Early chatter/%/sharp/ for week 12

I’ll be updating as it comes available. Mods feel free to destroy if you want. Just trying to share info, but if it’s clutter I’ll keep it to myself

Early Week 12 lopsided NFL sides (by total bets) at DKSportsbook.  Tickets

89% on Broncos -5.5

88% on Lions -7.5

87% on Bucs -6

85% on Steelers -3.5

81% on Chiefs -10.5

81% on Eagles -2.5

80% on Texans -8.5

74% on Commanders -10.5

72% on Vikings -3.5

71% on Ravens -2.5

Early NFL Week 12 tickets at bet-on

85% PIT -3.5 @ CLE

80% DET -7.5 @ IND

63% KC -11 @ CAR

69% MIN -3 @ CHI

67% WAS -10 v DALOL

77% TB -5 @ NYG

55% MIA -7 v NE

58% TEN +9 @ HOU

92% DEN -5.5 @ LV

57% AZ pk @ SEA

57% SF +2.5 @ GB

77% PHI -3 @ LAR

58% BAL -3 @ LAC

Early line moves

Browns/steelers 43.5 to 39 in 2 hours. Got to 36 by Monday morning. Starting to see buyback.  Steelers -4.5 to 4 then 3.5. Early money on browns. No buyback. I’m interested in this total do will be digging for info

K.C./Carolina released at 42 and dropped 41.5 in first hour. Now sits 43

Denver released to 3 and to 4.5 in two hours now sits 5.5

Dallas/Washington released at 44 and moves to 45 in first hour at super book. Sits 45.5 now.

Ravens/chargers released to 48 now 50. Super book risk supervisor is already on record he expects to need the under more than side on this game.

Packers came out -1.5 and now 2.5. They expected early money on packers and got it. No word on buyback but I’m interested because it’s a spread I singled out Sunday.

Texans came out -8 and dropped to 7.5 on early. Now sits 8.5

I’ll update as things become available.  My personal thoughts?

I have none because it’s Wednesday, but have a great afternoon

Weeds

@Weeds1079

Lopsided point-spread action so far in NFL Week 12 odds, at

@ESPNBET

:By Ticket %

90.3% Lions, at Colts

87.1% Buccaneers, at Giants

84.8% Steelers, at Browns

81.3% Broncos, at Raiders

81.1% Commanders, vs. Cowboys

By Money %

86.2% Dolphins, vs. Patriots

82.9% Commanders

82.5% Broncos

81.5% Lions

80.9% Buccaneers

Early Steelers-Browns betting at #BetMGM

steelers

open -4.5, now -3.5

92% of bets, 87% of money on Steelers

Total open 40.5, now 36.5

57% of bets, 73% of money on Under

Browns

open +200, now +165

23% of bets, 14% of money on Browns

95% of money is on Jameis Winston OVER 216.5 passing yards at #BetMGM

Jamies threw for 395 yards last week.

What could go wrong?

NFL Week 12 Odds: Despite results, Browns keep drawing sharp action, doing so again vs Steelers for TNF.

"Since Jameis Winston has been in, we've seen respected money each week. It hasn't always worked out, but it continues this week."

Tom Gable (tgablesports), sportsbook director, BorgataSports

BROWNS SHARP IS YOUR BAD ADULT-CHILD …YOU SEE IT EVERY WEEK AND THEY TAKE YOUR MONEY AND PROMISE THIS IS THE LAST TIME.  

TY. keep it coming

Ty for these posts, very informative and relevant information. 

Early sharp play on NFL Week 12 odds:

CaesarsSports, per Joey Feazel:

Commanders -10, vs Cowboys

Ravens-Chargers Over 48/48.5.

@BorgataSports, per tgablesports

Browns +4.5/+4, vs. Steelers in TNF

Eagles-Rams Over 48/48.5

borgata is mgm property in Atlantic City. Shocking they have sharp on the eagles over. Just kidding. 

well lions yes running up the score like that vs doormat team comon man i'll take home dog every time

I have the internal matrix of ticket/handle, line movement for the nfl as of now for bet mgm. I’d post it but that’s impossible on the board.  If you would like the data for a particular game just ask.  

