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I'm going with the best defense and that is the Eagles

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Posted: #26

Eagles won't see a SB in the next 5 years or longer 

 
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Posted: #27

Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:

@DogbiteWilliams You were wrong on that. Congrats.

Thanks for the congratulations which I deserved.

I lost three regular bets - PHL SU, PHL ATS and Under.  That fumble made KC a SU and ATS winner.  PHL outgained KC from scrimmage by a wide margin.

I won all three of my prop bets fading Mahomes because I accurately figured PHL's #1 passing DEF would control Mahomes to a degree.  I had Mahomes Under 292.5 yards for 1.5 units (my only non-1-unit wager).  He only gained 182 yards.

On Saturday I took Hurts +51 yards vs. Mahomes.  Hurts gained 304 yards so I squeaked by with a tiny edge of 173 yards.  On game day it had risen to Hurts +52.5 yards so I added another unit and finished with a small profit despite the costly turnover.

By the way, if you can accurately predict the turnover differential you are a better handicapper than I am and you'd have a license to print money.  The Sports Database has playoff data all the way back to the 2001 season.  Playoff teams with more turnovers in a PO game are 42-147-6 ATS, covering only 22.2% of the time.

 
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Posted: #28

Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269: @DogbiteWilliams You were wrong on that. Congrats.

 

Thanks for the congratulations which I deserved.

I lost three regular bets - PHL SU, PHL ATS and Under. That fumble made KC a SU and ATS winner. PHL outgained KC from scrimmage by a wide margin.

I won all three of my prop bets fading Mahomes because I accurately figured PHL's #1 passing DEF would control Mahomes to a degree. I had Mahomes Under 292.5 yards for 1.5 units (my only non-1-unit wager). He only gained 182 yards.

On Saturday I took Hurts +51 yards vs. Mahomes. Hurts gained 304 yards so I squeaked by with a tiny edge of 173 yards. On game day it had risen to Hurts +52.5 yards so I added another unit and finished with a small profit despite the costly turnover.

By the way, if you can accurately predict the turnover differential you are a better handicapper than I am and you'd have a license to print money. The Sports Database has playoff data all the way back to the 2001 season. Playoff teams with more turnovers in a PO game are 42-147-6 ATS, covering only 22.2% of the time.

 

an_cheers

 
 
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Posted: #29

@fubah2

 peace_5

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