Johnson's NFL Week 4

Question

OVERALL RECORD:  8-7   (-3u)Sides:  5-4  (-0.5u)  Totals:  3-3  (-2.5u)----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------4-1 in Week 3 for a nice bounce back.  Only missed out on the OVER in the Packers/Lions game which I mentioned in the write-up that I wasn&#x27;t solid on because it seemed too obvious.  Moving on to this week where we start the bye weeks so there is not as many opportunities.  Have to be disciplined.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

OVERALL RECORD:  8-7   (-3u)Sides:  5-4  (-0.5u)  Totals:  3-3  (-2.5u)----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------4-1 in Week 3 for a nice bounce back.  Only missed out on the OVER in the Packers/Lions game which I mentioned in the write-up that I wasn&#x27;t solid on because it seemed too obvious.  Moving on to this week where we start the bye weeks so there is not as many opportunities.  Have to be disciplined.

rr207 · Answer

Any leans yet

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Week 4 Line Projections:NY Giants  vs  Washington  (-3)   46.5Green Bay  vs  Chicago  (-3.5)    48.5Buffalo  vs  Houston  (-3)    43Tennessee  vs  Indianapolis  (-7.5)    48Carolina  vs  Baltimore  (-5)    41.5Detroit  (-2.5)  vs  NY Jets    44Tampa Bay  vs  Pittsburgh  (-6)    40Miami  vs  Oakland  (-1)    38.5Jacksonville  vs  San Diego  (-9)    46.5Atlanta  (-4.5)  vs  Minnesota    45Philadelphia  (-2)  vs  San Francisco    51New Orleans  (-1.5)  vs  Dallas    53New England  (-6)  vs  Kansas City    44

CMJohnson1 · Answer

First of all...I&#x27;m shocked that the Niners are giving up 5.5 points to arguably the best team in the league right now.  Yes, Philly has been behind in every game and really haven&#x27;t had an impressive start to finish performance yet...but the Niners defense has been shredded in the past couple weeks by offenses that aren&#x27;t as well-balanced as the Eagles.BIG lean towards the Eagles.13.5 points for the Chargers?  Going to watch this one closely...if I can get two touchdowns in this one I might jump onto the Bortles Bandwagon.Oakland getting 4 points at home against the Dolphins is certainly intriguing as well...the Dolphins are a dumpster fire in many ways and that opening week win against the Patriots is a distant memory.I&#x27;m hoping the public continues to slam the Lions on the road against the Jets.  The Lions are terrible on the road and the Jets generally alternate good and bad games...especially with Geno Smith.

HairyDouglas · Answer

&#x27;Oakland getting 4 points at home against the Dolphins is certainly &#xD;&#xA;intriguing as well...the Dolphins are a dumpster fire in many ways and &#xD;&#xA;that opening week win against the Patriots is a distant memory.&#x27;FYI this is played in London -  Love the Fins here.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Oh yeah...forgot about the stupid a$$ London games.  Probably will stay away in that case

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Indianapolis Colts -7.5  (1.1 to win 1)Better team...Luck hasn&#x27;t lost SU or ATS against the Titans in his career.  Colts defensive numbers are a little skewed because of having to go up against Denver and Philly in the first two weeks.  The Titans don&#x27;t have much of an offense with Locker in the game...if he is out I don&#x27;t see them having any chance.  Should be another cake walk win for Luck and the boys at home.Prediction:  Colts 27  Titans 14

Baby_BA · Answer

GL

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Tough week this week...really looking into the games and stats since there aren&#x27;t too many gut feelings.

tomherst · Answer

So true about no gut feelings. Wht about the minny sucklanta game. Hate ATL on the road but hard to back minny. Thoughts sir?

import · Answer

Tennessee&#x2B;7.....Too easy to take Indy-7 again.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

No real thoughts on Minnesota/Atlanta.  Gotta see what Teddy Bridgewater can do first.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

So I&#x27;m looking into a new "theory" that might carry me the rest of the year.  I&#x27;ve been saying all along starting with my yearly predictions that it is a quarterback driven league...so I went ahead and ranked all 32 starting quarterbacks in my mind.  I then looked at the first three weeks and picked out the games that had a starting quarterback discrepancy of 15 spots or more...a game in which one team had a clear and obvious advantage at that position.So far this year the better starting QB is 9-5-1 ATS...including 7-2 ATS on the road.According to my QB rankings for this week we have...#8 Stafford  @  #26 G. Smith#25 Locker  @  #5  Luck#30 Bortles  @  #9  Rivers#14 Ryan  @  #31 Bridgewater#3 Brady  @  #19  A. Smith

2Team_Parlay · Answer

im on the titans here, idk just a gut feeling they hang with the colts.. BOL u do good picking the lines a always check in to see what u say

Actionattack · Answer

The colts will run away.   Easy cover

chillinmcm · Answer

Don&#x27;t take the Philly bait, their D has been horrible this year. Kap will throw all over them. Vernon being back is huge for the Niners.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Vernon isn&#x27;t at 100% by far...but I&#x27;m still staying away from that game.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

San Diego Chargers -13  (1.1 to win 1)Gotta go with the 10x better quarterback going up against the rookie in his first start.  I expect the Jags to try and take the air out of the ball and run Gerhart a ton whether it&#x27;s working or not.  The bad thing for the Jags is that their defense is terrible.Prediction:  Chargers 37  Jaguars 17

MoneyTalks789 · Answer

Good luck sir

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Atlanta Falcons -3  (1.1 to win 1)A lot of people are saying the Falcons are over-rated and such...but the Vikings just don&#x27;t have that much offensive firepower to keep up.  I like the Falcons better than most do...and I think they will be able to take care of the weaker team even on the road.Prediction:  Falcons 24  Vikings 16

FadeOnly · Answer

Good luck this week, CMJ.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Carolina vs Baltimore OVER 42  (1.1 to win 1)What I saw last Sunday night for the Panthers was an inability to either put pressure on the quarterback or stop the running game.  Without Greg Hardy, the offensive line doesn&#x27;t have to worry about double teaming anyone...which also means that blockers can get to the 2nd level with Kuechly and Davis.  I do like the Panthers offense without their running backs to get some points on the board via the long passes.  Both teams should easily get into the 20&#x27;s in this one.Prediction:  Ravens  26  Panthers 21

elgallo9 · Answer

GL

Johnson's NFL Week 4

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