Is parity back? Or too early to tell

I'll never forget 1999

It's a stain on my soul that will last forever. That is the year that parity reared its ugly head only to stick around and change the way we handicap games for the next 9 years before we saw the resurgence of power teams, the haves and have nots.

 A little insight on me now that I have been handicapping games since the year 2000.

I started betting football in 1992 an 18 year old kid living in San Diego, we have close access to legal betting a quick 15 minute drive to Tijuana Mexico at caliente sports book now caliente casino race and sports book.

The reason I say I bet football games from 1992 to 1999 and handicap games from the year 2000 to present 2022 is 1999 opened a second hole in my a$$ 

Imagine you have teams that are almost automatic covers week in week out 

We had that in the mid 90s 

49ers with Montana then Steve Young

Broncos with John Elway 

Dallas Cowboys with Troy Aikman 

Green Bay Packers with Brett Farve 

And you had some up and coming and solid teams as well 

Patriots with Drew Bledsoe 

Jacksonville Jaguars with Mark Brunel 

Minnesota Vikings with Randal Cunningham and Randy Moss

Buffalo Bills with Doug Flutie 

If you were betting football in the mid 90s

You were laying the wood and getting paid with 1998 being the whopper of that era 

I recall a period of 9 out of 12 weeks 

If you four game parlayed 

Denver 

Green Bay

Minnesota

Jacksonville

You hit 

Then 1999 reared its ugly disgusting head 

I had won over 60k in 1998

Opened my first pizza place then and still had 15k in winnings left to pounce in 1999

The unthinkable happened 

Elway retired 

The broncos looked great opening week with Brian griese at qb vs the greatest show on turf 

This caused an over reaction of how good Denver was 

The jags went 14-2 losing both regular season games to an upstart but very boring Tennessee team 

But they only cover 6 of 10

Steve Young got murdered on the field because a murderer named Lawrence Philips missed a block 

Farve was trying to do it all by himself as his Superbowl core of players got old 

Vikings struggled so bad Randal Cunningham was replaced by Jeff George

Everything had turned upside down over night 

I had to relearn how to bet 

After getting my @$$ smoked that year 

I sat down and learned everything I could 

Years later I do this for fun now and I do okay 

No life changing money but I have fun and at the end of the year betting thousands a weeks I have enough for a family trip out of the country and all bills paid for the month we are gone 

After the start of this season 

I'm barely hanging with these games 

College has been great especially live betting totals 

The NFL has me thinking after the first 3 weeks I'm close to saying the 1999 remake is here but not ready to do so 

Anyone have opinions on this?

Sports betting is legal now. Every other commercial is promoting sports betting, luring in more people than ever before, and the lines are sharper than ever. I just had somebody at work tell me yesterday that their brother talked them into betting $1k on the buccaneers yesterday with Caesar’s promotion, since you get your first loss back. Now they’ll likely lose their next free play bet or lose it all back within the week. It’s not going to be easy like you are referring to, ever again. A lot of games, especially prime time, are manipulated in crucial spots to assist with a specific outcome. 
I remember basically fading the % on vegas insider betting on baseball totals about 10 years ago. Literally hit like 70% of the time. Can’t do that anymore.

@ThirtyThree

 Yes fading the public works well as well as rlm reverse line moves 

Example KC

 line dropped while entire planet was on them and they not only failed to cover but lost outright 

This year fading the public may work better than other years but remember 

The NFL will throw in a few good weeks for the public 

You gotta feed the fish if you want the meat 

@mafioso

Hold on, this used to be easy?

When did parity ever go away?

@ThirtyThree

 Damn. Listening to there brother and probably were clueless about the injury report or how inept Tampa has been moving the all the first 2 games smh 

@mafioso

 You did not go there with Jeff George! 

@undermysac

 Brother 

1998 was a squares wet dream 

It was like snorting cocaine off a strippers crack hole 

It's a myth and hasn't existed. The same teams are always the ones that win at the end. Always make playoffs. Always advance further. Always= more often.

So what , if now the weaker teams get more in season wins. Still doesn't matter in the end.

Parity is back because these asinine QB's want stupid money...Maholmes gotta get paid...So no Tyreke Hill.....Dak got paid..No Cooper/No OL....Rodgers got paid...So No Devante Adams..u gotta pay that defense and the OL Bahkatari who is the highest paid OL in the league...

 Lamar wants $350 Million and be the highest paid QB...Does he not want other players to help him out on the team?  

Brady is the only player who is taking a massive discount...And what if he was taking his full worst of say $45 Million a year...That is 3-4 starting players - $20 Million difference  from his $25 Million salary this year..

Parity exists but in the NFL , often the up and coming teams change year to year

@njsupreme1

 It's been gone since 2008

Packers you could rely on 

Patriots you could rely on 

Ravens you could rely on 

Seattle with Russel Wilson you could rely on 

Steelers you could rely on 

KC with mahomes and hill you could rely on 

Power teams made a resurgence

I think it's too early to tell 

But I think it's gone this year

live betting changed the entire landscape . Every timeout/commercial break is a new bet to juice out for these books 

@davemsh

 Perfect analogy Dave 

I been saying that about Green Bay  for years now 

I think you hit the nail on the head 

This could be the absolute reason why parity looks to be back in full force 

@Verdict

 ?? I did

@chic-cardinals

 What's a good team as far as your concerned?

From my perspective a good team covers when favored and covers as a dog 

At atleast a 10-6-1 clip 

It's all about ats not wins and losses

@chic-cardinals

 Sounds like you do not understand the meaning of the word parity. Surprising since you use alot of big words in your posts. You are an idiot.

@mafioso

 One of the worst 1st round draft picks. I believe Indianapolis drafted him #1. He didn't last long for them. I remember he started 50 games for them and lost 35. Then he played for a handful of teams down the road.

@Verdict

 Completely agree 

It was more mentioning in 99 they benched Cunningham for George 

Shows you how bad Randal was performing 

@davemsh Post #11 

@mafioso Post #17