let's try this again..the last post lost my comments....I have a 6 team parlay with SD - 3.5 to go....$10 to win $439....Is this a no brainer to bet $450 to win on Denver??
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
10/18/09 05:48 ET
Result: Pending
Chargers(SanDiego)
10/19/09(20:40 ET) Chargers(SanDiego) -3.5 (even)
Seahawks(Seattle)
10/18/09(16:10 ET) Cardinals(Arizona) +3 (-120)
Redskins(Washington) 6
10/18/09(13:05 ET) Chiefs(KansasCity) +6
Saints(NewOrleans) 48
10/18/09(13:05 ET) Saints(NewOrleans) -3 (-120)
Vikings(Minnesota) 33
10/18/09(13:05 ET) Ravens(Baltimore) +3 (-120)
Bengals(Cincinnati) 17
10/18/09(13:05 ET) Texans(Houston) +5.5
let's try this again..the last post lost my comments....I have a 6 team parlay with SD - 3.5 to go....$10 to win $439....Is this a no brainer to bet $450 to win on Denver??
If you bet $450 on Denver, and they don't cover, you win the $439 parlay card but you lose the $450... so you haven't hedged anything... you've actually lost money.
What you probably want to do is to bet $250 or so (minus the juice) on Denver +3.5, guaranteeing yourself a profit either way. This is what most people here will tell you. (I never hedge, nor do I put myself in a position to do so.)
Advice for next time - if you are going to play a parlay, never add the final leg of the card that plays on a different day, ESPECIALLY if you want to hedge!
What you should have done was just play a 5-team parlay card.
Based upon my parlay calculator and your posted vigs, it would paid $224.58. (Won $214.58) You would then already be up a guaranteed $214.58 and you wouldn't have to pay any more juice to "hedge."
But if desired of course, you could still have "parlayed" all of that yourself on the Chargers, at -3.5 (even), risking $224.58 to win $224.58, for the same net result... a win of $439.
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If you bet $450 on Denver, and they don't cover, you win the $439 parlay card but you lose the $450... so you haven't hedged anything... you've actually lost money.
What you probably want to do is to bet $250 or so (minus the juice) on Denver +3.5, guaranteeing yourself a profit either way. This is what most people here will tell you. (I never hedge, nor do I put myself in a position to do so.)
Advice for next time - if you are going to play a parlay, never add the final leg of the card that plays on a different day, ESPECIALLY if you want to hedge!
What you should have done was just play a 5-team parlay card.
Based upon my parlay calculator and your posted vigs, it would paid $224.58. (Won $214.58) You would then already be up a guaranteed $214.58 and you wouldn't have to pay any more juice to "hedge."
But if desired of course, you could still have "parlayed" all of that yourself on the Chargers, at -3.5 (even), risking $224.58 to win $224.58, for the same net result... a win of $439.
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