Popular (+60% of bets) NFL Week 12 bets at #BetMGM

89% on Broncos -6

86% on Buccaneers -6

75% on Commanders -10.5

72% on Lions -7.5

65% on Cardinals -1

64% on Vikings -3.5

61% on Eagles -3

Most bet (tickets) underdogs to win in NFL Week 12 at #BetMGM

1. 49ers +130

2. Chargers +130

3. Patriots +310

NFL Week 12 betting at #BetMGM

Most bet games TICKETS

1. Lions-Colts

2. Vikings-Bears

3. Eagles-Rams

Most bet teams TICKETS

1. Lions -7.5

2. Vikings -3.5

3. Eagles -3

Most bet teams DOLLARS

1. Lions -7.5

2. Broncos -6

3. Rams +3

Thank you. Anything for NBA today?

@Cranky

 Since nobody will see this until it’s too late. I liked the under in Mavs game and put it into a 3teamer

i purchase points to get 2.25/1 odds

mavs under 232

baylor +7.5

bulls over 240

Thank you. Looking forward to updated data for today’s NFL 

Pretty crap day yesterday. Nothing seemed to go my way.  

here is some info.  I’m keeping today’s plays to myself though. I don’t feel like be called a scam again, bad source, etc. do what you want with it 

Popular (+60% of bets) NFL Week 12 bets at #BetMGM

85% on Broncos -5.5

83% on Buccaneers -6

76% on Lions -7.5

71% on Packers -5.5

70% on Commanders -10.5

67% on Vikings -3.5

67% on Texans -7.5

64% on Eagles -3

63% on Cardinals -1

Most bet OVERs

1. Lions-Colts 50

2. Chiefs-Panthers 43

3. Broncos-Raiders 41.5

Most bet UNDERs

1. 49ers-Packers 44.5

2. Ravens-Chargers 51

3. Vikings-Bears 39.5

Lions -7.5 (at Colts) is the most-bet game by both total bets AND total $$ at @DKSportsbook  @BetMGM  and @ESPNBET

Sharp action on NFL Week 12 odds, from, per @joebrennanjr

: Sharp Play Rams +3 vs. Eagles Patriots-Dolphins Over 46 Lions-Colts Over 50

Sharp action on NFL Week 12 odds, from

@BorgataSports sportsbook director Tom Gable (tgablesports

):To Clarify: What's listed are the numbers that attracted sharp action. These aren't currently available numbers.

Eagles-Rams Over 48

Raiders +6, vs Broncos

Bears +4, vs Vikings

Colts +8, vs Lions

Bucs-Giants Under 41.5

Titans-Texans Under 41.5

have a good one

weeds

Ps: I’d need to be charging money to be called a scam. The word you are looking for is fraud. 

@Weeds1079

 Weeds thanks for posting. Yes, yesterday was crappy but got a good night sleep and ready to go. Your info swayed me into a couple winners last night so I did okay.

Thanks again, let's hope for a great Sunday  

Ahhh was looking forward to your plays man.  Always gotta be someone to mess shit up

@Weeds1079

 theyre just salty. You were handing out winners the past two weeks for them. GL today im sure you will bounce back today. 

Good one!

@dayknight

 Thanks man. I appreciate it. I’m looking at basketball games now.  I guess my words of advice would be that the most bet tickets at mgm have ? except for that week where the public cleaned up. 

Also Texans, dolphins, and lions are the most heavily bet teaser this year in nfl at betmgm. So which one loses outright? 

@Weeds1079

 I wish you could share your plays. It’s everyone’s choice to play or fade. There is only a handful of people who provide useful information that helps on this forum and you are one of them. No one wins 100% but you win way more than you lose and we are thankful you take the time to share the information and your picks. 

@Kellerman

 I played Indy. I’ve been a lions fan since Barry sanders, but this is a perfect scenario for them to crap the bed. 

I also  played pats/dolphins over 42 (bought) with commanders -6 at a positive rate 

I stayed the fuck away from bucs. Too many touts are on them. Feels and looks like bait. Plus bucs rush defense would make anyone look like a hall of famer. 

@Weeds1079

Great stuff!