Quote Originally Posted by dimsumsu:
Also, its not every single bet on board. I actually play about 2 to 4 games during week day days and 10 to 15 games during weekends days. I break down a lot games and use an elimination process to play the best games. Believe it or not there have been days where i didn't play any games because none of the games had value/edge on my estimate. The end result is 75 units flat betting 1 unit a game. That is a Yield of just over 3% after 2500 bets. it seems small but it is pretty hard to achieve that and takes a lot of work. Betting $100 per game gives $7500 and $1000 per game gives $75000 for the year.
Now if you flat bet your so called 65% record for the past 2 years at $1000 it would have produced just under 10k.
This is a good one.
First it was about Scal's record.
"Ah your record can't be true! It's too good! No one has such a record. Yeah, it is that good? Well what the hell have you done for me lately you good-for-nothing-free write-ups-for-all-to-read capper!"
Then when they get called out on THEIR record (Dimsum is an admitted 53% capper over TWENTY FIVE HUNDRED SELECTIONS IN A YEAR, a number so incredible nebulous stars explode in distant galaxies at the aftershock of such betting tendencies), then it's not about the record, it's all about the MOOLAH.
Ah, look at me! 75K a year baby! You're under 10K a year!
Several problems with this.
1. I never cared or said anything about how much I bet. I cared about bringing what I know to the covers community. Because you could bet $5 or $5,000 and as has been said many times, those amounts and their values are relative to the bettor.
2. I don't flat bet. You think I flat bet St. John's vs. Tulane after they lose to Delaware State? That rock bottom angle may happen once every 7 or 8 years, maybe more. I'm not leaving a once in a decade angle on the table with a flat bet.
I have to vary my bets and I vary them accordingly. Nightly NBA games with thin angles are not bet the same as POY's in NCAA Football (which I crushed this year for all to take advantage of with Memphis stepping on SMU like a Marlboro Lights cigarette under a pair of $350 Bruno Magli shoes ---that's an OJ trial reference if you care).
3. I know several people who have the same systems (but not even close to your ridiculous sample-size).
NONE OF THEM have approached the profit levels of which you speak. If they did, I would tail them because I have access to all their picks. That is part of the reason I cap the way I do which is largely unconventional.
4. Finally, you system requires the discipline to avoid leaks, that is, the leakage when there is a game you really like or a high profile game you want to bet more on.
Again I know several people who have the same system types. NONE of them were able to avoid this leakage. NONE of them. One of the cappers I know, who spent a year making a profit of 10K, BET HIS ENTIRE ROLL on one in-game fourth quarter bet of a Packer game.
Now is there ANYTHING ELSE because I feel like Gene Wilder in Willy Wonka shoeing away Charlie Bucket and his grandpa after they drank the Fizzy Lifting Drink and contaminated my Chocolate Factory.
GOOD DAY TROLL! YOU GET NOTHING!