Sportsbooks will try their best to avoid the possibility of middling in the Super Bowls as possible.
Super Bowl XIII, 1979:
Steelers 35, Cowboys 31
"Pittsburgh opened as a 2½-point favorite over Dallas, and the line closed at 4½. It landed on 4, and virtually every bettor who had action on it won.
“That game was the biggest losing Sunday for the Super Bowl that ever was,” South Point oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro told the Review-Journal in 2017. “That was the first big loss I took as a young aspiring bookmaker with black hair who could stay out late at night. Those days are gone.”*
*https://www.reviewjournal.com/sports/betting/here-are-5-super-bowls-when-bettors-beat-sportsbooks-1943634/
San Francisco spread was opened at -2.5 last night. If 49ers ended at +3 as you posted in the above, sportsbooks will get exposed with huge risk of 5.5 points gap for middling. Not likely to be materialized, I will say.
The Chiefs have the better offense? Really?
Not in this lifetime will a Super Bowl line move that dramatically with the vast majority of bettors being correct.
As of last Sunday night my play was going to be KC but a couple o things give me pause. One is the overwhelming public sentiment. The other is I get the feeling Mahomes will be subpar in this game...that's my take right now. If you take that and throw in $5 to buy Mr. Bator another double espresso..
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