"Fade the Hilton" WEEK 8

Question

theory is to bet AGAINST the 5 most selected in the LVS Superbook (aka "Hilton") contest. thru Week 7 is 26-8-1

point spreads from Hilton contest. number of times selected in ( ). "contra" = least selected team vs most selected team. *** Thursday Night Game. for some reason BOTH teams in Thusday games tend to be "least selected" SO go to next least on list. COVER = lose but cover point spread. DNC = win BUT did not cover point spread.

5 most selected
Cowboys +3 1/2 [-3] (371) @ Lions
Seahawks -10 1/2 [-11] (357) @ Rams
@ Saints -11 1/2 [-11] (297) vs Bills
@ Vikings +9 1/2 [-9] (293) vs Packers
Falcons +2 1/2 [+2 1/2] (273) @ Cardinals

5 least selected
@ Buccaneers +8 (70) vs Panthers ***
@ Rams +10 1/2 [-11] (71) vs Seahawks
49ers -16 1/2 [-14 1/2] 1/2] (119) @ Jaguars
@ Jaguars +16 1/2 [+14 1/2] (121) vs 49ers
Bills +11 1/2 [+11] (125) @ Saints
Panthers -8 (129) @ Buccaneers ***
@ Broncos -12 1/2 [-11] (138) vs Redskins

"contra"
@ Rams +10 1/2
Bills +11 1/2

LeRinkRat · Answer

theory is to bet AGAINST the 5 most selected in the LVS Superbook (aka "Hilton") contest. thru Week 7 is 26-8-1

point spreads from Hilton contest. number of times selected in ( ). "contra" = least selected team vs most selected team. *** Thursday Night Game. for some reason BOTH teams in Thusday games tend to be "least selected" SO go to next least on list. COVER = lose but cover point spread. DNC = win BUT did not cover point spread.

5 most selected
Cowboys +3 1/2 [-3] (371) @ Lions
Seahawks -10 1/2 [-11] (357) @ Rams
@ Saints -11 1/2 [-11] (297) vs Bills
@ Vikings +9 1/2 [-9] (293) vs Packers
Falcons +2 1/2 [+2 1/2] (273) @ Cardinals

5 least selected
@ Buccaneers +8 (70) vs Panthers ***
@ Rams +10 1/2 [-11] (71) vs Seahawks
49ers -16 1/2 [-14 1/2] 1/2] (119) @ Jaguars
@ Jaguars +16 1/2 [+14 1/2] (121) vs 49ers
Bills +11 1/2 [+11] (125) @ Saints
Panthers -8 (129) @ Buccaneers ***
@ Broncos -12 1/2 [-11] (138) vs Redskins

"contra"
@ Rams +10 1/2
Bills +11 1/2

LeRinkRat · Answer

current (Saturday) point spreead in [ ]&#xD;&#xA;"CC on Ice" (Colin Cowherd) picks Week 8&#xD;&#xA;Jets (&#x2B;6.5) @ Bengals@ Vikings (&#x2B;9) vs PackersFalcons (&#x2B;2.5) @ Cardinals@ Patriots (-6.5) vs DolphinsSteelers (-2.5) @ Raiders&#xD;&#xA;"hybred contra" (a Top 5 Hilton pick also picked by Cowherd)&#xD;&#xA;Packers -9Cardinals -2 1/2

LeRinkRat · Answer

Cowboys &#x2B;3 1/2 [-3] (371) @ Lions = "typo fukkup". should be &#x2B;3 current odds

LeRinkRat · Answer

well that is what happens when you get in a freeking rush. Vikings current also incorrect. should obviously be [&#x2B;9]

Riceboi · Answer

I wonder if betting against the top 5 Hilton picks will ever regress?

BLAK_MAMBA · Answer

Vikings top 5 most selected?  Damn!

Louis_IV · Answer

thanks rat

Irisheric777 · Answer

Packers are still a 70 percent public play aside from that contestI think the Vikings will cover though

LeRinkRat · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by Irisheric777] Packers are still a 70 percent public play aside from that contest&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;I think the Vikings will cover though&#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA;the Hilton players and Colin "Cowflop" will be happy

Bart_ · Answer

thanks. good luck

HoldingXYZ · Answer

WHAT IN THE WORLD WOULD I DO WITHOUT FADES!!!!GOD BLESS AMERICA

BigRomes916 · Answer

Where do you get these numbers at?  Is it online?  Thanks!

MonstarsInYoGrill · Answer

LeRinkRat,I find this whole thing kind of confusing.  I apologize if I&#x27;m making a simple thing complicated, but are you just always fading the top selected picks?

