LA Chargers vs Cleveland Browns OVER 47.5 ($110 to win $100)
Without Myles Garrett the Browns clearly struggled to get any type of consistent pass rush. The Falcons were able to run it right down their throats last week, even without Patterson in the lineup. Now they go up against one of the better offenses in the league, and certainly one of the more weapon filled offenses. Herbert looked a lot better last week against the Texans, and will only get healthier with the rib injury. The Chargers defense isn't terrible, but they don't really force a lot of turnovers, and they give up a good amount of garbage points in their wins. Would have liked a slightly better number, but I like this one to be a high scoring affair.
Prediction: Chargers 30 Browns 23
Minnesota Vikings -7.5 ($220 to win $200)
Putting the bigger bet on Kirk Cousins at 1pm at home against a weaker opponent. Those are the situations he thrives in, and this is the situation the Bears suck in. Bears are 0-4 in their last 4 October games, 1-11 ATS on the road against winning teams, the offense is putrid and getting worse...all of the above. Vikings defense is pretty decent, shouldn't really have to work too hard in this one. After ugly game against Eagles, Vikings just find ways to win. I think they were a bit jet lagged in London last week, but being back at home should help them out big time.
Prediction: Vikings 34 Bears 13
Pittsburgh vs Buffalo OVER 44.5 ($110 to win $100)
On paper not a great spot for Pickett to get his first start, but I do think that with his added mobility and willingness to throw the deep ball that Mike Tomlin opens up the playbook a little more for him here today. Or at the very least, without TJ Watt in there and the Steelers not being able to stop a nosebleed the past couple games, the Bills might hit this number themselves.
Prediction: Bills 34 Steelers 20
Seattle Seahawks +5.5 ($110 to win $100)
I don't know how, but this team is showing fight for the first time in about 6 years. Geno Smith isn't dead yet? Andy Dalton is. The Saints offense is. Even if the Saints win, I like the points in this situation.
Prediction: Seahawks 23 Saints 19
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