"Fade the Hilton" WEEK 12

point spreads from Hilton contest. number of times selected in ( ). current (Saturday) LVS Superbook (former Hilton) point spread in [ ]. "contra" = least selected team vs most selected team. *** = Thursday Night Game. for some reason BOTH teams in Thusday games tend to be "least selected" SO go to next least on list. cover = lose but cover point spread. DNC = win BUT did not cover point spread.

there is NO "Secret Squirrel" or "inside information" here. there are numerous Sports web sites that post the information. just Google the contest.

WEEK 12

5 Most Selected
@ Patriots +2 1/2 [+2 1/2] (315) vs Broncos
@ Cardinals -2 1/2 [-3] (282) vs Colts
Cowboys +2 1/2 [+3 -120] (276) @ Giants
Steelers +2 [+2] (265) @ Browns
49ers -5 1/2 [-5] (256) @ Redskins

5 Least Selected
@ Texans -10 [-10] (61) vs Jaguars
Saints -9 (65) @ Falcons *** DNC 17-13
@ Falcons +9 (82) vs Saints *** cover 13-17
@ Raiders -1 [pick] (92) vs Titans
@ Packers -5 [-4 1/2] (92) vs Vikings
@ Redskins +5 1/2 [+5] (103) vs 49ers} tie 5th spot
@ Lions -9 [-9] (103) vs Buccaneers} tie 5th spot

"Contra"
@ Redskins +5 vs 49ers

thru Week 11 the "Fades" are 38-15-2 (71.7%) on the contest odds and 40-13-2 (75.5%) on Saturday odds. the "Contra" is 10-6-1 (62.5%) on contest odds and 10-4-2 on Saturday odds (71.4%)

correct, CHANGCHANG SO you bet the other side which are in BOLD. Broncos, Colts, Giants, Browns, Redskins

also here are "Colin Cowflops Flaming Five" picks

Buccaneers +9 @ Lions 
Colts +2.5 @ Cardinals 
Cowboys +2.5 @ Giants <<<
49ers -5.5 @ Redskins <<<
@ Patriots +2.5 vs Broncos <<<

<<< = also a 5 Most Selected pick SO on "Fade the 5 + Fade Cowflop" the bet is Giants -3 even, Redskins +5 & Broncos -2 1/2

Cowflop on the 49ers + 49ers a 5 Most selected + Redskins a 5 least selected makes the Redskins an "I Triple Dog Dare Ya" bet (last one, the Cowboys @ Saints Week 10, went down in flames)

"Contra" is 10-6-1 (62.5%) on contest odds and 10-4-2 on Saturday odds (71.4%) should be 10-5-2 (66.7%)

sorry for the error

Thanks for posting this every week LeRinkRat

I know it takes time and effort every week. It is appreciated and quite astounding.

That being said, I've been pretty good at assessing the Niners this year. I was wrong on Seattle (they got killed) and Tennessee (they killed). Other than those, I've been pretty spot on. If I used the term GOY, I would use it on the Niners this week. Good luck in whatever you play.

Glad you can recognize that.  I am also sure you know how to spell the word biased, too.

then you personally win or lose by those BUT the only two spreads I use to track 'Fade the Hilton" is the contest spread and the Saturday LVS Superbook (former Hilton and the people who run the contest) spreads that are noted in [  ]

"Hilton Contest" is a misnomer. it is really now "The LVH SuperContest" BUT the Hilton name still "sticks" because it was that for so many years

Hump Day!

But you seem like you are trying to...

Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

Pats are the number one fade? What about the harsh weather in New England... does Peyton do well in New England in the wind and cold?  Historically he is a no show in the elements up there. 

Any comments along these lines? Yeah, I know how it has been a successful handicapping tool this year but... I guess you can't argue with success.

Uh, DENVER? NO snow or weather in DENVER?  

btw, DO what the FUKK you WANT. I just post the NUMBERS

think you have asked that question every week, BigRomes916. you are so "hot" for the answer, research it yourself. I am tired of "spoon feeding" people to lazy to do any work

Best of Luck and thanks.

Thanks for the info.

My Sunday Sith Sixpack:

Oakland + 1

Jax + 10

TB +9.5

Rams - 1

Steelers + 1

Vikings + 5

Burning question this week is whether the Jets curse to end up at 8-8 (no more and no less) by alternating wins and losses will continue.  Jets are first team in NFL history to go WLWLWLWLWL.