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from a bookie's perspective>>>my players are all over....

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Posted: #1

my players are all over baltimore...

 

as of now, 163 ticks with baltimore...7 with kc...same with moneylines...teasers... this usually spells trouble for them.

KANSAS CITY +3 is my play

 
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Posted: #2

Maybe right but publictook a beating on everything but the saints over! So i think they give us a gift with Bal then the over in GB. Take my word.

 

 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by Redman910:

Maybe right but publictook a beating on everything but the saints over! So i think they give us a gift with Bal then the over in GB. Take my word.

 

 

No bookie is giving gifts. Take my word.

 
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Posted: #4
baltimore moneyline...balt wins by 1-3 points 
 
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Posted: #5

 
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Posted: #6

Quote Originally Posted by Woodd2:

baltimore moneyline...balt wins by 1-3 points 

 

There is a decent probability that this game will be decided by a FG.

 
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Posted: #7
or if you think about it how say baltimore puts up a td where kc will put up 2 fgs to make the game 7-6 .. now that will change the course of the game entirely because we will have a 2 pt conversion at some point if balt stays ahead and if kc is threatening in the fourth quarter... if kc doesnt get it kc will lose by 2 , screwing all backers of baltimore -3.... therefore i do not see Balt losing this game straight up.. just lay the extra juice people, these boys have been to the afc championship 2 years in a row and are licking their lips to get their again 
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by streakfreak:

There is a decent probability that this game will be decided by a FG.

That is my feeling right now, I see a FG winning this game, I would love to see the line go to +3.5 for the Chefs but 70% on Balt and it still isn't moving.....

 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by jrhdgolf9:

That is my feeling right now, I see a FG winning this game, I would love to see the line go to +3.5 for the Chefs but 70% on Balt and it still isn't moving.....

 

I don't see it happen. If it goes to 3.5 you'll probably need to pay something like -120 to get the +3.5

 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by streakfreak:

my players are all over baltimore...

 

as of now, 163 ticks with baltimore...7 with kc...same with moneylines...teasers... this usually spells trouble for them.

KANSAS CITY +3 is my play

that is my main concern - got it in early here at Balty  - 1 so hopefully I will be ahead of the steam- thanks for the info, looks like you have lots of players- congrats
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by streakfreak:

 

No bookie is giving gifts. Take my word.



1) i don't really trust this info...
2) i don't care who the bookies need to win, they aren't good gamblers, either... just capitalists...
3) the Chiefs blow chunks!
 
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Posted: #12

 

     So if Ravens win by, lets say seven, you leave town?

                           

 
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Posted: #13
Most Books make money on juice...they don't "choose" teams, unless they want to protect themselves
 
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Posted: #14
 
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Posted: #15

Quote Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:



1) i don't really trust this info...
2) i don't care who the bookies need to win, they aren't good gamblers, either... just capitalists...
3) the Chiefs blow chunks!

 

He never said he was a good gambler.  All he said was when he has this must action one way it is usually not good for them.  And this is very true.

 

I agree.. vegas is not in the "gift" giving business.  They just want equal action.  Sometimes the public doesn't see it that way.

 
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Posted: #16
streakfreak
 
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Posted: #17
Bigfnpoo says KC
 
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Posted: #18
If your a book you already have KC 163 times
 
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Posted: #19
Good luck today.......................
 
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Posted: #20
Who you?
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by moneymatters:

If your a book you already have KC 163 times
I thought man there is something wrong with this picture. 
 
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Posted: #22

Quote Originally Posted by hit_a_parlay:

Most Books make money on juice...they don't "choose" teams, unless they want to protect themselves

That bookies only win money on "juice" is one of the biggest  MYTHS around. Many games are onesided. Some are won and some are lost, but most are won by the book!!!  Books also care whether you win or lose. He is running a business and if you are beating him regularly he WILL CUT YOU OFF.

 
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Posted: #23
BALTIMORE  RAVENS
 
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Posted: #24
Lang and Budin are on BALT.
 
 
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Posted: #25

Quote Originally Posted by retire_early:

Lang and Budin are on BALT.

KC all the way

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