@theclaw
I'd be very interested to see your regression factor numbers for that Patriots team that lost to the Eagles then beat the Rams the following year in the SB...
How did the regression numbers play out from the season they won the SB to lost SB to won SB.... Falcons / Eagles / Rams
Would love to see those numbers compared to your 3 year KC run numbers 
look forward to the NBA breakdowns
Pats had no real big regression indicators in any of those years.
If we look at expect wins based on pt margin.....2015 Pats won 12 games, expected wins was 11.4
2016 Pats won 14 games, expected 12.7, only off by 1.3, not really much. over 2.5 spells almost certain regression.
2017 Pats won 13 games, expected 11.8
2018 Pats won 11 games, expected 10.7
Now let's look at KC.....................2019 kc WON 12 GAMES, EXPECTED 11.4, no real regression there
2020 KC won 14 games, expected 10.5, wow, that's 3.5, one of the highest marks you'll see.
That's because they had soooo many close games and those close games are not repeatable as shown by years of data. These type teams have regressed by huge amounts in the past. winning only 9 or 10 games next year would not surprise me at all.
KC had 8 close 1 score wins with only 1 close lose for +7 differential. Pats had no season of the season I talked about better then only +3. I highly doubt the Pats ever had 1 season with 8 close 1 score wins, that is so very many close games in 1 seasons. Great teams don't win close games, they win in blowouts especially when playing teams with losing records.
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