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Hagyt's NFL Picks

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Posted: #1
Hey all, been posting my picks and I figure I'd make a post on each forum to separate each sport.. my NFL hasn't been as spot on as my NCAAF, but I feel pretty good about my picks this Sunday.. really really good.. so take em or leave em, but here's what I have for now:

Sunday 11/2
1) Dallas Cowboys / Minnesota Vikings o48 (just mediocre to below average defenses on both sides imo)
2) St. Louis Rams +3 over Tennessee Titans
3) San Diego Chargers -1 over Washington Redskins
4) Buffalo Bills +4 over Kansas CIty Chiefs.. (I think this might be the week that KC loses.. but I'll take the points)
5) New England Patriots -6.5 over Pittsburgh Steelers
6) Houston Texans +2.5 over Indianapolis Colts (Feel strongest about this one.. I keep my units the same for all my picks though, but I like this one the most)


Feel free to drop in your opinions / comments / questions if you have any.. I might add one more after I decide how I want to play that Saints game.. as always, BOL to all!
 
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Posted: #2
I love your Houston and Buffalo picks.

Yes the Chiefs are like a ripe, ripe fruit on the tallest branch of the tree. They are due to plummet to the earth and this week is as good a time as any.

I have zero idea of how the Texans will win that game but the line is the indicator for me. Behind the curtain... they know the answer.
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

I love your Houston and Buffalo picks.

Yes the Chiefs are like a ripe, ripe fruit on the tallest branch of the tree. They are due to plummet to the earth and this week is as good a time as any.


Yeah, man.. I definitely like the Bills this week, almost as much as I like Houston.. they always give the opposing team a hard time at home.. every game has been real close for them.. hard not to take them.
 
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Posted: #4

Dont like the Rams cause of Clemens. Ok they be the square play but I cant back Kellen Clemens with hard earned money. I'd be really pissed if Titans covered cause of a costly Clemens error. Rams coming off a heartbreaker its Titans or no play.

I like KC this week. They have been poor these past few weeks and I think they make a statement. Agree with the rest

 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by Mack05:

Dont like the Rams cause of Clemens. Ok they be the square play but I cant back Kellen Clemens with hard earned money. I'd be really pissed if Titans covered cause of a costly Clemens error. Rams coming off a heartbreaker its Titans or no play.



Yeah I'll agree with you about Clemens.. he's not exactly "wow" QB, but I mostly went with Rams for their defense, plus getting 3 points as home feels like a lot. Anything can happen, defense can force turnovers and we know "legatron" can kick long FG's.. Tennessee's defense is pretty solid too, so I'm really expecting it to be a 16-13 type final score.
 
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Posted: #6

I agree with your points actually but can the Rams defense by that good on a six day tuirnaround on an emotional loss? Were they that good before Seattle? Dallas, San Fran, Atlanta all scored over 30 points on them.

I think your analysis of the game though is pretty pot on, I just feel a Clemens error will decide this. Titans ML is probably the safest play in this game..

 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by Mack05:

I agree with your points actually but can the Rams defense by that good on a six day tuirnaround on an emotional loss? Were they that good before Seattle? Dallas, San Fran, Atlanta all scored over 30 points on them.

I think your analysis of the game though is pretty pot on, I just feel a Clemens error will decide this. Titans ML is probably the safest play in this game..



haha you might be right, but i hope you're wrong.. i've already placed them all since I'm going to be busy all night tonight. always appreciate others insight/thoughts though. Good luck on your own picks
 
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Posted: #8
Tuel is starting for the Bills not sure y every one is on Buff . Un drafted  rookie against Kc D .....yikes 
 
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Posted: #9
I think I might add Philly over Oakland tomorrow, I'll be back to post again when it's final.
 
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Posted: #10
Hey guys, adding one more pick to the card, here's the new list:

Sunday 11/2
1) Dallas Cowboys / Minnesota Vikings o48
2) St. Louis Rams +3 over Tennessee Titans
3) San Diego Chargers -1 over Washington Redskins
4) Buffalo Bills +4 over Kansas CIty Chiefs
5) New England Patriots -6.5 over Pittsburgh Steelers
6) Houston Texans +2.5 over Indianapolis Colts

7) New Orleans Saints -6.5 over New York Jets


Good luck tomorrow, guys.
 
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Posted: #11
Yuck, didn't do too hot yesterday... had a few pretty tough losses; especially with Chargers (worst play calling I've seen in a while), and that Texans game.. odd call not electing to make a 50-yard kick attempt @ the end there..

I usually stay really disciplined (always same unit size per bet), but I like this one a lot for tonight's MNF.. gonna make it a double:

Monday 11/4 (YTD: 2-5-0)
1) Chicago Bears / Green Bay Packers u51

Good luck y'guys.
 
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Posted: #12
I told ya about the Rams dude..ive already UNLOADED colts -10
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by Mack05:

I told ya about the Rams dude..ive already UNLOADED colts -10


Yeah, you were right. It was a pretty close game until the end, I might go with that -10 this week though, line's gotta be that high for a reason, right?
 
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Posted: #14
Thursday 11/7 (YTD 3-5-0):
1) Minnesota Vikings +1 over Washington Redskins

BOL today guys!
 
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Posted: #15
Sunday NFL Picks 11/10 (YTD: 4-5-0):
1) New York Giants -7.5 over Oakland Raiders
2) St Louis Rams +9.5 over Indianapolis Colts
3) San Francisco 49ers -6 over Carolina Panthers


BOL to all! lets get emmmm
 
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Posted: #16
adding: 

Baltimore Ravens / Cincinnati Bengals o44
St Louis Rams +7.5 over Indianapolis Colts

making that rams play a double... the line dropped to +7.5.. i'd still take them though. loving that reverse line movement.
 
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Posted: #17
 
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Posted: #18

Green bay 

Baltimore

BEST OF LUCK  

 
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Posted: #19
lol so many opening drive fumbles to lead to a TD today
 
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Posted: #20
Monday NFL Picks 11/11:
1) Miami Dolphins / Tampa Bay Buccaneers u39.5

...feel pretty good about this one, making it a double. BOL tonight!
 
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Posted: #21
Thursday NFL Picks 11/14:
1) Tennessee Titans +3 over Indianapolis Colts
 
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Posted: #22
Adding to Thursday 11/14:
2) 1H: Tennessee Titans / Indianapolis Colts u21
 
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Posted: #23
Thursday NFL Picks 11/17 (YTD 6-9-1):
1) Tampa Bay Buccaneers PK over Atlanta Falcons
2) San Francisco 49ers +3 over New Orleans Saints
3) Oakland Raiders +9 over Houston Texans
4) Baltimore Ravens +3 over Chicago Bears
5) New York Giants -4 over Green Bay Packers
6) Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 over Washington Redskins

yowza, big card tomorrow.. best of luck to everyone else! Feel really strong about buccs tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #24
not a bad day.. damn those two pushes lol. adding one more for SNF


Sunday NFL Picks 11/17:
7) Kansas City Chiefs / Denver Broncos u49
 
 
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Posted: #25
did really well yesterday.. let's keep it rolling!

Monday NFL Pick 11/18 (YTD: 11-9-3):
1) New England Patriots / Carolina Panthers u46.5


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