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Hollywood's NFL Box Office -- Week 1

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Posted: #1
Starting with something nice and simple this year...

Bengals -4

Lots of people thinking the Bengals are going to be a playoff team this year, and I'm inclined to agree. However, this pick is more of a pick against Denver than for Cincinatti. Even with Orton (which they likely won't have), this is a team in shambles. New Coach, on the road, with a team that traded away it's franchise quarterback = ATS loss.

Still looking at some others...

Best of luck this season
 
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Posted: #2
You are getting the worst #.....if you liked em you should of got them at +3......line is now bengals -4.5
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by meem:

You are getting the worst #.....if you liked em you should of got them at +3......line is now bengals -4.5


I agree the number is not ideal. That being said Denver is an auto-fade team until they can prove otherwise. Really don't think this one's going to be that close.
 
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Posted: #4
Looks like Orton might play - he still sucks, but I'm just saying

I like this play, but gonna stay away and see what Cincy has got - they should be improved

bol - 
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by tito40:

Looks like Orton might play - he still sucks, but I'm just saying

I like this play, but gonna stay away and see what Cincy has got - they should be improved

bol - 


Orton playing makes no difference to me. GL with your plays tito
 
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Posted: #6
adding...

Patriots -10 (hook)

Bills offense was atrocious this pre-season (take that for what it's worth). I for one, choose to fade them until proven otherwise for this reason. The Pats offense, on the other hand, should be its usual explosive self. They have concerns on the D (with a few key vets now gone) but again, the Bills were so bad I don't see this being an issue. Opening on Monday Night should have the NE crowd roaring.
 
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Posted: #7
GL this week!!!
 
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Posted: #8
Target Same to you.
 
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Posted: #9

bol

just watch out for corell, he can run.

 

 
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Posted: #10
jimmy
 
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Posted: #11
adding...

Texans -4 (hook)

Really like whats going on down in Houston. If MS can stay healthy these guys will challenge for the division. Home opener against a rookie QB => win, in my humble opinion. And with the Jets missing some key components on defense this week, the Texans' high-powered offense should be able to move up and down the field relatively easily.


 
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Posted: #12
card so far...

Texans -4
Bengals -4
Patriots -10

more coming...
 
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Posted: #13
added...

Pitt -6

before the game started.


 
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Posted: #14
adding...

Saints -13

This is a huge number for them to cover, I know. But taking into consideration N.O.'s high-powered offense and adding in Matt Stafford starting his first real NFL game against an improved Saints D to that, I'm happy to lay the wood here. The Lions have no defensive weapons to stop New Orleans, and Calvin Johnson would have been better off having Culpepper throw him the rock. Stafford's going to get better, but not that quick with this shotty Lions team.

 
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by Mr_Hollywood:

Starting with something nice and simple this year...

Bengals -4

Lots of people thinking the Bengals are going to be a playoff team this year, and I'm inclined to agree. However, this pick is more of a pick against Denver than for Cincinatti. Even with Orton (which they likely won't have), this is a team in shambles. New Coach, on the road, with a team that traded away it's franchise quarterback = ATS loss.

Still looking at some others...

Best of luck this season




No you didn't... 
 
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Posted: #16

...I think the Broncos will win this game outright, for as much as you might despise the Broncos too much has been made of their preseason.

Yes they do have a bad quarterback and defense but they still have a great offensive line and the ability to run the ball.  Marshall will most likely be playing making him the most explosive player in the matchup.

Everyone is so will to lay points with one of the consistently worst teams in the NFL...not me, not no way, not no how.


Broncos +4.5 for me.
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by Jim_Tressel:


...I think the Broncos will win this game outright, for as much as you might despise the Broncos too much has been made of their preseason.

Yes they do have a bad quarterback and defense but they still have a great offensive line and the ability to run the ball.  Marshall will most likely be playing making him the most explosive player in the matchup.

Everyone is so will to lay points with one of the consistently worst teams in the NFL...not me, not no way, not no how.


Broncos +4.5 for me.


Appreciate your insight JT.

For me it comes down to how are the Broncos going to consistently move the ball in this match-up. Offensive line aside, the Bengals could easily stack the box and make which-ever QB Denver has going Sunday beat them. My money is on them not being able to do so. I just don't see them keeping up offensively with Palmer and that receiving corps on the road.

GL with your plays
 
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Posted: #18
updated card...

Texans -4
Bengals -4
Patriots -10
Pitt -6
Saints -13


 
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Posted: #19
Texans look good, Jets should have a rough year.
 
BOL
 
I HATE Denver.......one of the worst teams I've ever bet on or against......I HATE them
 
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Posted: #20
SAINTS -13? THATS TOO MUCH FOR NOLA

THEY HAVENT PROVED ANYTHING AND THEY ARE DOWN TO REGGIE PUSS AND MIKE BELL.

LIONS WILL KEEP IT CLOSE
 
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Posted: #21
Denver will be one of the worst 5 teams in the NFL this year while the much improved Bengals will compete for a wildcard
 
Palmer is back and Henry/Benson look ready for a breakout year. Now that they have a good defense (top 15 easily, im predicting top 10 this year) so they should make quick work of denver
 
Im thinking something like 24-9
 
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Posted: #22
Bengals...BOL the rest of the way!!
 
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Posted: #23
I have to agree with mc843 on this game.

What is amazing to me is that bad as Detroit was last year they did cover 7 times against the number. 
imagine that - a winless team covering almost 50 percent 
They have covered as a double digit dog very well.  
11-2 as a dog over 8 pts 

The Saints, who are clearly better, are not the greatest cover team especially with such high wood. this game seem to easy 

Detroit plays in a dome and they are sure to be up for this game after last years debacle. They will be playing with a very Big Chip on their shoulders and they have a lot to prove

And lastly, even the bad teams play well early as everyone has hope and optimism at this time.

example. The Lions are  5-1 ATS in week 1 

Like the other plays!! 


 
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Posted: #24
Kubrick

MC -- agreed it's a huge number, but it's also a rookie QB on the road...making his first real start...for just a terrible team

6Pack -- Denver should be thankful their division is so horrid. Their only wins are coming to teams like KC and Oakland.

Island

Gold_Rush -- I'm aware of the trend, but that Lions team had experience at the QB position that allowed them to stay within manageable distances of opponents. Stafford is going to make his fair share of mistakes before he gets better and I think NO will make him pay.


 
 
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Posted: #25
Dogs I am waiting for good lines on...

Carolina -- will likely be on this one as long as they are a home dog. Up to +3 at Bodog, hoping for 3.5

Washington -- 7 probably, 7.5 definitely

San Fran -- would like to get 7 considering the Cardinals offensive attack

Jacksonville -- 7, hoping for 7.5 thought

Chicago -- already up to 4.5 in some places. Tremendous value at anything over 3, so I'll likely be firing on this one as well.


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