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Great Prop Bet tonight based on New Personel

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Posted: #1
Haven't posted in a while, but this bet if fantastic.

Miami QB's over 21.5 completions. -110

Based on last years offensive and defensive statistics, the expected completions is 24.5.  Also the patriots add Hayneworth next to Willfork to stop the run.  The dolphins lose Brown and Williams to free agency and are left with a back, Reggie Bush, who already can't run between the tackles.  Miami's backup RB's leave something to be desired.  Miami will most likely be behind and throwing.  And there starting RB is going to catch more passes than their previous players. Also there is no injury risk, as the prop reads miami qbs, not Chad Henne.  Pound It!!

-G4H
 
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Posted: #2
Good luck on your play. I like this one a bit myself. The key thing here is Miami will probably be behind in the game and will have to throw. New England's secondary isn't that great. I'm still wondering how I pulled out Romo's completions over 21 1/2 last night. I had it marked down as a loser but got there with about 30 seconds left in the game. Let's hope this one isn't quite that close.
 
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Posted: #3
What about Brady over 22,5...I think its a safer bet, what you guys think?
 
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Posted: #4

Quote Originally Posted by kevalev:

What about Brady over 22,5...I think its a safer bet, what you guys think?

Yep

 
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Posted: #5

Quote Originally Posted by kevalev:

What about Brady over 22,5...I think its a safer bet, what you guys think?

Harder I think. They like to run the ball a little bit more these days...However they don't have a true deep threat which they used to love to throw deep to moss cutting completions. I think it should hit over 22.5 but you never know.

The miami one does scare me a little bit because you never know if they will actually get it to there WR's.

 
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Posted: #6

I wish you Good Luck on your play but I'm certain this play will lose.  The Dolphins will run Bush 22-25 times tonight and Chad Henne sucks.

Good Luck in whatever you play.

 
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Posted: #7
Played it on 5Dimes

I think the Brady over will cash, not too sure about Henne but probable, risking about $13 to win $10 on both!

Best of Luck erbody and lets have a great game!


 
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Posted: #8
looking good for Henne so far...
 
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Posted: #9
Seems like I've made 2 great $10 bets lol!
 
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Posted: #10
 
 
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Posted: #11

This ended up being a pretty solid play, but it was closer than the 30 completions in the box score.  I grade it B+.
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