The team total for the Bengals currently stands at 14.5-15.5 depending on the book and where the juice leans but I could definitely see the NE D pitching a shutout or keeping them at 10 or less and winning this game 20-7 or 24-7.
That said, I don't expect the NE offence to suddenly turn into something that it's not. Brady is old and has Edelman as his only reliable weapon down the field. This offence NEEDS its defense to score or set up scoring opportunities. In the first half of the season the Pats scored a total of 60 points on defensive TD's or blocked punts that set up FG's. Over the past month the inevitable regression to the mean has occurred and NE is losing because its defense stopped scoring.
The Bengals plus 10 figures to be a solid bet to my eye. If the NE D doesn't either score a TD or set up a TD inside the 10 yard line, I would bet the plus 10 will take you to the payout window.
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