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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    In week 9, The Rams were -2 @ New Orleans, Now they are +3.5, WTF?

    SwishSwish1234
    VGPOP
    njsupreme1
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    SwishSwish1234
    SwishSwish1234
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 6:43 AM ET #1

    What's changed so much in favor of New Orleans since then?

    Go back and watch that game, The Rams were a bad call away from making it 21-14 in the 2nd q. Does Brees' and Payton's experience of crunch playoff football make them that superior over the young duo of Goff and Mcvay?

    p.s. I know the line is officially -3, -120 but in essence it's 3.5 as you can buy the hook on the Rams for reasonable juice.
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    What's changed so much in favor of New Orleans since then?

    Go back and watch that game, The Rams were a bad call away from making it 21-14 in the 2nd q. Does Brees' and Payton's experience of crunch playoff football make them that superior over the young duo of Goff and Mcvay?

    p.s. I know the line is officially -3, -120 but in essence it's 3.5 as you can buy the hook on the Rams for reasonable juice.
     
    VGPOP
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 7:26 AM ET #2

    You're basing this line based on what they did in regular season until now?. Weird approach.

    But I have the answer.

    Saints have gone 8-1 (I am removing week 17 game since it meant nothing for them and starters rested)

    Rams have gone 6-2 in the same span (I am including their week 17 game because it meant something for their seeding).

    So, there you have it.

    Saints with better record after week 9, they are at home, and beat Rams in the same building by 10.

    Line is perfect.

     

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    You're basing this line based on what they did in regular season until now?. Weird approach.

    But I have the answer.

    Saints have gone 8-1 (I am removing week 17 game since it meant nothing for them and starters rested)

    Rams have gone 6-2 in the same span (I am including their week 17 game because it meant something for their seeding).

    So, there you have it.

    Saints with better record after week 9, they are at home, and beat Rams in the same building by 10.

    Line is perfect.

     

     
    njsupreme1
    njsupreme1
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 7:38 AM ET #3

    The Rams were also undefeated at 8-0 when they played earlier.

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    The Rams were also undefeated at 8-0 when they played earlier.

     
    VGPOP
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 7:43 AM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by VGPOP:

    Saints have gone 8-1 (I am removing week 17 game since it meant nothing for them and starters rested)

    Sorry, the correct record is 7-1 (not 8-1).

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    Quote Originally Posted by VGPOP:

    Saints have gone 8-1 (I am removing week 17 game since it meant nothing for them and starters rested)

    Sorry, the correct record is 7-1 (not 8-1).

     
    SwishSwish1234
    SwishSwish1234
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 7:59 AM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by VGPOP:

    You're basing this line based on what they did in regular season until now?. Weird approach.

    But I have the answer.

    Saints have gone 8-1 (I am removing week 17 game since it meant nothing for them and starters rested)

    Rams have gone 6-2 in the same span (I am including their week 17 game because it meant something for their seeding).

    So, there you have it.

    Saints with better record after week 9, they are at home, and beat Rams in the same building by 10.

    Line is perfect.

     


    So what are you trying to say? That the Rams have digressed by 5 points during that time? Or the Saints have improved by 5 points in that time? I personally think the teams are dead equal, If not the Rams playing slightly better, Since that Dallas game the Saints offense has not been as dangerous as it was in that 4/5 game span were they tore everyone a new one.
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by VGPOP:

    You're basing this line based on what they did in regular season until now?. Weird approach.

    But I have the answer.

    Saints have gone 8-1 (I am removing week 17 game since it meant nothing for them and starters rested)

    Rams have gone 6-2 in the same span (I am including their week 17 game because it meant something for their seeding).

    So, there you have it.

    Saints with better record after week 9, they are at home, and beat Rams in the same building by 10.

    Line is perfect.

     


    So what are you trying to say? That the Rams have digressed by 5 points during that time? Or the Saints have improved by 5 points in that time? I personally think the teams are dead equal, If not the Rams playing slightly better, Since that Dallas game the Saints offense has not been as dangerous as it was in that 4/5 game span were they tore everyone a new one.
     
     
    VGPOP
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2019 - 8:53 AM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by SwishSwish1234:

    Quote Originally Posted by VGPOP:

    You're basing this line based on what they did in regular season until now?. Weird approach. But I have the answer. Saints have gone 8-1 (I am removing week 17 game since it meant nothing for them and starters rested) Rams have gone 6-2 in the same span (I am including their week 17 game because it meant something for their seeding). So, there you have it. Saints with better record after week 9, they are at home, and beat Rams in the same building by 10. Line is perfect.  
    So what are you trying to say? That the Rams have digressed by 5 points during that time? Or the Saints have improved by 5 points in that time? I personally think the teams are dead equal, If not the Rams playing slightly better, Since that Dallas game the Saints offense has not been as dangerous as it was in that 4/5 game span were they tore everyone a new one.

     

    I am not saying neither. But I gave you a reason as to why books may have adjusted this line to where it is. Remember, books don't care what my opinion or your opinion is on this game. They care about what the GENERAL public will think on this game and set a line accordingly to create an equilibrium in the money invested.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by SwishSwish1234:

    Quote Originally Posted by VGPOP:

    You're basing this line based on what they did in regular season until now?. Weird approach. But I have the answer. Saints have gone 8-1 (I am removing week 17 game since it meant nothing for them and starters rested) Rams have gone 6-2 in the same span (I am including their week 17 game because it meant something for their seeding). So, there you have it. Saints with better record after week 9, they are at home, and beat Rams in the same building by 10. Line is perfect.  
    So what are you trying to say? That the Rams have digressed by 5 points during that time? Or the Saints have improved by 5 points in that time? I personally think the teams are dead equal, If not the Rams playing slightly better, Since that Dallas game the Saints offense has not been as dangerous as it was in that 4/5 game span were they tore everyone a new one.

     

    I am not saying neither. But I gave you a reason as to why books may have adjusted this line to where it is. Remember, books don't care what my opinion or your opinion is on this game. They care about what the GENERAL public will think on this game and set a line accordingly to create an equilibrium in the money invested.

     

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