LeRinkRat · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;I think I answer that same question from you (or someone else) every week. there is NO "Secret Squirrel" or "inside information" involved &#xD;&#xA;numbers come out Saturday afternoon @ https://www.thespread.com/nfl-super-contest-picks-from-the-las-vegas-hilton#.UmymSBTn-Dg. copy and save it somewhere &#xD;&#xA;I find this whole thing kind of confusing.  I apologize if I&#x27;m making a simple thing complicated, but are you just always fading the top selected picks?&#xD;&#xA;WHAT is "confusing" about "bet AGAINST the 5 most selected in the LVS Superbook (aka "Hilton") contest"? (first sentence in the thread)

mafia13 · Answer

Rat what are your plays for this week?

LeRinkRat · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;Oh for GOD SAKES!!! &#xD;&#xA;HOW much CLEARER does it NEED to BE?

BigRomes916 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by LeRinkRat]  &#xD;&#xA;I think I answer that same question from you (or someone else) every week. there is NO "Secret Squirrel" or "inside information" involved &#xD;&#xA;numbers come out Saturday afternoon @ https://www.thespread.com/nfl-super-contest-picks-from-the-las-vegas-hilton#.UmymSBTn-Dg. copy and save it somewhere &#xD;&#xA;I find this whole thing kind of confusing.  I apologize if I&#x27;m making a simple thing complicated, but are you just always fading the top selected picks?&#xD;&#xA;WHAT is "confusing" about "bet AGAINST the 5 most selected in the LVS Superbook (aka "Hilton") contest"? (first sentence in the thread) &#xD;&#xA;   [/Quote]Apologize if you posted before.  Thank you!

scaracas51 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by LeRinkRat]  current (Saturday) point spreead in [ ]&#xD;&#xA;"CC on Ice" (Colin Cowherd) picks Week 8&#xD;&#xA;Jets (&#x2B;6.5) @ Bengals@ Vikings (&#x2B;9) vs PackersFalcons (&#x2B;2.5) @ Cardinals@ Patriots (-6.5) vs DolphinsSteelers (-2.5) @ Raiders&#xD;&#xA;"hybred contra" (a Top 5 Hilton pick also picked by Cowherd)&#xD;&#xA;Packers -9Cardinals -2 1/2&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;   [/Quote]what is this??

DoubleDownBaby · Answer

wtf is a hybrid contra.....you seem frustrated by people asking questions to the post you created looking for feedback and attention.  Well if you stopped using stupid terms like "hybrid contra" maybe people would understand what you are saying.  Why don&#x27;t you write "posted plays:  GB and ARI" ? might be easier

bryanoens · Answer

can people read?thx for the breakdown lerinkrat

rlovsin17 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by LeRinkRat] &#xD;&#xA;"hybred contra" (a Top 5 Hilton pick also picked by Cowherd)&#xD;&#xA;Packers -9Cardinals -2 1/2&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA;Love it, already on em

SleepyDay · Answer

So does that mean ur playing SF - points or jags &#x2B; points ?

wynston731 · Answer

Have used this site for approx 6 mo. &amp; never had the need to comment till now! For those of you who don&#x27;t understand his method, how about you go back thru the thread and understand his theory, insteAd of blindly asking to be led and spoon fed u pathetic sheep! Baaaa!??

ALRebel · Answer

LeRinkRat....I have been taken data and some statistics for hilton top 5, also the Hilton's Top25 and there Top5 and now added in Colin's Blazing 5 and ran some numbers again. Here some stats you all can do whatever with, one's that stood out to me.

I only have data for the Hilton's Top25 Top5 since week 4, wish I had it for previous weeks but,

The Hilton's Overall Top 5 WHEN NOT Selected in Top25 Top 5 is 3-8, this week(Take Opposite):
NO -11.5
Atl +2.5
(These were selected as part of Overall Top5 but not in the Top 25's Top 5)

The Top 25's Bottom 5 NOT IN Overall Bottom 5 is 3-12, this week:
Car -6
GB -9.5
NYG +5.5
(Take Opposite)

Top 25's Top 5 NOT IN Overall's Top 5 is 12-6, this week:
Oakland +2.5
Cin -6.5

Overall Top 5 Pick is 1-6
Overall Top 25 Top Pick is 1-3, this week's pick is Min +9.5.

Overall Top 5, Top 25 Top 5 and Colin ALL Agree is 0-3, this week they agree on:
Atl +2.5
(Take Opposite)

Overall Top 5 is same as Colin's 5 is 3-13, this week:
Min +9
Atl +2.5
(Take Opposite)

I am posting this stuff as reference only.

"Fade the Hilton" WEEK 8

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