parlayed with the over.
     
    HEATNATION26
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 11:27 PM ET #21

    the biggest factor nobody in here mentioned Patrick Peterson is gonna make tyrek hill a non factor in this game they don’t know if Watkins is gonna play hunt still gonna have a great game probley kelce too but hill is there best playmaker and for him to be a non factor is a big thing I will be taking the points smart or sucker bet u decide but the points is the smarter bet in this game my opinion I’ll gonna take a chance and hope chiefs don’t win by more then 14

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    the biggest factor nobody in here mentioned Patrick Peterson is gonna make tyrek hill a non factor in this game they don’t know if Watkins is gonna play hunt still gonna have a great game probley kelce too but hill is there best playmaker and for him to be a non factor is a big thing I will be taking the points smart or sucker bet u decide but the points is the smarter bet in this game my opinion I’ll gonna take a chance and hope chiefs don’t win by more then 14

     
    the1toturn2
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 11:39 PM ET #22

    I was being facetious when I said the Titans were favored and phrased it as a question  Is it any wonder so many people on here lose more than they win when their  "capping" is governed by phrases like "The books need...."   Vegas will get their money back because......"     "The NFL wants...."  
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    I was being facetious when I said the Titans were favored and phrased it as a question  Is it any wonder so many people on here lose more than they win when their  "capping" is governed by phrases like "The books need...."   Vegas will get their money back because......"     "The NFL wants...."  
     
    tchamps
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2018 - 11:43 PM ET #23

    Don't shoot me but I'm taking the Chiefs on the alternative line of -7.5

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    Don't shoot me but I'm taking the Chiefs on the alternative line of -7.5

     
    Goat_12
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2018 - 9:42 AM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by HEATNATION26:

    the biggest factor nobody in here mentioned Patrick Peterson is gonna make tyrek hill a non factor in this game they don’t know if Watkins is gonna play hunt still gonna have a great game probley kelce too but hill is there best playmaker and for him to be a non factor is a big thing I will be taking the points smart or sucker bet u decide but the points is the smarter bet in this game my opinion I’ll gonna take a chance and hope chiefs don’t win by more then 14

    Watkins is likely out. HOWEVER, Travis Kelce should have one of the best tight end matchups of the week, as he has seen heavy volume and will see most coverage from Antoine Bethea, who is giving up a catch rate of over 80 percent to tight ends and matches up nearly half a foot and 60 pounds smaller than Kelce.

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    Quote Originally Posted by HEATNATION26:

    the biggest factor nobody in here mentioned Patrick Peterson is gonna make tyrek hill a non factor in this game they don’t know if Watkins is gonna play hunt still gonna have a great game probley kelce too but hill is there best playmaker and for him to be a non factor is a big thing I will be taking the points smart or sucker bet u decide but the points is the smarter bet in this game my opinion I’ll gonna take a chance and hope chiefs don’t win by more then 14

    Watkins is likely out. HOWEVER, Travis Kelce should have one of the best tight end matchups of the week, as he has seen heavy volume and will see most coverage from Antoine Bethea, who is giving up a catch rate of over 80 percent to tight ends and matches up nearly half a foot and 60 pounds smaller than Kelce.

     
     
    hillardoh1
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2018 - 2:57 PM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by tchamps:

    Don't shoot me but I'm taking the Chiefs on the alternative line of -7.5
    looks like that could lose.

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    Quote Originally Posted by tchamps:

    Don't shoot me but I'm taking the Chiefs on the alternative line of -7.5
    looks like that could lose.

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